In this article…
🎁 Bet £10 and Get £60 in Free Football Bet Builders at Paddy Power Today
Sign up to Paddy Power, place a £10 bet on football at odds of 2.00 (evens) or greater, and you will unlock £60 in Free Bets to use on Bet Builders.
New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on Football on odds of min 1.5 (1/2), get £60 in Free Bet Builders after the qualifying bet has been settled. Rewards are also eligible on ACCA bets with 2 or more legs & are valid for 30 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify (Apple Pay excluded). T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.
Newcastle v Nottingham Forest
📅
Kick Off: Tuesday 26th December at 12:30
🏆
Competition: Premier League
📺
Watch Live: Amazon Prime Video
At Andy’s Bet Club, we know how important Boxing Day football is for all football fans, so we have you covered with expert selections across a range of Premier League bet builders and Premier League accumulators while you wait for the Christmas dinner leftovers. It’s not just England’s top-flight either, we also have a range of other expert football tips & predictions.
We have also collected the very best available free bet offers and all of the newest bookmaker offers for you to take advantage of and maximise your money’s worth.
For extra value on your festive period punting there is over £200 in Boxing Day free bets available.
The Boxing Day showdown between Newcastle and Nottingham Forest takes place at St James’ Park where the hosts have shown great form this season. The Magpies have 7 wins in 8 Premier League contests this season at home, with a current 6-game win streak, which will inspire confidence against a Nottingham Forest side who are winless in 6 games on the road.
Newcastle have been monsters at home so far this campaign, keeping a clean sheet in five of their last 6 games at St James’ Park and averaging just over 2 goals at home. But Newcastle’s recent form has certainly been chequered. With three wins in their last 10 matches across all competitions, including defeat at the weekend to Luton, their hopes for another top 4 charge have taken some considerable hits but it remains a very tight race.
Nottingham Forest’s worries continue after their result against Bournemouth at the weekend which has seen them slip further behind in the conquest to steer clear of the relegation zone, leaving them only 2 points above Luton. Nuno Espirito Santo’s return to the Premier League touchline for the first time in over two years did not inspire much more than Steve Cooper’s side, so there’s still work to do.
Newcastle v Nottingham Forest Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
🔥 Get more betting tips, research and cheat sheets from Andy’s Bet Club.
There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets, and we encourage you to find your own formula to pick a winning bet builder, however, if you’re unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.
You can find Newcastle v Nottingham Forest match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
⚽️ Match stats: A late Xmas present for the Magpies
Newcastle are boasting some seriously stellar home form in recent weeks, with six consecutive Premier League wins at St James’ Park, conceding only one in that time to Chelsea. Recent form doesn’t paint the Magpies in amazing light, especially giving Luton their first ever home win in the Premier League and only their second this season. However Newcastle did have a dominating performance at Kenilworth Road, which is way more difficult than fans make it out to be but it wasn’t enough. But playing at the Tyneside Fortress, it’s difficult to look past Newcastle getting a result here.
Nottingham Forest have endured a difficult last couple of months, having lost six of their last seven matches prior to the Christmas weekend.
Their struggles are certainly heightened on the road, with Forest failing to score in four of their last six Premier League away games and conceding at least three goals in three of their last four away visits, with only 1 away win from 9 attempts so far this season.
Newcastle boast the highest total xG in the league so far this season and have been very clinical in their chances, scoring only 4 goals less than predicted.
Defensively, Eddie Howe’s boys are infamously solid, boasting the 4th best defence and xGA in the Premier League, both of which will likely cause fear for Nottingham Forest as they sit 6th lowest scoring team, with an even worse xG ranking with 4th from bottom.
Taiwo Awoniyi has certainly been missed from this Forest side and their attacking presence has been fairly limited, scoring only 3 goals across their last 5 games. Partnered with their continuing struggles away from home, a clean sheet for Newcastle could certainly be on the cards.
Predictions:
⚽ Newcastle to win @ 1.40
⚽ Over 1.5 Newcastle goals @ 1.44
🎯 Shooting stats: Anthony Gordon loves St James’ Park
Anthony Gordon continues to star in black and white stripes and the Englishman has loved playing at St James’ Park this season, racking up a goal or an assist in each of his last four Premier League matches at home.
Gordon boasts an impressive 2.41 shots per 90 so far this season with 1.03 hitting the target, only Alexander Isak and Callum Wilson have better numbers across these categories, but both have played far less minutes than Gordon.
He has hit the target at least once in 9 of his last 11 games in the Premier League, hitting the target on 12 occasions from 27 attempts in that time – he certainly has an eye for goal at the moment.
Gordon is Newcastle’s top goal contributor so far this season, with 6 goals and 4 assists, generating 0.69 xG+A per 90 this season, a leaky Forest defence could certainly open possibilities for Gordon to get involved.
Our next selection focuses on Bruno Guimaraes, who is certainly not recognised for his shooting tendencies but his stats tell a different story, and the markets show great value here.
Guimaraes averages 1.15 shots per 90, with only 0.32 hitting the target. He has had at least 1 shot on goal in all but 2 of his Premier League games this campaign, with 2 shots on goals in 3 consecutive home matches. His price of 1.33 to have 1 shot looks solid value but a price of 2.63 for 2 shots on goal looks very tasty.
This selection has landed in 3 of his last 5 league games, including games against Manchester United and Chelsea. With Newcastle likely to dominate possession here, Guimaraes should have plenty of time on the ball and let fly when he finds space.
Predictions:
⚽ Anthony Gordon to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.44
⚽ Anthony Gordon to score or assist @ 1.91
⚽ Bruno Guimaraes to have 1+ shot @ 1.29
⚽ Bruno Guimaraes to have 2+ shots @ 2.50
🛑 Fouls stats: Forest to get stuck in in hopes of stealing points
Nottingham Forest have shown a love for fouls recently, running up their average to 11.50 fouls per 90 minutes so far this campaign, a strong average with their Boxing Day hosts only slightly behind with 10.80.
Despite these similar averages, over the last few league matches, Newcastle have shown decent discipline in their game picking up 6, 8, 12, 7 and 5 fouls in their last 5 games – fairly disciplined.
Whereas Nottingham Forest have racked up 15, 10, 11, 10 and 16 fouls over their last 5. They face a Newcastle side that draws in an average of 12.80 fouls per 90 meaning lots of potential for more fouls to flow in. The Magpies have drawn in a whopping 81 fouls over their last 6 games and they’ll likely see most of the ball on Boxing Day which is perfect for drawing in fouls.
Ryan Yates is looking like the best fouling candidate for Nottingham Forest as he has started to get consistent minutes and continues to rack up high fouling games. Yates averages 3.33 fouls per 90 and has committed 12 fouls in his last 4 games, one of which he only played 45 minutes.
Yates will be sandwiched in a tough midfield battle, facing up against the likes of Bruno Guimaraes and Joelinton who are drawing in 2.44 and 1.65 fouls per 90. The Brazilian pairing love to frustrate their opponents in the middle of the park and this could easily occur again if Forest find themselves trailing early on.
Predictions:
⚽ Nottingham Forest to commit 12+ fouls @ 1.57
⚽ Nottingham Forest to commit 13+ fouls @ 1.91
⚽ Ryan Yates to commit 1+ foul @ 1.73
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
18+ please gamble responsibly.
