Middlesbrough v Leeds

This is a huge match in the top six with chances of promotion very much on the line for both sides. Leeds fans are losing faith in their club at the worst time of the season, whereas Middlesbrough are very much on a high given the run of form that has propelled them back into the top six.

⭐ Middlesbrough v Leeds Best Bet

Back Middlesbrough Double Chance @ 2.0 with bet365

The way that Leeds have responded to the pressure at the business end of the season has not yet been decisive. There is still time for this to turn around, but based on recent evidence, there are shortcomings in the form, especially compared to the rest of their season.

Leeds have always stood out on the performance data as a team that has been dominant in terms of the quality and quantity of chances that they have created v the ones they have conceded. However, this has very much been eroded in recent weeks. They have still won the xG battle in many of their matches, but the margins have very much decreased, which has led to a lot of draws in their recent matches, four of their last six have been draws.

Middlesbrough have won five of their last seven, including their last three in a row at home against Derby, QPR, and Oxford United. They were very organised and comfortable against Blackburn last time out, and have a lot of confidence in their structure and performance level at the moment.

There are a lot of indications why a bet on the Middlesbrough/Draw Double Chance appeals at a price of 2.0.

👕 Middlesbrough v Leeds Predicted XI

🔍 Middlesbrough v Leeds Players to Watch

🔴 Kelechi Iheanacho

Iheanacho arrived in January as part of the solution to Boro losing Emmanuel Latte Lath to the MLS. The Nigerian international seemed to take a long time to get up to speed, attracting criticism from the Boro faithful for his lack of work rate and apparent lack of fitness, but in recent weeks, he has nailed down a place in the side, working in tandem with Tommy Conway really well.

He has hit 3.13 shots per 90 for Middlesbrough since signing, with his last four starts seeing 3 (v Blackburn, most recent), 5, 2, and 3.

Back Kelechi Iheanacho to have 3+ Shots @ 2.50 with bet365 ↔️

🔴 Hayden Hackney

When Hackney plays alongside Aidan Morris, he is given more freedom to go forward and affect the play around the opposition box. He is still liable for a foul or yellow card, but the best value for Hackney is his shot prices at the moment.

The Middlesbrough academy graduate has hit seven shots in his last two matches, and three of his last four have seen him beat the 1.5 shot line.

Back Hayden Hackney to have 2+ Shots @ 2.38 with bet365 ↔️

⚪ Patrick Bamford

This is an interesting one. Bamford has rarely been available for Leeds for a long time now, but he played half an hour against Luton at the weekend and almost scored.

He has a ridiculous rate of 9.21 shots per 90 at the moment, and has taken at least one shot in his last five substitute appearances, going 2, 2, 1, 3, 3 when coming on. This is interesting when considering Bet365’s Sub On Play On offer. If you can find the right player to choose that Bamford could replace then you could get some great value.

Doing some research yields the following: Bamford replaced Wilfried Gnonto on Saturday, Manor Solomon the time before that, and Gnonto the time before that. When team news emerges it could be worth assessing who could be the player sacrificed for Bamford. It could be worth siding with Gnonto here, he could fire a few shots at goal himself, with the potential of Bamford helping out from the bench.

Back Wilfried Gnonto to have 3+ Shots @ 1.67 with bet365 ↔️

📂 Middlesbrough v Leeds Cheat Sheet

Tuesday night plays host to more Championship action, and our expert Football Betting Predictions will be diving into all the action. Make sure to check out our EFL Betting Tips along with our EFL Accumulator Tips so you don't miss any of our coverage. Be sure to check out the Middlesbrough v Leeds Betting Stats for a more in-depth view of the key numbers.

Make sure to check out our tips for this week's Champions League action, with Arsenal v Real Madrid Betting Tips and Bayern Munich v Inter Milan Betting Predictions, as well as a Goals Algorithm Acca and Champions League Hit Rate Bet Builder. We will also be on the look out for midweek Gem Bets.

If you enjoy this revamped betting preview, be sure to check out our Bet Builder Stats tool, the best freely available data source for punting on football, available for all Champions League fixtures this week.

💻 Middlesbrough v Leeds Form and Tactics

It has been a rollercoaster ride of late for Middlesbrough and their supporters. Having lost five league matches in a row when seemingly set for the playoffs, they have recovered back into 5th place off the back of five wins in seven. They are 3rd in the Championship for xG created over the season, and 8th for xG against.

Michael Carrick has changed things in recent weeks and seems to have come up with a system that creates a good balance. There have been a lot of defensive injuries, which has inadvertently helped Carrick by allowing him to use Sam Iling-Junior as a very attacking full-back and station Finn Azaz in front of him with licence to drift infield to play centrally. This has also meant that Iheanacho and Conway can play as a front two in possession, all the while knowing that Morris and Hackney can fill in the gaps defensively.

Leeds are undoubtedly going to play with a 4-2-3-1, with high and wide full backs, and two holding midfielders. There is the potential for a bit of change in the front four positions as Daniel Farke wrestles with a drop in performance level. Whilst Patrick Bamford is not going to be fit enough to start, he could get 30 minutes or so, and Daniel James is almost certain to get the full 90 minutes, given his level this season.

Leeds have only won once in their last six Championship matches, with four draws making the picture quite cloudy. However, they have won the xG battle in five of those six matches, the trouble is that the margins of the performance data has become much tighter.

🏁 Middlesbrough v Leeds Ref Watch

• Referee: Andrew Kitchen 

  Fouls	Yellow Cards	Red Cards
  25.52	3.83	0.04

• Stats are taken from Kitchen's 24/25 Championship games (22 games)

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.