Coventry are the drivers of this bet. They had a goalless draw on opening day, despite generating 1.4 xG themselves against Hull, but since then, they have seen both teams to score come in on each occasion they have played.

Leicester have scored in every game that they have played this season. However, they haven’t been watertight defensively; indeed, they are averaging 1.61 xG against so far this season, a higher number than they are generating themselves.

Coventry are generating a really impressive 2.43 xG per match themselves, so there looks to be goals in the game.

It has been mentioned a couple of times how much the Coventry attack is flying at the moment, and this price looks appealing against a Leicester team who don’t seem to have quite stepped up to the standard required defensively yet.

Coventry are averaging six shots on target so far this season, and haven’t failed to hit this line since opening day against Hull. Meanwhile, Leicester have conceded four or more shots on target against Huddersfield in the EFL Cup, Charlton, and Preston so far this season.

Sakamoto started the first game of the season, but then Brandon Thomas-Asante took his place on the right of the attack. Thomas-Asante was averaging 2.38 shots per match from that position, and then Sakamoto came in and took three shots against Norwich, following up his four on opening day vs Hull.

The Coventry attack is flying, but Sakamoto is double the price of the rest of his attackers, which makes him the value pick here, and the data backs up the bet.

The model bookmakers' use usually underestimates central defenders' foul totals, so even though they have latched onto Thomas’ record of fouling more than most, there is still a touch of value here because Thomas is such a regular reason for referees to blow up.

Indeed, Thomas has fouled at least once in every Coventry match this season. He is averaging 1.83 fouls per 90, which is why the 1.28 is still value here. Thomas has a really strong fouls conceded record. Only Ephron Mason-Clark of Coventry’s regular players has a higher foul per 90 record.

Coventry have become a very strong corner winning outfit.

Their last 30 matches have seen them average over 6 corners per game, whilst their 2025/26 running average is currently at 7.29 per match. Meanwhile, they are only averaging a concession of 3.57 per match.

Ignoring Leicester's Premier League spell is only fair here, so just taking their 25/26 data so far they are conceding more corners than they earn. Leicester are winning 5.33 corners and conceding an average of 6 per match.

The Coventry centre-backs are being particularly aggressive at the start of this season.

Kitching has already picked up three yellow cards this season, and his rate of collecting bookings over Coventry's last 30 matches is 0.36 per 90, a better than one in three rate. The fact that he is by no means the shortest player on offer, and indeed, that he is the same price as some players on a much less frequent rate, is intriguing.

Kitching has won his yellow cards via fouls, but also one for time-wasting last time out. So there are a couple of threats for him getting a card here.

Torp has become a big shot threat this season for Coventry. He knows that playing alongside Matt Grimes means that he will have cover in the centre of midfield if he breaks forward, and he also is not afraid to shoot from distance.

This bet would have landed in all of Torp's starts, except Hull on the opening day.

He averages 2.82 shots in Coventry's last 30 matches, but 3.09 so far this season.