Neco Williams has been an important player for Sean Dyche since the 54 year old coach took over at Forest with Williams lining up at left back, and playing the full 90 minutes, in each of his last three Premier League appearances. 

This means we can expect Williams to line up against one of Tottenham’s most fouled players this season in Mohammed Kudus who has won 13 fouls across his 14 Premier League appearances this term (0.96 per 90). This record isn’t truly representative of how good Kudus is at travelling with the ball and winning fouls - Kudus is averaging 3.34 successful dribbles per 90 with a success rate of over 50%, which suggests that his foul won rate should be a tad higher. 

This argument becomes stronger when looking at Kudus’ numbers for West Ham last season. He averaged a similar number of dribbles completed per 90 (3.18) but managed to win 64 fouls across his 32 Premier League appearances (2.21 per 90) which is where Kudus’ numbers should climb to over a larger sample size. 

Williams’ recent foul numbers aren’t too appealing with the Welshman committing a foul in two of his last five Premier League appearances, which is likely the reason for this more generous pricing when compared with other bookmakers. Williams will also have to contest duels against Pedro Porro, who is one of the most forward thinking fullbacks in the Premier League - Porro is averaging 0.94 fouls won per 90, so can offer a threat to the left back alongside Kudus. 

Overall, Williams has committed 15 fouls across his 15 Premier League appearances this term (1.00 per 90). His duel against Kudus really stands out to me in that clash, with Kudus’ dribbling numbers suggesting that he will regularly take on the Forest fullback. There is decent value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the exact same angle is priced as low as 1.3 with other major bookmakers.