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Brighton v Newcastle Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Brighton v Newcastle Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Sunday 2 March, 20254 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

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Brighton welcome Newcastle to the Amex on Saturday, having won two of the three head-to-head clashes between the sides last season. 

Newcastle are on an upward trajectory having won their last two matches after a tough start to the season, which was compounded by a difficult summer transfer window.

Our Brighton v Newcastle Betting Stats provide further insight.

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Brighton v Newcastle Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Brighton v Newcastle
  • Premier League
  • 15:00
4 Selections @ 4.78

Both Teams to Score

Brighton have seen BTTS in six of their seven matches in the Premier League so far this season, these games have produced 20 goals (2.87 per game) with an exact split in goals scored and goals conceded (10-10).

This tells us that Brighton struggle to manage games, they are more than capable of scoring with the depth and variety of their attacking talent, but keeping opposition sides out can prove to be tough. They’ve seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions, with the exception of their 6-0 win over Barnsley in the Carabao Cup. 

Newcastle have seen BTTS in two of their last five matches, but did see BTTS in this fixture last season, as the sides contested a 1-1 draw. BTTS also landed in the FA Cup clash between the sides at St James’ Park, which Brighton won 2-1. 

Brighton’s inability to keep the opposition out was an issue that the Seagulls had last season. Fabian Hurzeler’s side conceded 59 goals in the Premier League last term, which was the most of any of the top 13 in the division. 26 of these goals (44%) were conceded at the Amex Stadium.

Anthony Gordon to have 2+ Shots

Gordon should be full of confidence heading into this game, having scored for England over the international break. He took four shots in England’s 5-0 win over Latvia, and his shot volume has been consistently high so far this season. He’s had 12 shots across his four Premier League appearances (3.97 per 90), with his shot threat being even more important to this Newcastle side now that they are without Alexander Isak.

Gordon also had 59 shots across his 34 Premier League appearances last season (2.17 per 90), which is a record that should be producing more goals. He netted just six in the Premier League last term, and he’s a player that should be pushing towards double digits for both goals and assists with the quality he possesses, in truth.

Carlos Baleba to Commit 2+ Fouls

Baleba has committed a foul in four of his last five Premier League appearances, with two of these matches seeing Baleba commit 2+ fouls. He was heavily on the radar of clubs like Man United during the summer, though his early season performances have been a bit disappointing.

That being said, Baleba’s foul streak has remained consistent from last season. He’s committed 11 fouls across his seven appearances overall (2.79 per 90) and will now be facing up against one of the best midfield trios in the Premier League, who all show real promise when it comes to winning fouls.

The most obvious candidate to draw fouls from Baleba is Bruno Guimaraes. There aren’t many better players in the Premier League than Guimaraes when it comes to winning fouls, with the Brazilian winning 19 already this campaign (3.17 per 90). He averaged 2.96 fouls won per 90 across his 38 Premier League appearances last season too, showing his numbers remain solid over a larger sample size.

Over 1.5 Brighton Cards

Discipline is proving a problem for Brighton in the early stages of the season, with the Seagulls picking up 22 yellow cards across their seven matches (3.14 per game) - more than any other side in the Premier League.

Brighton have picked up 2+ cards in six of these games, with the exception being their 2-2 draw against Tottenham, which was a game that saw them collect just one booking. Five of these matches have seen Brighton collect 3+ cards.

Brighton are quite a young side, and also have a young manager, which can play into their disciplinary issues. They committed 15 fouls and received two yellow cards in this fixture last season, and also picked up 2+ cards in both of the other head-to-head meetings between the sides across the FA Cup and Premier League.

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📈 Brighton v Newcastle Form & Tactics

Brighton are a really exciting side to watch. Their games tend to be end-to-end and they have players with potential that are always worth keeping an eye on. The one that has stood out to me the most so far this season is Yankuba Minteh, I think he’s developing into a top prospect and would excel on either wing for one of the top sides in the Premier League. 

As well as individual talent, Brighton also have a top manager. Fabian Hurzeler is the youngest manager in the Premier League by quite some distance, but has held his own so far in guiding Brighton to an 8th placed finish last season, narrowly missing out on European football. 

One thing which always stands out about Brighton is how goal heavy their games tend to be. Their 38 Premier League matches last season produced 125 goals (3.28 per game). They conceded the most goals of any side in the top 13 of the Premier League, but managed to offset this with 66 goals themselves.

Newcastle’s tough start to the season brings me back to last campaign, where the Magpies started really slowly and had to battle back to qualify for the Champions League.

Newcastle’s recent results have been positive, with back-to-back wins against Nottingham Forest in the Premier League and USG in the Champions League. They won both of these games to nil in what could be a turning point in their season.


📔 Brighton v Newcastle Formation & Team News

Brighton tend to line up in a 4-2-3-1, but they are very fluid in the final third. If Rutter leads the line here then you will see a 4-4-2 for Brighton, with Rutter dropping off the centre backs slightly to help in build up. If Welbeck starts then you can expect him to occupy the traditional number nine role.

Brighton’s wide players are crucial in this system, they are platformed to be 1v1 as often as possible and look to get shots away or crosses into the box quickly when they get close to goal. The midfield is also very technically sound, as well as being aggressive, a lot of the attention goes towards Carlos Baleba, but I also think Yasin Ayari is a fine player in midfield for the Seagulls.

Newcastle line up in a 4-3-3. This is the shape that Eddie Howe has used since he arrived at the club and he’s rarely diverted away from it. This is likely due to the fact that he has three of the best midfielders in the Premier League in Tonali, Guimaraes and Joelinton. 

There is also a big focus for Newcastle on utilising width, though this threat is a little blunted at the moment with Livramento and Hall sidelined. When that duo do return to full fitness, we’ll see the best of Newcastle, with overlapping fullbacks supporting the likes of Gordon and Elanga, with a target man through Woltemade to aim for in the box.


🔮 Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Accumulator Tips and Gem Bets, as well as Football Betting Tips and Premier League Predictions for this weekend, on Andy's Bet Club.

We've got you covered for Saturday's Premier League action, with a Premier League Accumulator, as well as Fulham v Arsenal Tips and Nottingham Forest v Chelsea Betting Tips, plus Bayern v Dortmund Bet Builder Tips and Man City v Everton Betting Tips.

You can also check out our Player Shots On Target Tips and Player Score or Assist Betting Tips. We also have BTTS Tips on site, as well as Over 2.5 Goals Predictions.

We recommend the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer, as well as both the bet365 Sign Up Offer and Boylesports New Customer Offer, If you're looking for a new bookie. There's also a list of the best Free Bet Offers on site, as well as a collection of the Best Odds Boosts.


* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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