Back our Jamie Vardy Bet Builder with Paddy Power

This bet builder focuses on Jamie Vardy ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester and Ipswich.

The tips in this bet builder qualify for Paddy Power's Super Sub feature, with the double currently priced at 11.08 - a £10 bet will return £110 if it wins.

🦊 Jamie Vardy to be Shown a Card (5.0) & Score Anytime (2.70) 🔄️

There’s a compelling and potentially profitable betting angle ahead of Jamie Vardy’s final home appearance in Leicester City colours — a match that’s set to be a highly emotional farewell for a club icon. That play? Jamie Vardy to be carded.

At first glance, this may not seem like the most obvious selection. But dig deeper into the narrative, probabilities, and context surrounding this match, and there’s clear value to be found.

This is no ordinary fixture for Vardy. The 37-year-old striker, who needs no introduction, will make his 500th appearance for the club and is potentially on the verge of scoring his 200th Leicester goal. He’s already netted eight times in the league this season (accounting for 26% of the team’s total).

Bookmakers have taken notice of this narrative: Vardy is priced at around 2.00 to score anytime, reflecting a 50% implied probability. But interestingly, the odds for him to be carded have tumbled. From early prices of 7/1 (at the time of writing), you’ll now find him best-priced at 4/1, and even those odds may underestimate the real likelihood.

If Vardy scores, and that’s a very realistic scenario, the chance of taking his shirt off in celebration is significant (almost inevitable, some could argue). It would be a fitting, emotional gesture for a man saying goodbye to the King Power faithful after more than a decade of service. By the letter of the law, that’s a mandatory yellow card.

So, if you consider that he has a 50% chance of scoring and a near-certainty of being booked if he celebrates by removing his shirt, that alone presents real betting value in the card market. This transforms a seemingly marginal 20% implied probability (5/1) into something potentially closer to 1 in 2, in the right circumstances.

Even if Vardy doesn’t find the net, he’s no stranger to disciplinary action:

• 5 yellow cards this season

• 0.77 fouls per 90 minutes

Known for playing on the edge, with a fiery streak that often surfaces in high-stakes, emotional games. For those looking for more juice, the Score + Card market may be the best way to play this. Paddy Power are currently offering 10/1 on Vardy to score and be carded — double bet365’s combined price of 8/1. That’s a notable disparity and one that presents value for a bet based as much on psychology and occasion as it is statistics.

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