Although a number of draws have hampered the Bianconeri’s progress this season, they remain unbeaten in domestic competitions having played 19 games to date. They’ve drawn 5 of their last 6 in Italy, which might imply an event lasting beyond the 90-minute mark which is covered in this selection.

Milan have recorded just 2 wins in their last 7, sitting in 8th position – 5 points below Juventus. Their poor form has resulted in Fonseca’s sacking and Conceicao’s appointment ahead of this clash. The Portuguese manager won’t have had much time with his new squad and while a new manager bounce can’t be ruled out, on paper Milan are certainly not favoured.

Although Vlahovic is yet to find form in front of goal, he is apt at getting himself into great positions and is frequently supplemented by his teammates to create good chances, even if the final product has been off at times.

His average of 1.36 shots on target per 90 is significantly higher than any other Juventus player, with Yildiz taking second place with a mere 0.80. The Serbian international has tested the keeper at least once in 18 of his 22 appearances for Juventus this season.

Across all competitions, Milan have averaged 5.24 shots on target conceded per 90 and in the presence of Conceicao’s highly aggressive outlook, this could rise even higher.

Averaging 5.39 corners per game, backing Milan to win over 3.5 corners is a sensible selection.

They’ve racked up at least 6 in each of their last 3, averaging 7.67 per game over the period. Over the course of the entire season, Milan have won at least 4 corners in 14 out of their 18 games.

It should also be mentioned that during Conceicao’s last campaign with Porto, his side averaged an impressive 7.62 corners per game.

Juventus have averaged 4.17 corners conceded per 90, shipping at least 4 in 10 out of their 18 games.

Perhaps the most evident reason to suggest this could be a high-card affair is the intensity of the occasion – a match between bitter rivals who’ve endured poor seasons and are unlikely to collect any silverware elsewhere. The fiery Conceicao will further elevate this with his emphasis on pressing, work-rate and physicality.

Milan’s league matches have averaged 3.61 cards drawn whilst those of Juventus have average 4.00.

Andrea Colombo will be the referee in charge of enforcing discipline which is also convenient given his career average of 5.13 cards distributed per game.

Matches involving these sides have been typically low-scoring affairs and with Juventus evidently prioritising the defensive aspects of the game, backing either side to keep a clean sheet inside 90 minutes is reasonable.

The last time these sides clashed viewers were treated to a 0-0 stalemate featuring a grand total of 13 shots, 3 shots on target, and 0.71 expected goals.

Juventus’ games have averaged just 2.39 expected goals having conceded the fewest xGA of any team. It remains to be seen exactly how Conceicao’s Milan will set up but traditionally he aims to dominant possession which could fall into Thiago Motta’s hands, as he aims to shut them out and will perhaps have to worry less about the transitional risk of which Juventus have been susceptible to.

Morata’s average of 2.27 fouls per 90 this season implies a lot of value and it’s a surprise he’s been priced this generously, particularly given the degree to which he’ll be expected to lead the extremely high-press under Conceicao.

He’s sinned at least once in each of his most recent 6 starts for Milan, slipping up twice or more in 4 of those games and 3+ times in half of them.

One of the most likely beneficiaries of Conceicao’s appointment, Tammy Abraham, who had previously played second fiddle to Morata, is expected to star up front alongside the Spaniard in a 4-4-2.

That said, he has still managed 562 league minutes, across which he’s averaged an impressive 3.04 shots per 90 – ranking second only to Chukwueze amongst Milan players.

Across his 10 appearances spanning 45 minutes or longer, Abraham has fired off at least 2 shots in 7.

Tammy Abraham could be an asset in the shots on target market, as evidenced by his average of 1.60 per 90 in the league this season – the most of any player for the Rossoneri.

He’s had at least 1 in all 3 matches in which he lasted the full 90, and in 6 out of his 9 appearances spanning over an hour.