Christian Watson has honestly been 1 of the best developments of the season. While he’s always had the size and speed, the problem was always controlling that frame and making those tough catches. After dealing with drops early in his career, we’ve seen a ton of acrobatic catches this season already. While he started slow, he’s been lights out recently.

In his first 8 games before bye, he only posted 13 catches, 20 targets, 196 yards, but since then he’s been on fire with 13 catches, 24 targets, 387 yards over the last 5 weeks. He has done a complete 180 and looks to be connecting very well with his quarterback Jordan Love. He also will play almost all WR snaps because he plays outside, v a guy like Jaylen Reed who loses snaps when they don’t play 12 personnel.

The Saints secondary was also decimated by injury earlier in the season, and they traded their best corner, Marshon Lattimore. They effectively punted the position and have the worst-graded corner duo in the league via PFF. Watson is simply too talented for this unit, and Watson has been annihilating man coverage this year with a 3.66 YPRR (4th among all WRs). With a 16+ average depth of target, we really don’t need much volume for the kind of deep routes he’s running. I think Watson strikes early for a Paxkers team that should be able to do whatever they want in this one.

I really don’t think there is a wrong way to play Josh Jacobs on Monday Night Football. Jacobs has been extremely involved in the second half of the season, whether it’s rushing, receiving, or his redzone usage. He is a major reason why they have been able to stack up so many wins, and with a huge projected advantage in this game, they should be able to run the ball like crazy. The Saints have got shredded on the ground over the last month, giving up over 4.6 YPC (8th Most).

They are a dome team and aren’t used to playing out in the conditions, going up against a back like Jacobs in the snow will be a very tough transition. On Man/Gap Concepts the Saints defense allows the Highest Success Rate (60%) and 10th Most YPC (4.84), this is great for Jacobs who ranks top 5 in those categories v Man/Gap concepts via fantasy points data.

When asked about his heavy workload, Jacobs insisted that it was fine and it would prepare him for the play-offs, when pressed further he said, “I feel great, no bruises, no nothing right now so I feel great.  If I was battling something right now I would probably say be precautious but I feel great.”

This is 1 of the best runners in the league as a 14-point favorite, we should see plenty of volume in this one.

This one may seem a bit crazy, but I see a lot of potential for the Saints’ tight ends in what should be a game script perfect for garbage time passing. Rattler has made 3 previous starts this season and it did not end well. The Saints lost each of those games by 18+ points, with Rattler completing only 58% of his throws. Among qualified candidates, he ranks 42nd out of 42 QBs this year in expected points added per play, posting a dismal 37.7% success rate on throws. Looking even further he has some brutal options at rediscover, meaning I think he will need to check down even more. When your quarterback is struggling or under pressure, a tight end can be the perfect guy to take that pressure off.

Additionally, Moreau has actually been pretty successful recently posting 39, 49, 6, and 50 receiving yards over his last 4 games. He now gets a Packers defense that struggles against the position (26th in REC yards allowed to TEs). Jonnu Smith just dropped 113 yards on them in similar snowy conditions, and all we need to do is break 1 tackle in weather like this. The Packers have great safety’s and I really don’t see any successful deep passing in this one, so the tight ends should have plenty of volume.