The ‘lucky last’ offers my best bet of the day, in the shape of ZGHARTA, for in-form duo Oisin Murphy and Andrew Balding.

They have hit the crossbar twice at Goodwood this week. D’oh! Let’s hope they can get on the scoresheet here. I’m hopeful that karma will be on our side, after the jockey’s honest comments in the stewards’ enquiry incident on Wednesday!

Despite the two at the head of the market receiving weight-for-age, Zgharta herself may prove to be a well-handicapped horse — she beat horses now-rated 97, 104 and 100 in a Newmarket maiden, before an unlucky fifth at this meeting last season, from a 4lb higher mark.

She was incidentally a place behind Rumba Numba, who won at this track on Tuesday.

I think she can play a strong hand at the finish, after shaping with promise when a recent fourth at Chester.

Four starts, three wins, with one victory and one third coming over today’s 1m trip.

TALK OF NEW YORK (8.4) comes into this race with a big class edge, dropping from Group 1 where he was narrowly beaten, into a Group 3.

Combined with the fact trainer Charlie Appleby is enjoying July with a 35% strike rate and his jockey William Buick has ridden him every start of his career, bringing him home with wins at Newmarket and winning the Heron Stakes at Sandown by 5½ lengths, his lack of experience at Goodwood shouldn't phase him.

Today's Good to Firm ground will also pose no issue, with two wins out of three races on today's ground conditions.

TRIBAL CHIEF (7.8) is a course-and-distance winner here last season, so the track clearly suits him.

His win last season was also on today's Good to Firm ground conditions, and today's competing in a Class 2 heritage handicap suits him, placing at Lincoln, in the Victoria Cup, and in the Coral Challenge at the same level.

Jockey Jamie Spencer is a vastly experienced Goodwood rider, and he has been drawn low (stall 4) in a race where low draws have dominated historically.

Four starts, three wins, with one victory and one third coming over today’s 1m trip.

RUMSTAR (7.8) has one win at Goodwood across his career and the straight 5f course fits his needs for a strong test of stamina and speed.

Both of his big race wins this year and last came on today's Good to Firm ground.

Jockey Rob Hornby has established a settled partnership with him, riding him in all his big races this season, including their win in the Coral Charge less than a month ago, so they come into this one in decent form.

BOILING POINT (8.1) won here over the same distance of 1m1f in May this year, and Timeform have previously awarded him a "Horses For Courses" style flag for effectiveness at this track.

His career best effort winning the Cambridgeshire Handicap at Newmarket was also over 1m1f, so today's distance looks his sweet spot. His RPR of 121 sits among the strongest in this particular field and his trainer K R Burke has a strong 49% recent strike rate.

His jockey Clifford Lee is the one who brought him home at Newmarket and at Goodwood back in May, building a strong partnership.

TALK OF NEW YORK (8.4) has posted 3 wins from 4 starts, including one win and one third-place finish over today's 1-mile trip.

He brings a significant class edge into today's race, dropping from Group 1 company, where he was narrowly beaten, down to Group 3 level.

Trainer Charlie Appleby is enjoying a strong July with a 35% strike rate, while jockey William Buick has partnered him in every start of his career, including wins at Newmarket and a 5½-length victory in the Heron Stakes at Sandown, meaning his lack of experience at Goodwood should not be a concern.

Today's good-to-firm ground should also suit, with 2 wins from 3 starts on this going.

BOILING POINT (8.1) already has form at today's venue, having won here over the same 1m1f trip back in May, and Timeform have previously flagged him as a horses-for-courses type given his record at this track.

His career-best performance came when winning the Cambridgeshire Handicap at Newmarket, also over 1m1f, suggesting today's distance suits him well.

His RPR of 121 ranks among the strongest in this field, while trainer K R Burke is in strong form with a 49% recent strike rate.

Jockey Clifford Lee, who partnered him for both the Newmarket win and the Goodwood success in May, continues the ride today.