Heidenheim v Bochum Best Betting Predictions, Cheat Sheet & Predicted Lineups

Harry Nye
Harry is a Christchurch-based football enthusiast whose love for sport and numbers naturally led him into the world of sports betting. While studying Mathematics at university, Harry began combining his analytical mindset with his passion for football. Harry focuses predominantly on football, with a particular emphasis on the Bundesliga this season, though as a Liverpool supporter (with a soft spot for QPR thanks to his dad), English football remains close to his heart. Whether it's late-night research or diving into stat models, Harry thrives on spotting the bets others might miss.
Heidenheim v Bochum
Kick Off: Friday 2nd May at 19:30
Competition: Bundesliga
After snapping a run of three successive Bundesliga defeats with a hard-fought 1-0 away win over Stuttgart, Heidenheim return home in search of a vital result that could preserve their top-flight status. While still occupying the relegation play-off spot with only three games remaining, their destiny remains in their own hands, and avoiding defeat against relegation rivals Bochum would be another step toward a remarkable survival story in their debut Bundesliga campaign.
⭐ Heidenheim v Bochum Best Bets
➡️ Heidenheim Double Chance on bet365 @ 1.36
Home comforts haven’t always been kind to Heidenheim, whose W3, D1, L11 record at the Voith-Arena marks them as the league’s worst-performing home side. However, that stat requires nuance: two of those three home victories have come in their last five outings, and a confidence-restoring win away at a Champions League-chasing Stuttgart suggests a side rekindling belief at just the right time.
Bochum, meanwhile, arrive in dire straits. Sitting bottom of the table and nine points from guaranteed safety, anything less than a victory will confirm their relegation, and even that may not be enough should results elsewhere go against them. Their away form offers little hope. With just two wins in 16 road games (D2, L11), Bochum share the league’s worst away record. Notably, both of those wins came before the winter break, with recent travels marked by heavy defeats and toothless performances.
Heidenheim will also be buoyed by the psychological pressure weighing on Bochum, who enter the match knowing history is not on their side. Only one Bundesliga team this century has started matchday 32 bottom and survived the drop, a daunting stat that looms large. While Bochum’s unbeaten record against fellow bottom-three sides this season (W1, D2) adds a sliver of encouragement, it pales in comparison to Heidenheim’s improved recent form and the clarity of their task: avoid defeat, and survival remains within reach.
While Bochum boast a dominant recent head-to-head record (W6, D2 in the last 8), the weight of history can be deceptive in matches with such high stakes. Heidenheim’s momentum, coupled with Bochum’s chronic travel sickness and mounting psychological burden, suggests the home side are well-positioned to avoid defeat.
Backing Heidenheim in the Double Chance market offers smart protection in what promises to be a cagey, nerve-racking affair where grit and timing may matter more than past records.
👕 Heidenheim v Bochum Predicted XI

🔍 Heidenheim v Bochum Players to Watch
🔴 Marvin Pieringer
Heidenheim’s talisman, Pieringer, has been directly involved in 10 goals (7G, 3A) this season, a 30% share of the team’s entire output. His role has grown increasingly central, evidenced by 9 shots, 4 on target, and a goal in their last three home games. With Heidenheim favourites here and expected to carry the attacking burden, Pieringer is a strong candidate to be involved in the scoring action.
➡️ Marvin Pieringer to Score or Assist on bet365 @ 2.10 ↔️
🔵 Ibrahima Sissoko
Sissoko's recent disciplinary record is alarming: 5 yellow cards in his last 6 appearances, including a double booking in Bochum’s last away match against Bremen. With a team-high 2.51 fouls committed per 90 and 11 yellow cards this season, he represents a high-risk, high-value card option. He also committed three fouls in the reverse fixture, arguably fortunate not to have been cautioned, which strengthens the case for another booking here.
➡️ Ibrahima Sissoko to be Shown a Card on bet365 @ 2.62 ↔️
📂 Heidenheim v Bochum Cheat Sheet

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💻 Heidenheim v Bochum Form and Tactics
Heidenheim’s spirited 1-0 win at Stuttgart halted a run of three straight defeats and temporarily lifted them into the relegation play-off spot. However, survival remains a tall order, with their five-point gap to safety and dreadful home form (3 wins in 15) weighing heavily. A loss here, combined with other results, could already confirm their bottom-three finish at the end of the weekend.
From a tactical standpoint, Heidenheim’s limitations in possession and creativity are glaring:
2nd worst in possession (42.6%), and rank 14th, 15th and 16th in key attacking metrics (xG, shots on target, and big chances created).
Their low touches in the opposition box (17th) underline a lack of penetration and forward presence.
However, they rank 3rd for interceptions and 1st for tackles, revealing a clear identity: a defensive, reactive side built on work rate and disrupting opposition play.
In attack, they’ve relied heavily on crosses (7th most in the league) as their primary source of chances, likely through quick transitions or set-piece build-up rather than sustained possession. This wing-based outlet might be one of the few reliable avenues to exploit Bochum’s defensive frailty.
Rooted to the bottom and in desperate need of a result, Bochum know that anything less than victory will almost certainly confirm relegation. Only a miracle finish can save them, but beating Heidenheim, the team two spots above, would at least make the play-off spot more attainable.
Bochum rank bottom for xGA (58.6) and have conceded 2.1 goals per match, the second worst defensive record. They lead the Bundesliga in tackles, showing they too engage in a combative, high-contact style. However, this is undermined by the worst disciplinary record, with frequent fouls putting them under sustained pressure.
In attack:
They average 45% possession, but it lacks cutting edge, ranking 13th, 14th and 12th for xG, SOTs and big chances.
Most alarmingly, they’ve scored only 30 goals from their 38.3 xG, highlighting poor finishing and execution.
Their offensive identity centres around long balls (1st in Bundesliga) and crosses (3rd), favouring a direct and aerial style that relies on second balls and physicality.
This approach mirrors Heidenheim’s to some extent, setting the stage for a gritty, physically intense encounter.
🏁 Heidenheim v Bochum Ref Watch
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
Fouls | Yellow Cards | Red Cards |
---|---|---|
22.10 | 4.86 | 0.29 |
Stats are on a per 90 basis and are taken from Stegemann's 24/25 games across all competitions (21 total)
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