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Arsenal v Newcastle
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Kick Off: Tuesday 7th January at 20:00
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Competition: EFL Cup
The opening leg of the EFL Cup semi-finals between Arsenal and Newcastle is set to commence this Tuesday night in what should be another fiery cup tie.
Arsenal booked their spot in this semi-final fixture after defeating Crystal Palace 3-2 in December which, after a frustrating 1-1 draw at Brighton last week, makes them undefeated in their last 13 fixtures.
Newcastle, meanwhile, coasted past Brentford in the quarter-finals with a comfortable 3-1 triumph. After their narrow 2-1 victory against Tottenham on Saturday afternoon, they’ve now won 5 league games on the bounce.
⭐ Arsenal v Newcastle Best Bet
There is a perception that this competition means more to Newcastle than Arsenal, but The Gunners are one of the best teams in England and merit respect even if they change their lineup. They are unbeaten in 13 straight games in all competitions and haven’t lost here in North London in 9 months. Let’s not forget that this is a two-legged tie so nobody wins or loses the contest in this game. Newcastle know they will have a great opportunity in their home leg and Arsenal realise they need the advantage to take to the northeast. Without Bruno Guimaraes and Fabian Schar (suspended), the visitors are vulnerable, and Arsenal can take advantage by winning.
🟢 Arsenal v Newcastle #WhatOddsPaddy
- Arsenal have scored at least two goals at home in 11 out of 15 fixtures at the Emirates Stadium this season. They pack plenty of firing power and only Spurs and Liverpool have scored more times than them in the Premier League.
- Arsenal average 6 corners per game and concede just 3 per game in the EPL this season. They have won the corner count 6-4, 9-0 and 11-0 vs Newcastle in recent H2Hs.
- Arsenal have only had more cards than their opponents in 2 of their last 8 home games.
- Newcastle have only lost the card count in 1 of their last 8 games in all competitions.
👕 Arsenal v Newcastle Predicted XI
🔍 Arsenal v Newcastle Players to Watch
⚫ Alexander Isak
Newcastle are the clear underdog in the first leg but Alexander Isak is almost an automatic bet at these odds in the ‘to score or assist’ market. He’s been on fire and scored in 7 of his last 8 competitive fixtures, netting a combined 9 goals in this period in addition to a couple of assists. Isak is in brilliant form and looks like the sort of player who will take any chance if given the opportunity. This will of course be a trickier game for him on the road at the Emirates Stadium but at odds of 2.75 with both markets in play this must be considered a value selection.
⚫ Joelinton
He should start in the middle of the park here for Newcastle, right at the centre of the action. He has obtained the most cards for The Toon this season (7) and is going to be vulnerable/ Newcastle are going to rely on him to disrupt play and use his experience in the absence of some key individuals. Up against the likes of Jorginho, Thomas Partey, and Martin Odegaard, it will be a tough evening for him. Joelinton averages over 2 fouls per 90 minutes in the EPL this season and could give referee Craig Pawson some work. Pawson averages 4.42 cards per game this season so he is hardly shy of dishing them out if needed.
🔴⚫ Thomas Partey / Joelinton
This is a special price but it looks great value on two persistent foulers in the middle of the park. Newcastle are missing Bruno Guimaraes so Eddie Howe is expected to turn towards Joelinton in midfield. When the Brazilian plays more centrally then it will naturally open up his chances of committing more fouls and potentially collecting a card. He already averages 2.10 fouls per 90 mins in the Premier League this season. Thomas Partey averages 1.40 fouls per 90 minutes and is facing the likes of Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, and Anthony Gordon who are all fouled more than once on average per 90 minutes. Combining both players to commit two fouls or more looks like a massive price.
📂 Arsenal v Newcastle Cheat Sheet
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💻 Arsenal v Newcastle Form and Tactics
- Arsenal are unbeaten in 13 straight games in all competitions with 9 victories in that run
- They have not lost a match at the Emirates Stadium since mid-April (vs Villa)
- Newcastle are in their best form of the season winning 6 straight games in all competitions with an 18:2 margin
- Newcastle should line up in a 4-3-3 formation but might be more cautious than normal being away from home against a team like Arsenal
- Arsenal will continue in their normal 4-3-3 system which averages over 55% possession in the Premier League
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🏁 Arsenal v Newcastle Ref Watch
- Referee: Craig Pawson
- Averages 4.41 cards per game in the Premier League this season
- Has awarded a penalty 1 in every 4 games officiated this season
- Has a low red card issue rate in his career at just 0.14 per match
- Career average of 3.84 cards issued per game in all competitions
- Has issued at least four cards in all of his last three games
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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