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Ipswich v Chelsea
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Kick Off: Monday 30th December at 19:45
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Competition: Premier League
Relegation candidates Ipswich welcome high-flying Chelsea to Portman Road on Sunday hoping to earn just their third Premier League victory of the campaign. The struggling Tractor Boys are still searching for their first win on home soil since their promotion. Can Town find a way to beat the Blues in Suffolk?
⭐ Ipswich v Chelsea Best Bet
Chelsea have been away-day specialists under Enzo Maresca this season and no other outfit in the Premier League has collected more points on the road than the Blues this term (20). Chelsea have also been averaging a league-high 2.55 goals per away game in the division so far and the Londoners have the class to control proceedings at Portman Road.
Ipswich were behind at the interval in each of their last 2 Premier League fixtures (vs Newcastle & Arsenal), while only the Gunners (9) have held a half-time lead in more matches than Chelsea (8) this season. In a fixture where value is hard to find, backing Chelsea to lead at halftime at Ipswich could be a worthwhile venture at a price of 1.83.
🟢 Ipswich v Chelsea #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Few players in the Premier League can match Cole Palmer when it comes to providing match-changing moments and the Chelsea attacker can lead the charge for the Blues again at Portman Road.
Palmer has already scored 12 times in 18 Premier League starts this season and fresh from his Boxing Day strike against Fulham, the 22-year-old can cap a sensational 2024 with another goal against Ipswich.
Any effort from Palmer is likely to be supplemented by more joy in the final third from away-day specialists Chelsea. The Blues have been the Premier League’s best team on the road this term and the Londoners, who have notched goals either side of the interval in three of 3 last 4 away assignments, are potent enough to score in both halves again at Ipswich.
Finally, we need Marc Cucurella to pick up a card to complete our bid for #WhatOddsPaddy glory. The 26-year-old ranks top at Chelsea this season for total cards accumulated (7), while the bristly Spaniard has also been averaging 1.14 fouls per 90 minutes in the Premier League.
Cucurella could be tasked with marking tricky winger Omari Hutchinson on Monday – a player who has been drawing 1.59 fouls per 90 from troubled markers, so the fullback’s chances of earning a card should be high.
👕 Ipswich v Chelsea Predicted XI
🔍 Ipswich v Chelsea Players to Watch
🔵 Liam Delap
Liam Delap’s all-action displays at centre-forward for Ipswich have been attracting interest from some big-name suitors, however, alongside carrying a significant goal threat, the 21-year-old has been a foul-market favourite this season.
Delap has been averaging 2.73 fouls per 90 minutes in the Premier League this season and has committed a club-high 36 fouls in total so far. Delap committed 4 fouls in each of his last 2 runouts at Portman Road and he is backed to beat a target of 2+ fouls at a sharp price of 1.53 against Chelsea.
⚪ Cole Palmer
Cole Palmer is Chelsea’s most potent provider of match-changing moments, though the influential attacking midfielder tends to draw plenty of fouls from nervous defenders, and the England international is tipped to be fouled at least twice again on Sunday.
Palmer has been drawing 2.36 fouls per 90 minutes this season, while only 2 players in the Premier League have drawn more fouls in total (41) than the mercurial 22-year-old. Expect Palmer to be on the receiving end at least twice again at Portman Road.
⚪ Nicolas Jackson
Nicolas Jackson has been averaging a healthy 3.05 shots and 1.63 shots on target per 90 minutes in the Premier League this season and the 23-year-old should have more openings to explore on Sunday against an Ipswich defence that ranks fourth bottom for average shots conceded per 90 (5.47).
Jackson has clocked 2+ shots on target in 4 of his last 6 Premier League starts for Chelsea and aided by a creative supporting cast, the Senegalese star is never short of quality service. Jackson’s running power should get him behind the Ipswich backline at least a couple of times here.
📂 Ipswich v Chelsea Cheat Sheet
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💻 Ipswich v Chelsea Form and Tactics
- Kieran McKenna has been setting Ipswich up in a 4-2-3-1 formation this season and though he favours a possession-based approach, Town have been struggling to keep the ball (42.9% avg possession).
- Ipswich rank third-last in the Premier League for shot-creating actions per 90 (18.12) and they sit bottom of the division for xGF manufactured (15.90).
- Chelsea rank third in the league for progressive carries per 90 (23.1) and the Blues have several excellent ball carriers in their team.
- Chelsea have won the xGF battle in 6 of their last 7 Premier League fixtures. Only leaders Liverpool (38.2) have accumulated more in expected goals overall this season than Chelsea (36.5)
- Chelsea rank fourth for average possession per game (57.00), but sixth for short passes attempted per 90 (235.9) which suggests the Blues are happy to mix things up.
- The Blues have been conceding very few corners, in fact, only Arsenal and Man City have been conceding fewer of them per 90 this season.
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🏁 Ipswich v Chelsea Ref Watch
- Referee: John Brooks
- Premier League fixtures with John Brooks in charge have been averaging 26.00 fouls per game this season.
- Brooks has been handing out a sizable 6.17 yellow cards per Premier League game this term.
- John Brooks brandished a massive 9 yellow cards in his last Premier League contest (West Ham vs Wolves, Dec 9).
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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