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QPR v Leeds

Below is a full betting preview ahead of Friday night’s Championship fixture between QPR and Leeds, accompanied by betting tips, predictions, team news, and best bets as well as a Cheat Sheet covering the encounter at Loftus Road.

If you want to check out more of our EFL content, make sure to browse our EFL predictions and EFL accumulator tips or even our both teams to score tips.

We have also tracked all the best free bets for UK customers to ensure our readers are getting the best value from our football betting tips.

It is almost the end of a roller-coaster season for both of these clubs, but nothing has been decided as to say which division either team will play in next season.

Last week’s 1-0 win at home to Preston North End has put QPR on the brink of safety. It is highly likely that they already have enough points in the bank, but any kind of result here against Leeds will surely cement their status as a Championship side again next season. If that is achieved then Martí Cifuentes and his coaching team deserve a huge amount of credit for turning around Rangers’ season.

Leeds have had automatic promotion slots in their hands on a couple of occasions but will likely require maximum points here to have the chance of going into the final day with their fate in their own hands. Even a win at Loftus Road may not be enough to secure that depending on Ipswich’s results, but it will guarantee that the automatic promotion race will go down to the 46th game.

With so much on the line, it is sure to be an exciting Friday night match on Sky.

QPR v Leeds Best Bets

➡️ Georginio Rutter to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.67 on Betfair
➡️ Lyndon Dykes to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.91 on Betfair

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📂 QPR v Leeds Cheat Sheet

There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets to look for player fouls won stats or any other markets, and we encourage you to find your own formula to pick a winning bet builder, however, if you’re unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.

You can find QPR v Leeds match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off. If you’re looking for a new bookmaker check out the best bet builder bookmakers.

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⚔️ QPR v Leeds Head-to-Head

The first meeting of these two teams in the Championship happened way back in early October.

This was during the death throes of Gareth Ainsworth’s ill-fated reign as QPR boss and the Hoops were practically shut out of this game at Elland Road.

QPR had only five shots in the match, totalling at 0.29 xG. The xGOT (expected goals on target), the metric used to measure how likely the shots are to go in from their location on target was only 0.09, which means that there was almost no threat to Illan Meslier between the sticks.

Cifuentes has managed to get QPR’s attack firing in a more meaningful way since then, but Leeds are a strong defensive team, as well as an excellent attacking one.

Leeds scored early in this match, Crysencio Summerville with it after nine minutes, and just controlled the game from that point. They racked up just over 2 xG, 16 shots, three big chances, and won the corner count 8-0.

With the changes that have occurred, especially at QPR since, it is difficult to read much more into the previous meeting from a tactical standpoint.

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📊 QPR Form and Stats

The win against Preston was big in many ways for QPR as they had just started to have some concerns about being dragged back towards the relegation places.

They had gone three games without a win and scored only once in that span. Indeed, they are still very short on goals. They are 22nd for goals scored across the season and have only five times in their last eight matches.

Since Cifuentes took over in October last year, QPR have the sixth-worst expected goals for (xGF) record in the league, which demonstrates their struggles to create clear-cut chances. However, they have been incredibly strong defensively.

QPR are second only to Leeds themselves in expected goals against (xGA) since Cifuentes took charge. It is a remarkable record, they keep their opponents down below 1 xG per match on average.

QPR are running at a +0.7 xG differential over their last ten home Championship matches. However, they have still lost the xG battle on four of those occasions, and have lost twice in their last four at Loftus Road, to Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday.

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📊 Leeds Form and Stats

It was beginning to look as though the promotion battle was getting to Leeds as they suffered two defeats and a draw before producing a resounding response at the Riverside Stadium on Monday night.

Some big players stepped up with excellent performances at Middlesbrough, none more so than, Championship Player of the Year, Summerville. The two goals he scored took him to 19 in the Championship and joint-third on the top scorers list.

At this stage of the season, form is relative, the manner of the last performance from the Whites should give them plenty of confidence to go to Loftus Road and produce something similar. Even in their winless run, Leeds won the xG battle in all of their matches, albeit performances were still a bit off their usual standard.

Leeds have had the best xGF and xGA records in the league since the turn of the year. They are running at a +0.6 xG differential away from home over their last ten away Championship matches, and they have scored in their last nine away matches as well.

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💰 QPR v Leeds Best Bets 

Leeds are a short price for this match, probably given the motivation that they have for the win, but, as demonstrated above, QPR will be well organised and defend their box well, which is a scenario in which Leeds have particularly struggled in recently.

Given the lack of value in the match odds and the quality of the two defences affecting the goals markets, the best bets will come in the individual markets.

Georginio Rutter has been a foul magnet all season, and this didn’t change on Monday night, as he committed three more fouls. He has committed two or more in three of his last four matches and looks a decent price to do so again here. You back Rutter to commit 2+ fouls on Betfair @ 1.67.

Lyndon Dykes can go one better than Rutter though having committed two or more fouls in his last four in a row. He is just below evems to do so again, which is our best value angle in this match. The Scotland international will be ploughing a lone furrow upfront and will have to use his physicality to try and give his team a platform. Take Dykes to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.91 on Betfair.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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18+ please gamble responsibly.

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