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Rayo Vallecano v Real Madrid Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano v Real Madrid Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Saturday 8 November, 20253 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

Rayo Vallecano welcome Real Madrid with the hope of emulating their performance in this fixture last season, as they held Real Madrid to a 3-3 draw.

Madrid did get their revenge in the reverse fixture in the form of a 2-1 victory and currently find themselves at the summit of LaLiga having won 10 of their 11 matches.

Our Football Match Stats, including Rayo Vallecano v Real Madrid, provide further insight.

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Rayo Vallecano v Real Madrid Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Rayo Vallecano v Real Madrid
  • La Liga
  • 15:15
4 Selections @ 3.18

Over 1.5 Real Madrid Goals

Real Madrid look to be the strongest side in LaLiga this term, it’s usually between them and Barcelona but with Hansi Flick’s side facing a bit of a defensive crisis right now, Madrid look to be in pole position to make a real push to reclaim the LaLiga title.

Only Barcelona (28) have netted more goals in LaLiga this season than Real Madrid (26). This works out at 2.36 goals per game for Los Blancos with Xabi Alonso’s side scoring 2+ goals in nine of their 11 LaLiga matches this term - with the exception of 1-0 victories over Osasuna and Getafe who are amongst the most stubborn sides in LaLiga.

Rayo Vallecano are bold enough to have a go at Real Madrid, which was the case in this fixture last season as the sides contested a 3-3 draw. Real Madrid also scored twice in the meeting between the sides at the Bernabeu. Real Madrid are currently underperforming their xG by just one goal, so their 26 goal haul is consistent with the quality of chances they’ve created in LaLiga this term.

Real Madrid have netted 12 goals across their five away matches this season (2.4 per game).

Over 2.5 Rayo Vallecano Corners

Rayo Vallecano racked up four corners in this fixture last season as they managed to earn a point against Real Madrid in the form of a 3-3 draw. They also managed to win six corners in their defeat at the Bernabeu later on in the campaign.

Rayo Vallecano are averaging 6.27 corners per game in LaLiga this season; only Barcelona (7.00) and Real Sociedad (6.82) can boast a healthier corner count than Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga this season. This average increases further to 8.25 corners per game when looking at their home matches, the highest of any side in the division, which centres corners as a crucial part of Rayo Vallecano’s overall game plan.

Rayo Vallecano racked up nine corners in their 1-1 draw against Barcelona back towards the start of the season, which highlights their ability to maintain a high corner count, even against the elite sides in the division. Higher lines are also worth exploring for Rayo Vallecano here, with such a promising corner average at home this term.

Vinicius Jr to have 1+ Shots on Target

Vinicius Jr has registered nine goal contributions across his 11 appearances in LaLiga this season. He’s had 30 shots across these games (3.47 per 90) with exactly half of his attempts finding the target (1.74 per 90).

Only Mbappe (25) has had more shots on target in LaLiga this season than Vinicius Jr. This makes Vinicius Jr a significant contributor to Real Madrid’s record of 7.50 shots on target per game in LaLiga this term, a record only bettered by Barcelona (8.00).

Vinicius Jr has had a shot on target in seven of his 11 appearances in LaLiga this season, with the winger also averaging 2.66 shots per 90 in the Champions League this season. Vinicius Jr didn’t start in this fixture last season, but did score and have two shots on target in Real Madrid’s 2-1 win over Rayo Vallecano at the Bernabeu.

Oscar Valentin to Commit 2+ Fouls

Valentin sits at the heart of Rayo Vallecano’s midfield, which means he’ll have a really tough assignment on his hands here as he will have to manage the threat of Jude Bellingham and Arda Guler.

Bellingham has always been strong when it comes to winning fouls, with the 22-year-old winning 11 fouls across his seven appearances in LaLiga this term (2.60 per 90). He won eight fouls across Real Madrid’s two meetings with Rayo Vallecano last season, with the Englishman hauled down on four occasions in both encounters.

Guler has broken into the Real Madrid side this season and is a particular favourite of Xabi Alonso. He’s won eight fouls across his 11 appearances in LaLiga (1.03 per 90) and was hauled down on three occasions in this fixture last season as the sides contested a 3-3 draw.

Rayo Vallecano committed 18 fouls in that game, with Valentin coming off the bench to commit one foul in his 30-minute cameo. Valentin has committed 11 fouls across his six starts in LaLiga this term (1.78 per 90), which is a record that should be set to rise here with the midfielder facing up against Bellingham and Guler.

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📈 Rayo Vallecano v Real Madrid Form & Tactics

I was a bit disappointed by Real Madrid’s performance at Anfield during the week. Anfield is a stadium that can suck the performance level out of even the very best players, but Real Madrid were well below the standards they’ve set so far this season as they fell to a 1-0 defeat to Liverpool, without much resistance in posting an xG of just 0.45 from eight shots.

This isn’t the first time that Madrid have underwhelmed away from home in the Champions League in recent seasons, which may be the beginning of a slight demise when it comes to dominating the Champions League, which has long been Real Madrid’s competition. Alonso will be content with their performances in LaLiga so far this term, with 10 wins from their 11 matches, and 26 goals scored across these games.

Rayo Vallecano sit 10th in LaLiga and can be an awkward side; they’ve already taken points off Barcelona this season at home in the form of a 1-1 draw, so Madrid will have to be at their best to come away with a positive result here.

Rayo Vallecano will be hoping to improve on their home record, seeing as they’ve only won one of their four home games so far this term, with two of these ending in draws. Home comforts were important for Rayo Vallecano last season, with the LaLiga side avoiding defeat in 14 of their 19 home games last season.


📔 Rayo Vallecano v Real Madrid Formation & Team News

Xabi Alonso is being quite bold with the shape he wants Madrid to take on this season, with it looking like a 4-1-4-1 where Bellingham and Guler are pushed on ahead of Tchouameni, who sits as the sole holder in the side. This is a risky approach, but it makes sense when you have the attacking quality of Madrid, who have netted 12 goals across their five away matches this season.

Real Madrid are still missing key figures at the back, which may give Rayo Vallecano a chance to get on the scoresheet here, as they did in both head-to-head matches last season. Rudiger, Alaba, and Carvajal are all expected to miss this game, while Tchouameni is a slight doubt, having picked up a knock against Liverpool.

Rayo Vallecano are set to line up in a 4-3-3 shape and they will be quite bold in their approach, as we saw in their 1-1 draw against Barcelona. Rayo Vallecano have avoided defeat in six of their 11 matches this term and can be an awkward side to face, as Madrid four out in this fixture last season.


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