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Liverpool v Tottenham
📅
Kick Off: Thursday 6th February at 20:00
🏆
Competition: EFL Cup
Ange Postecoglu’s promise of a trophy in his second season looks on track to materialise, with Tottenham taking a 1-0 lead into this second leg at Anfield after Lucas Bergvall found a late winner in North London. Tottenham’s defensive vulnerability may not allow for the true security that a 1 goal lead would usually present in a two-legged play-off tie, with the Spurs boss still missing key players defensively.
An argument could be made that this trophy isn’t as important to Liverpool, with Arne Slot’s side leading the way in the Premier League and looking strong in Europe but the EFL Cup has always been a base for top managers to establish early success in their tenure. Liverpool have been relentless at Anfield this season, losing just 1 of their 11 Premier League games at home and scoring 24 goals in the process.
⭐ Liverpool v Tottenham Best Bet
Whilst Ange Postecoglu is known for his bold and occasionally naive approach of playing with a high line and pushing unconventional players into advanced attacking positions, there were signs in the first leg of this tie that he knows he will have to adapt it slightly to navigate his way through against Liverpool.
Interestingly, Tottenham’s away record actually makes quite good reading when it comes to goals conceded. Only Liverpool, Arsenal, Man United and Crystal Palace have let in fewer than the 14 goals Tottenham have shipped across their 12 away games this season. With all the noise around Tottenham being too attacking-minded in their approach to games, this record really stands out.
Especially when compared to their home record where they do seem to be more front-footed but lose defensive solidity as a result. Tottenham have conceded 9 more goals at home this season compared to their travels.
This is also a good angle to take when considering Tottenham’s attacking talent which can always hurt the opposition. This is evidenced by the fact that Tottenham still managed to score 3 goals against Liverpool in their 6-3 defeat to the Reds in North London back in December.
It would be very surprising to see Ange Postecoglu’s side be bold in their approach here, knowing that a draw or even a slender loss will be enough for them to be within a chance of progressing to the final. This selection has landed in each of Tottenham’s last 11 games across all competitions which has included games against Arsenal and Newcastle.
👕 Liverpool v Tottenham Predicted XI
🔍 Liverpool v Tottenham Players to Watch
⚪ Son Heung-Min
Son has had 22 shots on target across his 21 Premier League appearances this season (1.25 per 90), resulting in 6 goals for the 32-year-old. He’s had at least 1 shot on target in 3 of his last 5 Premier League games and can act as an outlet for Tottenham here.
The majority of Tottenham’s opportunities are likely to come during the transition, where Son can be really effective. He’s already scored against Arsenal, Man United and Chelsea this season and can add Liverpool to that list here, or at the very least find the target at least once at a nice price of evens.
🔴 Alexis Mac Allister
The majority of praise has gone to Ryan Gravenberch in the Liverpool midfield this season, but Alexis Mac Allister is arguably just as important and effective, his foul record really stands out this campaign. Mac Allister has committed 42 fouls across his 22 Premier League appearances (2.31 per 90). This record includes Mac Allister committing at least 2 fouls in 4 of his last 5 Premier League appearances.
He committed 3 fouls and was shown a yellow card in Liverpool’s 2-0 win over Bournemouth last time out and committed 2 fouls in the league meeting between these sides. Mac Allister will be up against Dejan Kulusevski, who is averaging 1.43 fouls won per 90 across his 24 Premier League appearances this season and was fouled 3 times in the league meeting between these two.
🔴 Cody Gakpo
Gakpo has won the trust of Arne Slot after being in and out of the team under Jurgen Klopp. The 25-year-old has registered 11 goal contributions across his 23 Premier League appearances this campaign (8 goals, 3 assists) and has provided a goal contribution in 2 of his last 3 appearances, including a brace against Ipswich.
Gakpo is also posting decent underlying numbers, he’s averaging 1.17 shots on target per 90 as well as 2.0 chances created per 90, showing that he can be a threat in both departments and will be tough for Tottenham to get a handle on.
📂 Liverpool v Tottenham Cheat Sheet
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💻 Liverpool v Tottenham Form and Tactics
Liverpool line up in a 4-2-3-1 system, Arne Slot hasn’t had to change this much with the Reds sitting top of the Premier League and excelling in Europe as well as reaching the latter stages of the EFL Cup. The midfield is really important, Mac Allister and Gravenberch are tenacious when without the ball and keep it really well when they win it back with Gravenberch key to Liverpool progressing the play from their defence into attack.
The attack is allowed to be a lot more fluid, Liverpool have the most potent attacking line in the country, a large chunk of this is down to the ruthless nature of Mohamed Salah who is a constant threat. There is weakness in the fullback areas, Andy Robertson has had some tough assignments of late, so it’s possible that Tottenham look to target this area where one of their best players this season, Kulusevski, will be operating.
Tottenham went with their usual 4-3-3 shape in the first leg, but this noticeably was a lot more restricted in pressing up the pitch, this was probably Ange Postecoglu learning that Liverpool will simply pick them apart if they go with his usual approach – as they did in the league meeting between the sides (Liverpool won 6-3).
Tottenham had more of a foothold in the game with this approach, Liverpool had 10 fewer shots than they did in the league meeting and also posted a far more modest xG (5.63-.1.13) which is further evidence that the slightly more cautious approach was effective.
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🏁 Liverpool v Tottenham Ref Watch
- Referee: Craig Pawson
- There were 2 yellow cards shown and 18 fouls committed in the first leg, the second leg could see an increase in these metrics given what is at stake for both sides.
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 4.06 / 0.17 |
| Fouls Given | 22.39 |
| Penalties | 0.22 |
📺 How to Watch Liverpool v Tottenham in the EFL Cup
📅 When is Liverpool v Tottenham? / Thursday, 6 February 2025, 20:00
🏟 Where is Liverpool v Tottenham? / Anfield (Liverpool)
📺 What TV Channel is Liverpool v Tottenham on? / ITV1
🟨 …And who is the referee for Liverpool v Tottenham / Craig Pawson 🏴
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