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🚀 22/1 Euro 2024 Final Longshot Betting Tip

🚀 22/1 Euro 2024 Final Longshot Betting Tip

Saturday 13 July, 20244 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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🇪🇸 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Lamine Yamal to Score from Outside the Box

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Surely the young player of the tournament even ahead of whatever happens in this final, Lamine Yamal has very much stamped his potential, and, indeed, current ability, all over this tournament.

As a result of his immense form so far at Euro 2024, our expert has identified this selection as their big value pick for Sunday's heavyweight clash between Spain and England.

Ahead of the clash this weekend, make sure to take full advantage of our expertly curated Euro 2024 Final bet builder tips and Euro 2024 final: England v Spain betting preview, and Euro 2024 predictions which has everything you need to end this competition in style. Our player fouls predictions and Andy's player shots on target predictions will help boost your bet builder crafting for the final, and ensure you end the tournament with a few winners.

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🏆 Spain v England

📅
Kick Off: Sunday 14th July at 20:00

The Barcelona teenager certainly has a style that has been fairly predictable at the tournament so far but is very difficult to stop.

Yamal's shot map gives a big clue as to why this is such a good longshot bet. Yamal has taken 16 shots in total, with 11 of those coming from outside of the box. Interestingly, all 16 shots have been with his left foot, which demonstrates Yamal's modus operandi of cutting inside from the right flank where he is deployed and letting fly with his left.

In most cases the opposition will be in a low block, or at least have some men behind the ball, which means that the route to goal is often a strike from outside the box. His goal against France in the semi-final is probably the archetypal example of what we are looking for, and surely he will have the confidence from that to try again.

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🚀 Free Kicks

An added bonus to this bet is the fact that Yamal has also taken a few free-kicks in this tournament.

He has taken responsibility for three direct free-kicks from the right half of the pitch, which is generally favoured for the left-footed taker due to the angle.

Whilst he hasn't yet been successful with his attempts, it is still a bonus for this longshot that he has the opportunity to convert one of these if they come around.

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🎯 Long Range Efforts

Yamal's Barcelona shot map from outside of the area re-emphasises that his movement from outside to in and shooting is a natural thing for him to do.

Barcelona have been more flexible in how they have deployed Yamal across the forward line, perhaps showing that his future could be more central as he develops, but that area on the right of the opponent's box is clearly an area favoured when Yamal plays for his club as well.

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🥊 Lamine Yamal v England

England, for all of their faults, are usually fairly well organised, and they certainly have a strong analysis department, so they will be well aware of Yamal's tendencies and patterns. However, they will also be more concerned about giving away higher value chances, and, despite Yamal's excellence, they would probably prefer him to be shooting from distance rather than inside their box.

At the same time we are happy to take the chance that one of the shots from distance will find its way past Jordan Pickford. The England goalkeeper was beaten from distance by Xavi Simons in the semi-final with a shot that many believe could've been saved by other world-class goalkeepers. Morten Hjulmand also scored against England with a long-range shot, though this one did crash in off the post. 

However, it does seem to be a tactic that opponents are happy to try against Pickford and this lends more weight to the wager.

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