💎 Gem Bet: Eduardo Camavinga - 2+ Fouls Committed @ 1.83 (Bet365)

This gem is best priced with bet365. Sign up here and get £30 in free bets when you back this gem with £10.

This is one of the clearest price differences you’re likely to see this weekend, and the numbers back it up. Camavinga is one of Real Madrid’s most aggressive players, committing 28 fouls across his 13 starts in LaLiga this term (2.07 fouls committed per 90). 

He’s also winning 7.32 duels per 90, as well as averaging just under four tackles per 90 (3.99). These metrics show just how much work Camavinga has to get through in the middle of the park for Real Madrid, and his numbers in the Champions League tell a similar story with an average of 1.78 fouls committed per 90 across his five starts in the competition.

Real Madrid committed 13 fouls in the initial league meeting between the sides, a slight increase on the 10 fouls they’re committing per game in LaLiga this season. Camavinga didn’t start in that game, but both Bellingham and Tchouameni as the midfield duo committed 2+ fouls each, with Tchouameni committing three fouls.

This suggests that the midfield will be an active battleground for foul exchanges again with Girona having plenty of players who can cause Camavinga issues:

Azzedine Ounahi - 3.46 fouls won per 90
Axel Witsel - 1.27 fouls won per 90 
Ivan Martin - 1.12 fouls won per 90

Camavinga should also brush shoulders with Viktor Tsigankov (1.26 fouls won per 90) when he is asked to support Garcia or Carreras at left back, which has been a common role assigned to him under Alvaro Arbeloa.

There is excellent value with this angle when backing with Bet365, the exact same selection is priced as low as 1.17 with other major bookmakers, making the 1.83 we’re getting here a brilliant price for Camavinga to commit two or more fouls.