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Napoli v Lecce
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Kick Off: Sunday 26th May at 17:00
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Competition: Serie A
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 4
Kvicha Kvaratskhelia was able to rescue Napoli in their previous game with a magnificent free-kick to steal a point from Fiorentina, but that result extended Napoli’s winless run to six games – another dent in what has been a car crash of a title defence.
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On the other side, Lecce have secured a spot in Serie A for the second straight season, having already bettered their points tally of 36 last season. Considering that Lecce have the lowest wage bill in Serie A, and the youngest squad (24.1 years old), survival can be considered an overachievement for the Southern Italy side. They have every reason to be optimistic for next season, given that Lecce did not drop into the bottom three at any point of the season.
💰Napoli v Lecce Best Bets
Although Lecce failed to score in the reverse fixture, it’s impossible to trust a Napoli backline who have conceded in 18 consecutive games. Both teams to score at 1.73 is backable, and an appealing price in the circumstances.
Europa Conference League is still a mathematical possibility for Napoli, albeit unlikely. Sunday evening will be the final game for Napoli in Naples this season, so there is also motivation to deliver victory to a loyal home support. Given how poor Lecce have been when pre-match underdogs on the road, Napoli to win at 1.36 looks a solid price for a bet builder.
📂 Napoli v Lecce Cheat Sheet
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You can find Napoli v Lecce match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
⚔️ Napoli v Lecce Head-to-Head
Napoli will have fond memories of their last meeting with Lecce, having run out 4-0 winners. Lecce created just 0.46 xGF in what was a toothless performance, affording Napoli a rare clean sheet on the road. Centre back Leo Ostigard broke the deadlock early on, heading home from a pinpoint Piotr Zielinski set piece. Victor Osimhen then doubled the lead just five minutes after being introduced at half-time, before Gianluca Gaetano scored in the 88th minute. An injury-time spot kick from Matteo Politano sealed a comfortable victory for Rudi Garcia’s Napoli.
That win back in September took Napoli up to third position in the league, which turned out to be the highest position they would find themselves in all season, preceding a remarkable downturn in performances. Garcia and Napoli have since parted ways, his successor Walter Mazzarri has been and gone too. Francesco Calzona is the man currently at the reins having been set the impossible task of salvaging the season in February.
📊 Napoli Form and Stats
Turbulent results have persisted under Calzona, having achieved just three wins from his 13 games in charge. It’s been a particularly barren run of late, as Napoli managed just one win in the last ten Serie A games. Europa League qualification has evaded them for next season, although they are mathematically still in the running to qualify for the Conference League. Chances are slim though, as Fiorentina need to achieve at least one point in their next two games.
To compound the issue, Victor Osimhen seems set to miss the final game of the season through injury. The highly-rated striker might have already played his last game for Napoli, potentially enticed by links to the Premier League. Zielinski is also ruled out with a thigh injury.
📊 Lecce Form and Stats
Lecce have managed just two wins on the road in Serie A this season from 18 games – coming against Sassuolo and Salernitana. Both of those teams have both have since had their relegation confirmed – Lecce have really struggled on the road against the higher-performing Italian teams. Interestingly, when playing against the Serie A top ten, Lecce have taken just one point from ten games. That includes nine losses, and one draw this season. Contrastingly, against the bottom ten, Lecce have managed two wins, seven draws and one loss.
Complacency has seemingly set in for Lecce, who have lost their last two games since their safety was confirmed. They also failed to score in both games, which might provide Napoli some confidence to end their season on something of a high note.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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