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PSG v Real Sociedad Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

PSG v Real Sociedad Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Tuesday 13 February, 20243 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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PSG v Real Sociedad

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Kick Off: Wednesday 14th February at 20:00
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Competition: Champions League
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 2

The Champions League continues this Wednesday, and as ever, our experts have been all over the football going on in Europe. Alongside our PSG v Sociedad bet builder tips, make sure you check out our Champions League bet builder tips, including those for Lazio v Bayern; our Champions League accumulator for Tuesday, as well as plenty more free expert football betting predictions from all corners of the globe.

Our football betting cheat sheet tool will be on hand all weekend to guide you through every European game across all three competitions. Inside, we have everything you need to craft a perfect bet builder. Before you back your bet builder though, make sure to check out our free bet offers and a selection of the best bookmaker offers to help you bet smarter.

PSG’s quest to win the Champions League continues on Wednesday when Kylian Mbappe will lead his side into battle against Real Sociedad.

Mbappe was not involved in Saturday’s victory over Lille, yet Luis Enrique has promised that his forward will be at 100% for this encounter, which has the makings of a banana skin tie for a club that has flattered to deceive in the competition over the years.

PSG, remember, failed to progress through their group in top spot. Instead, they were left sweating it out until the last minutes as they finished as runners-up to Borussia Dortmund. PSG were, however, undefeated at home, recording wins over Borussia Dortmund and Milan, though they laboured to a draw with Newcastle.

On the other hand, Real Sociedad topped a pool with Inter, Red Bull Salzburg and Benfica, doing so undefeated. The Basque side have only lost five matches in La Liga this term, and while they find themselves seventh in the standings, that is primarily because they have drawn too many games.

Imanol Alguacil may have built a no-frills side, but it is a team that is effective and is bound to test a PSG outfit that still appears unsure of itself when put under pressure.

PSG v Real Sociedad Cheat Sheet

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This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

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You can find PSG v Real Sociedad match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match stats: Spaniards to make life difficult for PSG

For a PSG bet builder, backing a home win is a logical move, but odds of 1.67 look a little short given how difficult Real Sociedad have been to beat this season. Instead, supporting the Spanish side to win with a handicap of +1.5 looks a very healthy price at 1.33. After all, La Real have not lost by more than a single goal in any competition since April 15th 2023. With Sociedad generally imposing tight matches on whomever they face, it is logical to believe that there won't be many goals in this game. Four of their last eight La Liga matches have finished 0-0 while the total goals in their games over the spell is only seven. While PSG score freely at home domestically – they have scored 30 goals in 11 home matches in Ligue 1 – Luis Enrique’s side have typically found it more difficult to find the net in Europe. Indeed, during their group matches, their three home matches produced only seven goals. Admittedly, PSG were in the Group of Death with Dortmund, Newcastle and Milan, which complicated matters, but Les Parisiens are not especially free-scoring. The pattern of this encounter is likely to be PSG dominating but finding it difficult to break the resistance of their well-organised opponents.

Predictions:

⚽ Real Sociedad (+1.5) handicap @ 1.36

🎯 Shooting stats: Mbappe looks excellent value

Rested at the weekend following a knock he had picked up days earlier, Kylian Mbappe is expected to come roaring into this game and will, inevitably, be PSG's main threat in front of goal. The PSG stats show that he has nearly 5 efforts per game and 2.14 shots on target per match. There is no one else who will be on display who averages even 1 shot on target per 90. Coming into this game fresh after a week of rest, Mbappe is the player PSG are pinning their hopes on in this encounter. The striker has 30 goals for the season in 29 matches in all competitions, which is 21 more than any of his team-mates, and will hit free kicks and penalties. A price of 1.91 on him to net anytime, therefore, seems particularly generous, even if he only has three in six in the Champions League this season. A wildcard pick for PSG is the rapidly improving Bradley Barcola. In his last eight domestic games, he has a goal or an assist in five. Off the back of this form, he is likely to start and is 2.6 to score or assist. Mikel Oyarzabal is the main scoring threat from the visitors’ perspective, with the PSG v Real Sociedad Cheat Sheet highlighting his eight goals. Perhaps a more consistent threat, though, is Takefusa Kubo, who with 0.90 shots on target per 90 looks nice value to test Gianluigi Donnarumma at least once at a price of 2.0.

Predictions:

⚽ Kylian Mbappe to have 2+ shots on target @ 1.57

⚽ Kylian Mbappe to score anytime @ 1.91

⚽ Takefusa Kubo to have 1+ shots on target @ 2.0

🟨 Cards and Fouls stats: Barcola and Merino at the heart of the battle

There are some interesting prices on the fouls market ahead of this encounter, with Bradley Barcola particularly eye-catching in this regard. The young winger, as previously discussed, is likely to get substantial minutes in this game and does have a habit of bringing a high foul count. With 1.32 fouls per 90, the PSG stats show he is likely to have the highest figure among the hosts’ starting XI. Barcola is poised to be up against Mikel Merino, who has Real Sociedad’s highest fouls won count of 2.45. As such, the former Lyon man is interesting value at 2.50 for 2 or more fouls. Lucas Hernandez is the other eye-catching PSG player in this regard, but as his likely opponent Andre Silva wins just over one foul per match, backing the full back to commit just 1 foul or more is the recommended play at 1.36. PSG, meanwhile, have direct runners with the ball in wide areas who are liable to draw fouls. Ousmane Dembele draws 1.92 fouls per match and can be backed at 1.53 to win a couple of fouls while Barcola is an interesting 3.10 to do likewise given that Merino also commits the most fouls for the visitors. In terms of bookings, meanwhile, Igor Zubeldia is strong value at 3.0 given that he has been carded a club-high eight times this season and will square up against Mbappe, who need only put him in trouble once to force the type of defensive action that will draw a card.

Predictions:

⚽ Bradley Barcola to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.45

⚽ Lucas Hernandez to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.36

⚽ Bradley Barcola to be fouled 2 or more times @ 3.10

⚽ Igor Zubeldia to be carded @ 3.0

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