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Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund
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Kick Off: Saturday 30th March at 17:30
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Competition: Bundesliga
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Football
Though neither side is likely to be crowned champions at the end of the season, Der Klassiker, featuring Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, is our main focus in Germany this weekend. We’ll also have our usual range of European football best bets and European football betting tips alongside the rest of the expert football tips & predictions you’ve come to expect from Andy’s Bet Club every week.
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It is looking almost certain that, for the first time in 11 seasons, Bayern will not win the Bundesliga. Nonetheless, the hosts will be hopeful of a miracle, making every game a must-win for Thomas Tuchel’s men. Bayern have demonstrated their quality recently, winning by a minimum of three goals in their last three outings.
A three-match winning streak has seen Dortmund retain their place in the Bundesliga’s top four; Edin Terzic will be hopeful that his side can continue this form to ensure that Signal Iduna Park sees Champions League football again next season. Dortmund’s last game saw them win 3-1 in an important clash against sixth-placed Eintracht Frankfurt.
The two sides last met in November, with Dortmund being on the receiving end of a 4-0 thrashing.
These Bayern Munich v Dortmund stats will provide an insight into what to expect from this meeting. If you plan to place a bet builder on this game, this is the place to find some key tips.
Bayern Munich v Dortmund Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
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You can find Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off. If you’re looking for a new bookmaker check out the best bet builder bookmakers.
🏆 Match stats: Bayern to do the double
Although a disappointing opening few months in 2024 has seen Bayern slip to being ten points behind league leaders Leverkusen, they have still looked formidable at home, winning 11 and losing just one of their 13 matches at the Allianz this season.
The hosts have been incredible going forward at home, scoring 11 more goals than any other Bundesliga side thus far, netting an average of 3.62 goals per home game. This has been complimented by Bayern’s defensive efforts, with Tuchel’s men conceding an average of just 0.69 goals per home fixture.
On the whole, Dortmund have impressed at home; however, they have seemed to struggle against stronger opposition. Terzic’s side have failed to beat any of the league’s top seven on the road.
Bayern cruised to a 4-0 win when they faced Dortmund earlier this season, and the last time they failed to beat BVB at the Allianz was in 2014. We expect the hosts to keep their title hopes alive, mathematically at least, completing the double against Dortmund in the process.
Predictions:
⚽ Bayern Munich to win @ 1.36
🎯 Shooting stats: Kane to test Dortmund’s keeper
Bayern have kept their opponent’s keepers extremely busy when playing at home this season, registering an average of 8.8 shots on target per game across their last ten home matches.
One key contributor to that has been Harry Kane, with the Englishman registering an average of 2.1 shots on target per match this season. Kane has been clinical in recent home matches, registering an average of 2.7 shots on target per game across his last seven appearances at the Allianz. The England captain registered four shots on target when he last faced Dortmund.
Dortmund have also taken their fair share of accurate shots in away outings recently, registering an average of 5.9 shots on target across their last eight away matches.
Dortmund’s joint-top scorer Niclas Fullkrug has been influential in this, registering an average of 1.1 shots on target per game this campaign. The German striker has been a threat in recent away matches, registering an average of 1.2 shots on target per game across his last five away league starts.
The bookies are offering a price of 1.40 for Kane to register a minimum of two shots on target, and decent value of 1.53 for Fullkrug to hit the target at least once.
Predictions:
⚽ Harry Kane to have 2+ shots on target @ 1.40
⚽ Niclas Fullkrug to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.53
🚩 Corners stats: Expect plenty of Bayern corners
No side has taken more corners than Bayern in the Bundesliga this season, with the hosts earning an average of 7.54 per game at this stage. This average has been even higher in Bayern’s recent home matches, with Tuchel’s men forcing an average of 7.89 corners per match.
Dortmund have leaked plenty of corners on the road this season. This his been present across the visitors’ last ten away games, with Terzic’s side facing an average of 7.2 corners per match in that run.
Bayern have taken a minimum of six corners in all of their last nine home league matches, and the bookies are offering a price of 1.16 for the hosts to take a minimum of six here, with 1.36 available for there to be at least seven Bayern corners.
Predictions:
⚽ Over 5.5 Bayern Munich corners @ 1.17
⚽ Over 6.5 Bayern Munich corners @ 1.36
🛑 Fouls stats: A busy night for Ryerson
Dortmund have struggled to keep things clean in the Bundesliga this season, committing an average of 9.5 fouls per match thus far. The visitors committed 13 fouls when they last faced Bayern.
One persistent culprit has been Julian Ryerson. The Norwegian full back, who committed a foul in his last meeting with Bayern, has committed at least one foul in five of his last six appearances.
Ryerson will face the challenge of dealing with Jamal Musiala, who has drawn an average of 2.57 fouls per game across his last seven league starts.
The bookies are offering the generous price of 1.50 for Ryerson to foul at least once here.
Predictions:
⚽ Julian Ryerson to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.50
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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