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Gillingham v Crawley Bet Builder Tips & Match Predictions

Gillingham v Crawley Bet Builder Tips & Match Predictions

Friday 14 November, 20252 min read
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ABC Editorial Team

The ABC Editorial Team have a combined Sports Journalism experience of 20+ years. They love to crunch the numbers for all betting predictions, meticulously finding value in each selection. Football experts in their own right, they each bring specialists sports and leagues to the table. Whether it be football, horse racing, boxing, darts, or NFL, our team is equipped to bring you the most insightful and valuable betting tips around.

The Gareth Ainsworth story continues with this match as the Gillingham boss returns from surgery to be in the stadium for this match.

Whilst he is not yet permitted to return to the dugout at this stage, Ainsworth’s very presence in the ground will surely be a boost to Gills as they look to return to the form they had under Ainsworth’s first few months.

For more key numbers ahead of kick-off, check out these Gillingham v Crawley Betting Stats.

These recommended Best Bet Builder Bookmakers are worth a look for the weekend.

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Gillingham v Crawley Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Gillingham v Crawley
  • League Two
  • 17:30
2 Selections @ 2.05

Rob McKenzie to have 1+ Shots

McKenzie actually has a very consistent shot record when he plays in midfield.

His versatility has meant that he has played in defence for a good stint of the season, and this has skewed his shooting figures to the extent that I believe he is slightly underpriced to get a shot away here.

It may pay to be a little patient with this one and await the team news to assess more accurately where McKenzie will line up for Gills, however, he has played the last nine matches in a row in midfield, so it seems likely that he will continue there.

Using those nine midfield starts as a sample, McKenzie has shot at least once in seven of those nine, with 11 shots in total over these matches.

His seasonal average is 0.94 shots per 90, but that includes five matches at centre-back, where he shot only once in that time.

Gillingham to have 4+ Shots on Target

Gillingham have actually turned up the dial on their shot volume at home of late. They had a remarkably high 30 shots at home to Cheltenham recently, and 15 against Salford last time out. This was converted into 10 shots on target and seven shots on target respectively.

Against Harrogate, prior to these two matches, they hit 19 shots and only hit the target three times, this is remarkably low, suggesting an element of misfortune in that particular match. Regardless, Gillingham have actually hit this line in five of their seven home league matches.

This bet is also backed up by analysing Crawley’s away league matches so far this season. The Red Devils are averaging 4.75 shots on target against them away from home, and each of their last five opponents have managed to hit at least four shots on target against them.

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📈 Gillingham v Crawley Form & Stats

There's no doubt that Gillingham have suffered while not having Ainsworth on the bench. Whether the results would have been similar or not if Ainsworth had been there we will never know, but from being unbeaten and top of the table, Gillingham have now lost four of their last six.

However, their home performances in particular have been good, they have generated over 2xG in both of their last two home games, a feat that they didn’t manage at all in their opening five home matches.

That rot was stopped with a league win over Bristol Rovers last time out, though, so that would have been a relief for them. They are a team who don't rely on possession, ranking 22nd for accurate passes completed per match, but their defensive record is very strong, ranking second for goals conceded. However, this is an over-performance, as they are only ranked 12th for expected goals against.

Crawley have suffered a below par season so far. They sit 19th, two points above the relegation zone, but it would have been a lot worse if they hadn't won their last two league matches. Their elimination from the FA Cup by Boreham Wood would have been disappointing, but their focus is surely to remain in the EFL, so it would be unwise to put too much focus on that result alone.

Looking at the stats, Crawley are probably value for a higher spot in the table. They rank 10th for expected goals created and 16th for expected goals against across the season as a whole. Whilst this isn't outstanding, it does show that Crawley are no mugs at this level.


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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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