It’s a Yorkshire Derby on a Friday night under the lights at a near-capacity Hillsborough, so there should be a good, potentially raucous, atmosphere in the stadium, which lends itself to cards being dished out.

This bet would’ve landed in three of the last five head-to-heads, with the other two falling just short with two cards in total. This bet has landed in two out of three of Wednesday’s matches this season.

All of Leeds’ matches so far this season have had plenty of cards. Six against Portsmouth, another six in the game at home to Middlesbrough, and four away to West Brom, with Leeds themselves picking up seven cards from their first three games.

Dominic Iorfa has been fouled 1.51 times per 90 across Wednesday’s last 30 Championship matches.

He was fouled five times last time out against Sunderland, and he has now been fouled at least once in each of his last five starts, we fancy him to go six out of six here against an aggressive Leeds side.

Firpo has been fouled 1.25 times per 90 over Leeds’ last 30 Championship matches. This includes six times in the opening two matches of the Championship season, winning three fouls in both of these games.

The Dominican Republic international is a very attack-minded full-back, so he encourages fouls against him through his breaks forward. Firpo has played 90 minutes in each Leeds game in 2023/24 so far, so there should be plenty of time for this selection to land.

Bogle has committed six fouls in his first two Leeds Championship appearances. He will be up against Anthony Musaba or Djeidi Gassama here, both of which look good for winning at least one foul from this matchup. Musaba averages 1.12 fouls against per 90 and Gassama averages a whopping 2.71.

If it is Musaba, who has won less fouls per game than Gassama, he has still been fouled four times in opening two Championship matches. Bogle undisputed first choice and has played full matches in the opening two rounds, so he should have the full 90 minutes here, giving plenty of time for this bet to land.

Wednesday have averaged 6.15 corners per 90 in their last 30 Championship matches.

Leeds average 4.0 corners against in the Championship, but away from home that climbs massively, to 5.75 corners against over their last 30 Championship matches.

At home, Wednesday have been going along at 7.23 corners per game in their last 30 Championship matches. The hosts managed 15 corners at home to Plymouth, and eight at the Stadium of Light in their two Championship matches so far.

Valery is a new signing still acclimatising to the Championship, so may struggle in what is likely to be a tough game against Leeds. The Frenchman has already committed five fouls in his first two Championship matches.

He will be up against Wilfried Gnonto, who has drawn an average of 2.53 fouls per 90 over Leeds’ last 30 Championship matches, so looks good for a couple of fouls here.

Gnonto is currently Leeds’ chief goal threat, even from a wide starting position. He is the Leeds player with the highest rate of shots on target per 90 at 1.30, and Eight of his last 10 matches would have seen this bet land.

Wednesday conceded six shots on target to Sunderland last time out, and they conceded seven shots on target to Leeds in their last match in March, including one to Gnonto.

The result against Sunderland looks to have had a big effect on the bookies, and Wednesday should be expected to have more of the game than they are being credited with in the odds. As a result, shot on target prices for Wednesday players offer nice value across the board.

The pick of the options is certainly Josh Windass. He has the highest shot on target rate of any player on either side at 1.47 per 90 over the last 30 Championship matches, and this bet would’ve landed in nine of his last 12 Championship starts.