Wednesday night’s marquee Premier League fixture sees Spurs make the trip up north to face Erik Ten Hag’s Manchester United. Neither side has been especially convincing in their performances this season, but the results continue to accumulate for both, with Spurs third, only behind second-placed Manchester City on goal difference, whilst United sit fifth, just three points outside the Champions League places.
Despite having only one team separating them in the table, Spurs are seven points ahead of United, with a +12 goal difference, whilst the Reds remain in the negative, sitting on -2. There is a clear gulf between these two sides, though their inconsistent performances mean that this noticeable gap cannot be relied on as a predictor of the result.
Spurs should win this if they can play to the best of their abilities, but despite losing only once this season, games in which they have showcased their best have been few and far between. Furthermore, the loss of Kulusevski and Richarlison mean what did look like one of the best forward lines in the Premier League is now once again reduced to being the Son and Kane show, with their lack of options making it much easier for defences to nullify their threat.
Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur Bet Builder Tips
Christian Eriksen to have 1+ Shots on Target
Eriksen’s role as a 6 in this United side has allowed him to shoot much more frequently than you might initially expect, with his positional awareness and intelligent late runs allowing him to ghost into space in and around the penalty area and get shots away.
Eriksen has taken at least one shot in 12 of 14 games this season, including two shots in 21 minutes against Omonia Nicosia last week. When we look at just Premier League fixtures, the Dane has taken at least 1 shot in every one of his 8 appearances and has managed a shot on target in 6 of these 8 Premier League games.
If presented with a few yards of space and a sight of goal, Eriksen will not hesitate to pull the trigger, and his technical ability allows him to make the most of these half chances. The former Spurs man has a shot efficiency rate of just under 50%, and takes just over 2 shots per game, so in any average fixture you would expect him to hit the target with one of his attempts.
Spurs’ back three should also play into his hands, with the United forward line occupying the centre-backs, there should be space for the ball to be pulled back to Eriksen in these pockets between the visitors’ defence and midfield and for him to get a shot away.
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Prediction: Christian Eriksen 1+ Shots on Target
Over 2.5 Manchester United Cards
Erik Ten Hag’s arrival saw many fans excited at the prospect of exciting attacking football returning to Old Trafford, but the football so far has been more brutal than beauty, with United receiving 3.00 cards per game this season, making a remarkable 12.23 fouls per game.
Spurs are also high up on the fouls chart, with 10.7 fouls per game so far this season, and with this game unlikely to get away from either team and remain close for the duration, the potential for this to become a scrappy and foul-laden contest looks to be high.
The fact that both sides are achieving such high numbers of fouls when referees are being told to avoid blowing up for more innocuous fouls shows that the fouls coming in are not merely hands in the back, but more aggressive challenges that if mistimed will result in a caution.
Referee Simon Hooper is not the most card-happy official in the Premier League, however, with United’s record of 3 or more yellow cards in 9 of their 10 Premier League games this season, I am still confident that they can hit this mark again here.
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Prediction: Manchester United Over 2.5 Cards
Manchester United to have Under 4.5 Corners
Neither side have seen many corners in their games this season, but for a side in fifth that you would expect to be on the front foot against the majority of the teams in the Premier League, United generate a very low number of corners per game, with just 31 corners in 9 league games this season, a rate of 3.44 per game. If they have another performance along the lines of the majority of their games this season, they will come in well below this line which looks to be very generous.
The Stretford-based side have faced three other ‘big 6’ sides in these 9 games and looking into corner stats from these games shows that United have managed 1, 2 and 6 corners respectively, with the one 6 corner game coming against a poor Liverpool side who really did not turn up for their game way back in August, Across these three games against Liverpool, Arsenal and Man City they have averaged lower than their general average, 3.00 per game against the ‘big 6’, and 3.66 against teams outside that group.
United have managed more than 4 corners in a Premier League game only twice all season, in games against Liverpool and Brighton, both back in August. Their last five games have seen just 2.8 Man United corners per game. Odds-against looks to be way too high here considering the statistics, and unless there is a huge reversal in what we have seen so far this season, this selection should sail in.
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Prediction: Manchester United Under 4.5 Corners
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How to watch Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League?
📅 When is Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur? / Wednesday, 19 October 2022, 20:15
🏟 Where is Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur? / Old Trafford (Manchester)
📺 What TV channel is Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur on? / Amazon Prime UK 🟨 …And who is the referee for Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur? / S. Hooper 🏴
