The Belgian playmaker has establish himself as a regular in the Aston Villa midfield this season, after the summer departure of Douglas Luiz.

He is the one who tries to pull the strings, so it is obvious why opposition teams would want to stop him. He is currently drawing 2 fouls per 90 so far this season, so looking for 1 foul should be easy to achieve, especially playing in the vicinity of Yates, Dominquez and Gibbs-White.

John McGinn has been fouled over 3 times per 90 this season. The way he draws fouls is an art form. He too will be in the same area of the pitch as Tielemans, so will have all the same players to be able to draw from.

In Villa’s last 4 games, McGinn has been fouled 15 times, covering the 2+ in every one of those games.

Another of McGinn’s traits is his propensity to shoot, racking up to shots in his last 4 games, within which this bet would have landed in all of them.

He averages 1.8 shots per 90, often playing in an advanced or wide role for Villa this season. Despite being 5th in the league, Forest have conceded the 7th highest amount of shots.

Rogers in enjoying a breakout Premier League season, starting every game for Unai Emery’s side either off the striker or from the left hand side.

Rogers was won 1.2 fouls per 90 this season, and in each of Villa’s last 5 home games he has been fouled at least once.

Maybe slightly surprisingly, Forest’s captain Yates has won more fouls than he has committed this season, having won 32 but committed 28.

He is fouled on average 2.6 times per 90. Villa have committed the 2nd highest number of fouls in the Premier League this season, at an average of 11.8 per game.

We have backed Tielemans to be fouled 1+ times in bet builder 1, and given he average 2 fouls won per 90, we will back him here to draw 2+ fouls from Nottingham Forest.

This would have landed in 4 out of 5 of Villa’s last 5 away games, and 3 of their last 5 games overall.

Lucas Digne has picked up yellow cards at a rate of 1 every 4 90’s he plays. It has been 6 games since his last card.

The main reason for this fancy is that he may be up against Jota Silva. He has drawn 7 yellow cards from his opponents, which is one every 68 minutes he has played. Even if Silva doesn’t play, his likely replacement is Anthony Elanga, who has drawn 6 fouls from opponents, the second highest total in Forests team. Ola Aina also plays down that side, and has drawn 5 yellow cards from opponents.

The two sides have both received 35 yellow cards this season, with Forest seeing 2 red cards and Villa just 1. But it is Villa I want to get with to be shown the most cards here.

They average 2.57 cards awarded away from home, whilst Forest average 1.57 at home. Forest’s opposition at the City Ground average 3.14, whilst Villa opponent on the road average 2.43.

Forests opponents have won the cards match up in 6 games out of 7 at the City Ground, with the other a draw.