I’m still quite surprised that we’re getting this price on Gallagher to commit 2+ fouls given his nature and record for Tottenham since he joined the club. Gallagher has committed 2+ fouls in three of his last four Premier League appearances for Tottenham, committing three fouls in one of these games.

When we look at Gallagher’s foul numbers when he was last in the Premier League with Chelsea, it paints a positive picture for him to commit at least two fouls here. Gallagher committed 83 fouls across his 37 Premier League appearances in the 23/24 season for Chelsea, working out to an average of 1.84 fouls won per 90.

Gallagher looks like he’s going to be utilised higher up the pitch by Igor Tudor, which is where I think he is at his most effective. It should also increase the chances of Gallagher coming away with at least two fouls here, as that foul average he posted in the 23/24 season was mainly from him playing ahead of two holding midfielders.

There is excellent value with this angle when backing with bet365, the exact same selection is priced as low as 1.40 with other major bookmakers.