After cashing this bet for our Saturday shots acca last weekend against Chelsea, where he hammered in three shots, it would be rude not to back Brentford’s Mathias Jensen again. The Danish midfielder is in a shooting spell, which has seen him pull the trigger three times in each of his last three starts across all competitions, and with an average for the season of 1.31 per 90, he’s a consistent shooter too.

Nottingham Forest will be battling fatigue from their midweek trip to Braga, and having conceded 12.73 shots per game on the road this season, they could be in for a difficult afternoon. The Bees managed ten efforts in the reverse fixture, a game in which Jensen had one shot, and given his recent form, he’s clearly full of confidence and can get our acca off to a flying start.

Talking of good shooting form, Neco Williams is averaging 1.29 shots per 90 under Sean Dyche and has landed this bet in nine of his last ten games across all competitions, firing off 16 efforts during that period. He’s happiest cutting inside onto his right foot and shooting from range and with 61% of his league shots having come from outside the box, he won’t need much encouragement to let fly.

High-flying Brentford are in excellent form themselves but have given up 13.09 shots per game on their own patch this season with the last four visiting teams combining for 58 efforts at goal. They’ve conceded double figures for shots in each of the last four meetings with Forest and with Neco having had shots in two of his three starts against them, we can rely on him to do so again.

Liam Rosenior seems confident that Cole Palmer’s midweek omission from his squad was a precautionary measure and so he should return to the starting lineup for this game. The attacking midfielder is one of Chelsea’s best attacking outlets and is averaging 1.06 shots on target per 90 this season with at least one in six of his eight league starts since returning from injury. He’s also on free-kick and penalty duty and has a good record against Palace, cashing this bet in three of his four starts against them.

All is not well at Palace with Jean-Philippe Mateta requesting to leave along with captain Marc Guehi and manager Oliver Glasner which can’t be ideal preparation for this game. The Eagles were tepid in defeat at Sunderland last time out, giving up seven shots on target and with Glasner making no subs in that game due to a lack of squad depth, it looks like a mess which Palmer can take advantage of.

Lewis Hall was one of four winners from this column last Sunday and can be backed at a similar price again, despite taking ten shots in his last eight games in all competitions. In Premier League action this season, he’s averaging 1.22 shots per 90, and he’s clearly been instructed to shoot on sight with 64% of his efforts coming from outside the box.

Newcastle will have benefited from an extra day’s rest compared with their visitors, who had to travel to Turkey on Thursday evening. Away from home, the Villans have been far from solid all season, giving up 14.18 shots per game and despite their excellent recent form, just two clean sheets from their last nine trips on the road tells the story of a side that the Magpies can attack.

Arsenal continue to defy the statistics with their set-piece heavy approach to attacking, seeing them seven points clear at the top of the table and central to that dead-ball threat is centre back Gabriel. The Brazilian is the main target for first contact on all set plays and is averaging 0.93 shots per 90 this season with five shots and two goals in his last four league starts.

Visitors Man Utd are conceding 3.77 shots from set pieces per game this season, and with no Premier League side having scored more goals from such situations than the Gunners, it’s safe to assume Mikel Arteta will be prioritising them again. Across United’s last six games, they’ve allowed opposition centre-backs ten efforts at goal and with Gabriel so dominant aerially, this looks a great price for him to get on the end of at least one restart.