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Gem Bet: Liverpool v Man United

Gem Bet: Liverpool v Man United

Saturday 18 October, 20251 min read
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Harry Nye

Harry is a Christchurch-based football enthusiast whose love for sport and numbers naturally led him into the world of sports betting. While studying Mathematics at university, Harry began combining his analytical mindset with his passion for football. Harry focuses predominantly on football, with a particular emphasis on the Bundesliga this season, though as a Liverpool supporter (with a soft spot for QPR thanks to his dad), English football remains close to his heart. Whether it's late-night research or diving into stat models, Harry thrives on spotting the bets others might miss.

💎 Gem Bet: Alexander Isak - Over 2.5 Shots @ 1.80 (bet365)

bet365 - 1.80
SkyBet - 1.36
Paddy Power - 1.30

  • Liverpool v Man United
  • Premier League
  • 16:30
1 Selections @ 1.80

Alexander Isak - Over 2.5 Shots

bet365
A £10 bet on this Gem Bet returns £18.00 if it wins.
Load bet @ 1.80

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Jaden Philogene’s two shots on Friday night made it a perfect 10 from 10 for my Gem Bets, and with a huge clash at Anfield on Sunday afternoon, the stage is perfectly set to push that run to 11 in a row.

Alexander Isak to have 3 or more shots against Manchester United is generously priced at 1.8 with bet365, compared to odds as low as 1.3 elsewhere. That price gap alone highlights the value, with bet365’s number implying just a 55.6% likelihood, a clear misread for a player this prolific.

Before his headline move to Liverpool, Isak’s shot output was already elite averaging 3.21 shots per 90 and hitting this line in 9 of his last 13 starts for Newcastle. Since swapping Tyneside for Merseyside, that volume has barely dipped. He’s averaging 2.59 shots per 90 across all competitions this season despite starting just four games, two of which have come in the Premier League.

The added Sub On Play On safety net enhances this line further, with Hugo Ekitike, Liverpool’s other prolific forward, typically replacing Isak late on. Ekitike himself averages 3.17 shots per 90 this season, meaning this duo’s combined threat only strengthens the selection.

Isak’s shot returns this season when replaced by Ekitike read: 2, 3, 5, and 5. That consistency, paired with Liverpool’s relentless attacking philosophy, makes this line look far too high. This is gem looks like a superb way to make it 11 from 11 and round off another winning weekend in style.


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