Real Valladolid v Elche
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Saturday 5th November – 3:15PM KO
Real Valladolid will be looking for a third consecutive home victory when they host Elche on Saturday afternoon and they’ll be confident of achieving it considering Elche are the worst team in the division, with just four points from 12 matches and zero wins. They very much deserve to be where they are as they rank worst for goals scored and for goals conceded.
While Real Valladolid have also had a few struggles this season, a recent switch of tactical system has helped them. They have moved from a 4-5-1 to a 5-3-2 shape and this has worked wonders, as the extra body in defence has made them tougher to break down and the new system also means they can field two centre-forwards at the same time, which is a big boost since Sergio León and Shon Weissman are two of the best players in the squad. This new system worked in the 4-1 home win over Celta Vigo and the 1-0 home win over Real Sociedad, when they ended the eight-match winning run the Basque side had been on at that point.
There is a good chance that Elche will also play a back five in this game, but Real Valladolid will be confident of breaking through that back five since centre-back is Elche’s weakest position by far. León and Weissman have the physical attributes to make life miserable for Elche’s central defenders this Saturday and that’s why there’s good reason to believe this will be another home victory at the Estadio José Zorrilla.
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Prediction: Real Valladolid to Win, 1.85 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Celta Vigo v Osasuna
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Saturday 5th November – 5:30PM KO
If looking solely at the form book, there wouldn’t be much reason to be confident in Celta Vigo right now as they’ve lost four and drawn one of their past five matches. However, the coach who oversaw those results is no longer there, as Celta Vigo fired Eduardo Coudet this midweek and replaced him with Carlos Carvalhal.
Sources close to the Celta Vigo camp believe this move was badly needed, as the players had grown weary of Coudet’s complicated 4-1-3-2 formation and the fact that he very rarely rotated. Carvalhal will be able to breathe fresh life into this team and he has already been working with the squad since Wednesday.
Their opponents this weekend in Carvalhal’s first game are Osasuna, who are a good team as they sit seventh with 20 points, but they’re certainly beatable, especially on the road as they’ve picked up just five of their 20 points outside of Pamplona.
Osasuna might be especially beatable this weekend since they could be missing their top two goalkeepers. Sergio Herrera remains a major injury doubt, while his reliable replacement Aitor Fernández could miss out too because of some bad tonsillitis.
Celta Vigo are obviously not big favourites for this game, as evidenced by the odds of 2.15 for the home win, but there are multiple reasons to believe they can get back to winning ways under their new boss.
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Prediction: Celta Vigo to Win, 2.15 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐)
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