It’s been a tough week for Inter Milan, they were humbled by Bodo/Glimt in the Champions League and ended up losing both legs and 5-2 on aggregate. Despite their defeat in midweek, they still recorded a whopping 30 shots and 16 corners, their dominance in terms of possession and territory couldn’t be questioned. 

Inter are riding the crest of a wave in Serie A. The title race was looking so tight in the first three months of the season, but Inter have pulled away after picking up a fantastic 40 points from 15 games, only dropping five points in the process. Inter have now won seven consecutive Serie A matches. 

Genoa’s recent form has been largely symbolic of a mid table team over the last 5-10 games. They’ve had a tendency to pick up more favourable results against the weaker sides in the division, but have often ended up defeated against the better-performing sides.

One might argue Inter Milan could be a slightly wounded animal after their exertions in midweek, and this will potentially make them a dangerous proposition. Ultimately, they have the home advantage, and after being toppled by Bodo/Glimt in midweek, they will have a point to prove to the home fans.

Genoa’s last three Serie A defeats have featured a cumulative 14 goals, with over 2.5 goals landing in each of them, this was all against noteworthy opposition in the form of Roma, Napoli, and Lazio. Six of Inter’s last seven home wins have featured over 2.5 goals, there have only been two instances this season where Inter home wins have featured under 2.5 goals, that goes for all competitions. 

Inter have scored 36 goals across their 13 Serie A home matches this season, an average of 2.77 per game. However, they haven’t been watertight at the back, they’ve still conceded 12 goals across those 13 home games. This has resulted in an average of 3.69 total goals in their home games.

Dimarco has become Inter’s creative jewel this season, his creative output is higher than previous seasons, and there’s an emphasis on getting the ball wide to him at every available opportunity. Denzel Dumfries has been injured over the last three months, and this has massively increased the need to utilise Dimarco down the channels and on the left -and side of the pitch. 

Dimarco’s creative numbers in Serie A are crazy, he’s currently averaging a cross 10 times per 90 minutes, and this has converted into a successful cross 3.37 times per 90. It’s, therefore, no surprise he’s managed 14 assists in 24 Serie A outings. 

However, Dimarco doesn’t just offer a creative threat, he also offers a goal threat, exemplified by his five Serie A goals this season. Typically, Dimarco plays more like a winger than a wing-back, it’,s therefore, not a coincidence he’s averaging 2.28 shots per 90, an extremely high number for a player utilised as a wing back. Dimaro has now scored or assisted in each of Inter Milan’s last five Serie A matches.

Thuram should be a major focal point in Inter Milan’s attack. He plays as one of the two strikers; he’s perfectly capable of occupying more central areas and wide areas. Thuram also provides an aerial threat in the box. Inter’s tactics heavily involve getting the ball to wide areas and putting crosses in.

His shooting numbers across the season have been eye-catching; he is averaging 3.64 shots per 90 in Serie A, and 4.44 shots per 90 in the Champions League. Thuram’s numbers have also been fairly consistent in recent Serie A outings; he’s now managed 3+ shots in four of his last five matches. 

Genoa have conceded 95 shots across their last five away games, an average of 19 shots per game.