In recent years this game would have been a relegation six-pointer, but now, post-takeover, Newcastle arrive on the south coast as overwhelming favourites. Eddie Howe’s side are revitalised and sitting in fourth place in the Premier League. They have won 4 of their last 5 league games including an away win to Spurs, and their only dropped points coming away from home to Manchester United.
Southampton meanwhile have won only 1 of their last 5 Premier League games, a 1-0 win away at Bournemouth, though it must be said that they did manage a draw at home to Arsenal in that 5 game stretch. They sit just outside the relegation zone and cannot be relishing the prospect of facing one of the league’s most in-form teams.
Both teams arrive at near full-strength, with the biggest miss for either side being the suspended Joelinton for Newcastle, with the Brazilian picking up his fifth Premier League yellow card of the season last time out.
Southampton v Newcastle United Bet Builder Tips
Newcastle to Win
Eddie Howe’s side arrive in Southampton on the back of a fantastic run of form, 4 wins in 5, and they simply are a vastly better side in almost every respect. Though the absence of Joelinton could well pose a problem for this side, they should still have more than enough to overcome a Southampton side that blows hot and cold.
While they can punish sides who don’t kill games off, Southampton rarely score more than one goal a game, last doing so against Chelsea in August, and Newcastle have scored twice or more in four of their last 6 games.
Newcastle meanwhile are genuinely in the hunt for Champions League football next season, and to be in with a shot of achieving that goal, they have to be winning games such as this, even on the road. Recently they have been comfortably beating all the sides you would expect a top-4 side to be winning against, and I see nothing here to make me believe that this game won’t go the same way.
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Prediction: Newcastle to Win
Callum Wilson to have 2+ Shots on Target
One of the reasons this Newcastle side have looked so much better this season compared to the majority of last season is the presence of Wilson up front. He has been exceptional this season, as exemplified by his delicate finish away against Spurs to open the scoring two weeks ago. They did struggle somewhat in his absence, drawing plenty of games they perhaps would’ve won with him in the side.
Newcastle are unbeaten this season with Wilson in the lineup, winning 6 and drawing 3 of the 9 games he has featured in this season. He now seems back to full fitness, playing 80+ minutes in all of the last three games, which can only be a good thing for this Newcastle side with real ambitions of European football next season.
Whilst 2 or more shots on target may seem a high line to be hitting, not least with his average of shots on target per 90 sitting at 1.24, much closer to 1 than 2. However, he has now hit 2 shots on target in both of his previous two games, and the volume of shots he is taking, coupled with his outstanding finishing means this is always in with a good shout of landing, especially when one side is so much better and more in-form than the other.
He will use his experience to his advantage against a young Southampton side, and with Newcastle likely to dominate the game he will have plenty of chances to show just how good he is.
Southampton concede roughly 4 shots on target per 90, however games against sides in the top-4 have seen an average of 6.3 shots on target per 90. Man City and Spurs both notched 8 shots on target, while Arsenal drag the average down with only 3 shots on target from their game two weeks ago. Newcastle are in-form, and though it is perhaps premature to lump them in with the sides in the top-4, they are in fourth right now and are a very solid side who nobody will want to face. I imagine Wilson will get plenty of opportunities here.
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Prediction: Callum Wilson to have 2+ Shots on Target
Miguel Almiron to have 3+ Shots
Miggy, as he is known to Newcastle fans is currently playing at the highest level he has done in his entire Premier League career. The Newcastle winger has scored 6 goals in his last 6 games, failing to score only in only game during that span, the 0-0 draw with Manchester United.
Almiron is shooting more than ever, having shot 3 or more times in 8 of his 13 league appearances, including in 5 of his last 6 games, and 9 of his last 11 games. The only game in his last six in which he did not take at least 3 shots was that same 0-0 draw against United, in which Newcastle had only 37% possession and took only 9 shots all game.
This game will not be like that, with Newcastle likely to have more of the ball, and be on the front foot throughout the match. Almiron’s shooting record in his last 6 games includes 6 shots against Spurs (a season high), alongside 4 shots against Fulham and Brentford, then 3 shots against both Everton and Villa.
With the confidence flowing, and Jack Grealish’s drunken insult no doubt still ringing in his ears, Almiron will be looking to continue his hot streak, and to prove he really does belong at this level. The Paraguayan sitting at odds-against, despite his recent record represents excellent value, although the line seems high, he has hit it way more often than he has not in recent weeks, and given the opposition he should do it again here today.
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Prediction: Miguel Almiron to have 3+ Shots
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How to watch Southampton v Newcastle United in the Premier League?
📅 When is Southampton v Newcastle United? / Sunday, 6 November 2022, 14:00
🏟 Where is Southampton v Newcastle United? / St. Mary’s (Southampton)
📺 What TV channel is Southampton v Newcastle United on? / Sky Sports Premier League 🟨 …And who is the referee for Southampton v Newcastle United? / S. Attwell 🏴
