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Everton v Nottingham Forest
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Kick Off: Sunday 29th December at 15:00
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Competition: Premier League
Both sides enjoyed positive Boxing Day results as Everton drew with mid-table Man City and Forest thwarted Tottenham at home.
It leaves a lot up in the air ahead of a clash which could go either way but the away side surely deserve to be favourites given their impressive start to the campaign which sees them in 3rd place having already surpassed last season’s points tally.
⭐ Everton v Nottingham Forest Best Bet
Idrissa Gueye has been a key figure in Everton’s system this season, with his aggressive style of play often leading to physical duels. While his challenges can be effective, they frequently result in fouls, as shown by his average of 1.95 fouls per 90 minutes.
The Senegalese midfielder has committed at least 1 foul in all 13 of his starts, conceding 2 or more in 9 of those matches.
He’s set to face a tricky Nottingham Forest midfield featuring Anderson, who draws 2.04 fouls per 90 minutes, and Gibbs-White, averaging 1.23 fouls drawn per 90.
🟢 Everton v Nottingham Forest #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
In a match which perhaps isn’t destined to be a high-scoring thriller, backing Forest’s consistent centre-forward in the shots on target market seems sensible.
He’s fired off 19 shots on target already which is significantly more than Gibbs-White’s 12, which suffices to rank second amongst Forest players.
Calvert-Lewin (14) and Dwight McNeil / Illiman Ndiaye (8) are Everton’s 3 players who find the target most frequently, but the prior has blanked in each of his last 3, while McNeil and Ndiaye could miss the game through injury. This all paves the way nicely for Chris Wood and at a huge 40/1, the value is clear to see.
👕 Everton v Nottingham Forest Predicted XI
🔍 Everton v Nottingham Forest Player to Watch
🔴 Neco Williams
Neco Williams has started 8 matches for Nottingham Forest this season, managing to take at least 1 shot in every single one of them. Williams averages an impressive 1.75 shots per 90 minutes, making him great value to register a shot against a vulnerable Everton side.
The Toffees, despite keeping 5 clean sheets in their last 7 games, allow an average of 11.6 shots per 90 minutes.
Their defensive strategy often involves limiting opponents to long-range efforts, which plays to Williams’ strengths, as 62.5% of his shots this season have come from outside the box.
📂 Everton v Nottingham Forest Cheat Sheet
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💻 Everton v Nottingham Forest Form and Tactics
There are some suggestions this could be a cagey affair given the evident tactical similarities between the sides. It’s clear that both sides aim to place on defence. No side has racked up more clean sheets than the pair who’ve managed 7 each.
They also boast the two lowest average possession rates in the league; Everton with 38.3% and Forest with 39.7%.
Both teams are likely to set up in a 4-2-3-1 although the style of play on the ball will differ, as Everton rely more heavily on long balls, of which they average a league-high of 25.6 per match, compared to Forest’s 19.8.
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🏁 Everton v Nottingham Forest Ref Watch
- Referee: Tony Harrington
- He has only refereed 29 Premier League matches so far, over which period he’s averaged just 22.03 fouls and 3.59 yellow cards awarded per game.
- Across all competitions, this rises to 23.95 fouls per game but cards become an even less prominent feature, averaging a mere 3.19 per match.
- That said, Harrington rarely hesitates to point to the spot, as evidenced by a 0.31 penalties per game average over the course of his career.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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