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Gem Bet: Real Sociedad v Man Utd

Gem Bet: Real Sociedad v Man Utd

Thursday 6 March, 20251 min read
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ABC Editorial Team

The ABC Editorial Team have a combined Sports Journalism experience of 20+ years. They love to crunch the numbers for all betting predictions, meticulously finding value in each selection. Football experts in their own right, they each bring specialists sports and leagues to the table. Whether it be football, horse racing, boxing, darts, or NFL, our team is equipped to bring you the most insightful and valuable betting tips around.

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💎 Patrick Dorgu to Commit 2+ Fouls @ 2.70 on Paddy Power 🔄️

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Our last 7 Gem Bets have landed as we now look to go 8 in a row. If you'd backed each of them with £10 you'd be £77.57 up.

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💎 Gem Bet: Patrick Dorgu to Commit 2+ Fouls @ 2.70 (v Real Sociedad)

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Patrick Dorgu to commit 2+ fouls is priced at 2.70 with Paddy Power, offering significant value over odds as low as 1.20 with William Hill, with the latter's price implying an 83.3% probability the bet lands. In comparison, Paddy Power’s implied probability of 37% appears to undervalue the likelihood of this occurrence, with the additional benefit of Super Sub. Despite his limited experience, the 20-year-old has already demonstrated an aggressive playing style, fouling with regularity:
  • Averaging 2.1 fouls per 90 minutes
  • Committing at least one foul in all four of his Man Utd appearances 2+ fouls in two of those matches
  Likely to start in an attacking left wing back role, Dorgu will be tasked with defending Real Sociedad’s dynamic right-hand side, which has been particularly effective at drawing fouls:
  • Takefusa Kubo (RM): Has won 2.18 fouls per 90 this season (1.33 in Europa League)
  • Jon Aramburu (RB): Has won 1.59 fouls per 90 this season (3.02 in Europa League)
  This will also be the youngster’s first taste of European action and his overzealous nature, combined with a potential lack of composure on the big stage, could result in fouls committed. 2.70 represents excellent value, particularly given William Hill’s significantly lower odds.

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