This is a really nice spot for a big JK Dobbins game. The Broncos are heavy favourites in what is essentially a neutral site game and Dobbins is averaging 80.4 rushing yards per game at 5.22 yards per carry. At that pace he’d only need 10 carries to reach the 50 yards mark, but he’s getting 15 per game this season. He has also gone over 60 yards in all five games this year and over 70 yards in his last four.

This Jets run defense presents a soft matchup for Dobbins too. They allow over 130 rushing yards a game and have actually given up over 130 yards to both James Cook and De’Von Achane alone this season. There’s also little reason to worry about competition from rookie running back RJ Harvey, who had just four carries against the Eagles last week. This is Dobbins’ backfield and I expect him to carve up the Jets in London.

Justin Fields is your prototypical dual-threat quarterback, often able to do more with his legs than he can with his arm. He’s gone over 25 rushing yards in every game he’s played this season, including week two where he left early with a concussion. While he has progressed as a passer this season, Denver’s pass defence is formidable. They’re the eighth best pass defence in the league and allow just 200 passing yards per game. Importantly, they also have a league-high 21 sacks this season, which means Fields is likely to be scrambling frequently in this game.

The Broncos defence is led by elite cornerback Patrick Surtain, who is likely to shadow Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson. Wilson has been a key target for Fields this season but was held to five receptions for 41 yards last time he faced Surtain. If Wilson is neutralised, look for Fields to lean on his legs more out of necessity.

Dobbins has been a dominant force this season as part of a Broncos run game that ranks fourth in the entire NFL. The veteran has four touchdowns through five games this year and is the clear lead back for Denver, averaging 15 carries per game. By contrast, backups RJ Harvey and Tyler Badie haven’t even combined for 15 carries in a single game this season.

The key point here is that Dobbins also has a grip on the red zone work, with 76.5% of the team’s rush attempts inside the 20-yard line. He gets a nice matchup here too as the Jets have given up six total touchdowns to running backs through five games - four on the ground and two through the air. Given his workhorse role and the Jets’ porous defense, I expect to see Dobbins get in the endzone at least once on Sunday.

There were a lot of discussions before the season started about who would serve as the secondary pass catcher for the Jets behind Garrett Wilson. It looked likely to be either veteran Josh Reynolds or rookie Arian Smith, but it’s tight end Mason Taylor who has emerged as the safety blanket for Justin Fields after the first five weeks of the season. In the last two games he’s seen a combined 19 targets, resulting in 14 receptions for 132 yards.

The Broncos are eighth in the NFL in passing yards allowed, but a lot of the focus is on cornerback Patrick Surtain, who will shadow Garrett Wilson. With his primary target facing top tier coverage on every play, I expect Fields to target Taylor often, continuing to build on the chemistry they’ve built this season. He’s gone over 60 receiving yards in back-to-back games, so even in a tough matchup the 25 yards mark feels very achievable.