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Italy v Israel
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Kick Off: Monday 14th October at 19:45
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Competition: UEFA Nations League
Unbeaten Italy host Israel in what the Azzurri will expect to be a fairly simple victory if all goes to plan. At present there are seven points between the sides with Israel yet to leave the starting block, losing each of their three matches including their ‘home’ leg against Italy, which was in fact held in Budapest.
⭐ Italy v Israel Best Bets
Israel have conceded in both halves in each of their three Nations League matches so far, notably including an earlier clash with Italy. They’ve conceded nine goals across the competition and were on the wrong end of a 4-1 battering by France last time out.
Italy scored in both halves against Israel and France, and surely would have once more against Belgium if it weren’t for a 40th minute red card. They’d already notched two by that point and easily could have scored once more in the second half despite going down to 10 men.
👕 Italy v Israel Predicted XI
🔍 Italy v Israel Players to Watch
🔵 Davide Frattesi
Frattesi is averaging 2.62 shots per 90 minutes this season in the league, with eight shots taken across his last three Serie A starts. This is pretty consistent with his output last season under Inzaghi, where he averaged 3.08 shots per 90.
Frattesi has also started all three of Italy’s Nations League matches, taking two shots against Israel during the first international break, and adding four shots in each of his games against France and Belgium.
With Israel under pressure to push men forward and grab a couple of goals so as to avoid relegation, the game could easily open up in the midfield, providing Frattesi ample offensive opportunities.
🔵 Nicolo Fagioli
Although Fagioli didn’t start Italy’s recent match against Belgium, Pellegrini’s red card should create an opening in midfield, with the Juventus youngster likely to step in.
He’s been consistent in the fouls market and it comes as a surprise the bookmakers have priced him this generously for a foul.
The defensive midfielder is averaging 1.59 fouls per 90 minutes and has been penalised at least once in each of his Serie A starts.
In the two full 90-minute games he’s played this season, he committed two fouls in each.
📂 Italy v Israel Cheat Sheet
Andy’s Bet Club is the best place for football betting predictions. We offer a huge range of Nations League accumulator predictions and Nations League tips to keep you covered during this week’s international break.
We also offer both teams to score tips, plus bet builder-focused picks such as our card betting tips, player shots on target tips, and fouls betting predictions.
💻 Italy v Israel Form and Tactics
Italy deservedly sit top of the group with seven points, only failing to take all three in their recent clash with Belgium which they dominated despite going down to 10 men in the 40th minute. They’ve set up in a 3-5-2 or 3-5-1-1 in each of their matches and are likely to utilise the prior against Israel, as they tend to against weaker opposition.
It’ll probably be Giacomo Raspadori who steps in to replace Pellegrini who was sent off against the Red Devils, meaning Israel will have to deal with him dropping between the lines and facilitating the buildup while also getting forward.
In the case of Israel, it’s a bit trickier to deduce how they might set up on this occasion. We’ve seen them utilise a 3-4-3 against France and Belgium but in between the two, a more traditional 4-2-3-1 last time out against Italy.
Although they have scored in each of their Nations League matches, this perhaps doesn’t accurately reflect their offensive struggles which has seen them average just 1.67 shots on target and 5.67 shots.
Nonetheless, they’ll have to give it their all on this occasion with even a draw surely condemning them to inevitable relegation from League A.
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🏁 Italy v Israel Ref Watch
- Spanish referee, Ricardo de Burgos Bengoetxea takes the reins of this affair in what’ll be his first Nations League match of the season.
- He’s only refereed five matches so far this season, broadly preferring to let play flow, averaging just 20.8 fouls and 2.40 yellows per game.
- That said, each of these figures have been significantly higher over the course of his career, reaching 24.43 fouls and 4.58 yellows. This might be a more accurate representation given the small sample size of games from this year.
Football Predictions at Andy’s Bet Club
Our guide on how to use a Cheat Sheet is the perfect way to get involved with our bet builder stats tool, the best freely available data source for bet builder crafting.
We recommend the best betting sites for accumulators, top bet builder sites, and the best free bet offers and weekly free bet clubs, all to ensure you bet smarter when backing our tips with the best UK sports betting sites. Monday’s Nations League accumulator tips are worth a browse as you mark your weekend card.
Expert guides, such as this one, on xG in football, are also available to help you up your punting game, while we’ve also put together a list of the best Nations League free bet offers.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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