Orebro v Brage
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Saturday 30th July – 2:00PM KO
So far this season, Orebro have been fairly underwhelming – especially considering their supporters’ pre-season expectations. The hosts were relegated from the top-flight of Swedish football last season, alongside Halmstad who are competing for promotion and Ostersund who are struggling but have lots and lots of off-field issues.
However, Orebro sit firmly in the middle-of-the-table ahead of this weekend’s round of fixtures. They will be expecting to kick on and push towards the top three after a very sluggish first-half of the campaign.
With that in mind, their impressive 2-0 win at home to Utsiktens in their most recent outing, last weekend, to make it back-to-back victories might well be a sign of things to come for Alex Kjall’s side.
Despite notching just 17 goals so far this season, a key component of their recent improvement has been their defensive solidity. They have conceded just 17 goals so far this season – only the top two teams in the division, Halmstad and Brage, have conceded fewer
One of those two teams are now their upcoming opponents. Brage, despite being second in the table, are now winless in their last three matches and they come into this on the back of a deflating 2-1 loss in the top-of-the-table clash at home to Halmstad last weekend.
They have now failed to keep a clean sheet in their last seven Superettan matches but have remained defensively capable, conceding more than one goal in a game in those seven games on just one occasion – in that aforementioned loss at home to league leaders Halmstad.
These are two of the strongest defences in the league and, whilst there may be value in backing the home team against the faltering promotion challengers, it is expected to be a low-scoring encounter, regardless of the result.
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Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals, 1.90 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Skovde v Brommapojkarna
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Saturday 30th July – 2:00PM KO
Under the management of Tobias Linderoth for a fourth successive season, Skovde will be looking to flirt with the top three and the promotion spots this season. Brommapojkarna will also be looking at that area of the table and the ambitions of the two sides being so similar makes this an intriguing clash.
Skovde come into this on the back of a poor result, though, as they lost 2-1 away at Trelleborg last weekend. What is most interesting about that result is it is the fourth successive Skovde match in which both teams have scored. Half of the 16-team league have scored and conceded 20 or more goals each this season and these are two of those sides.
Brommapojkarna’s fairly gung-ho, especially in relative terms to Swedish football, style of play has been much-discussed so far this season. The visitors’ 15 matches have consisted of 60 goals so far at an average of four goals per game – which is a lot in any league, let alone, as mentioned, Swedish domestic football.
The away team come into this on the back of an impressive run of form and their most recent outing, a 5-2 defeat of Norrby last weekend, made it just one Superettan defeat in their last six matches. Similarly to Skovde, though, they have a habit of being defensively lapse to off-set their clear attacking potential. 12 of their 15 matches so far this season have featured both teams scoring.
These are two proactive sides that sit in the top-half of the table. Both have shown clear weaknesses at the back, though, and it could be quite an entertaining affair.
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Prediction: Both Teams to Score, 1.53 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Halmstad v Landskrona
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Saturday 30th July – 4:00PM KO
Following a surprise relegation last season, it has been an extremely impressive campaign from Halmstad in the 2022 Superettan season. The club has stood by former Elfsborg boss Magnus Haglund and he looks set to deliver an immediate return to Sweden’s top-flight.
Roy Hodgson’s famous former club come into this on the back of a victory away at Brage in a top-of-the-table clash in their most recent outing, last weekend. That win means they begin this weekend’s round of fixtures at the top, sitting six points clear of the aforementioned Brage at the half-way stage of the campaign.
The home team have won three of their last four matches and they are beginning to walk away with the title in a bit of style. The hosts have scored 32 goals in their 15 games at an average of more than two per game. Only Brommapojkarna, 35, and AFC Eskilstuna, 33, have scored more than them this season. No team has conceded fewer goals, either. They have simply asserted a very clear authority and dominance.
They now face a Landskrona side that, under the management of Billy Magnusson, come into this on the back of a very deflating and disappointing 1-1 draw at home to an Ostersund side, who’s relegation appears inevitable.
The visitors did defeat Halmstad just three weeks ago at home in the reverse fixture. They came from behind with two second-half goals to secure a surprising result. They had been absolutely dominated throughout the match and the victory could fairly be described as ‘quite fortunate’.
The hosts will not just be expecting to get revenge on their opponents, they will be expecting to do quite comfortably and anything but a Halmstad win seems very unlikely.
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Prediction: Halmstad to Win, 1.44 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Vasteras v Osters
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Sunday 31st July – 2:00PM KO
This is a very intriguing clash between two sides that begin this weekend’s round of fixtures sitting at either side of the middle-of-the-table in the Swedish Superettan.
Vasteras come into this on the back of a 1-1 draw with strugglers OIS in their most recent outing, on Tuesday. The home team have won just four games all season and just one of their last four matches. They are comfortably safe of any imminent danger but will be fretting about their poor form.
Their poor form is characterized by some shoddy defensive statistics and numbers. The 26 goals that they have conceded so far this season is the fourth most in the league. Only the bottom three have conceded more. However, their underlying data would suggest they should have conceded five fewer goals, which raises questions of the quality of the goalkeeper, Anton Fagerstrom, and his defence.
They now face an Osters side that sit fifth in the table. The visitors were expected to, once again, challenge for promotion to the Allsvenskan this season. Last year, they finished fifth and won three of their final four games. That momentum was expected to be carried into this year but a slow start has damaged them.
However, they have recovered from that slow start and, under the management of Srdjan Tufegdzic, the away team come into this match in fine form and in a good mood after an entertaining 3-2 victory against AFC Eskilstuna. That win was much-needed to keep them in touch with the teams challenging at the top.
Osters’ underlying data, in terms of the defence, is very impressive. They have the second-best expected goals against ratio in the second-tier with just 1.11 per game.
Given that these are two sides with underlying defensive numbers that are better than what their current output is, it would be cautious and sensible to presume that there should be a reversion to the mean soon. Given that, this could well be a low-scoring encounter.
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Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals, 1.40 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
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