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Spain v Italy Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Spain v Italy Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Wednesday 19 June, 20241 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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Spain v Italy Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Matchday two for group B begins on Thursday night with a titan clash between Spain and Croatia at the home of FC Schalke, the Veltins-Arena in Gelsenkirchen.

After both teams picked up three points on their first outings in Euro 2024, this fixture has huge implications on which nation will be securing that elusive top spot in Group B.

Below, we’ve put together a bet builder at 2/1 and a longshot at 8/1 for Thursday’s clash between Spain and Italy. We also have a Spain v Italy betting preview to help you get stuck into the data ahead of this massive Group B clash.

Be sure to visit Andy's Bet Club every day to keep up to date with the abundance of Euro 2024 acca tips, both teams to score tips, and plenty more free football tips. The website is the only place you need this summer for highly researched Euro 2024 predictions.

If bet builders are more your thing, we've got daily shot on target predictions and foul betting tips to help you craft after on the top bet builder sites with a bunch of free bets for Euro 2024 available too.

2/1 Spain v Italy Bet Builder Tip

Bet builder predictions that are eligible for Paddy Power Super Sub will be marked with this emoji ‘🔄️’.

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🧤 Spain Goalkeeper to make 2+ saves

📈 Odds: 1.36

Spain conceded 5 shots on target in their match against Croatia and Unai Simon was actually the second highest rated player on the pitch despite the Spanish winning the game 3-0. Italy should get chances in this game and I expect Simon to be tested on at least a few occasions. Italy have hit at least 2 shots on target in their last 12 games.

🚩 Spain Corner Match Bet

📈 Odds: 1.57

Crunching the numbers, Italy have conceded an average of 2.9 corners per match over a 10 game sample, compared to Spain’s 1.1. Italy also conceded 3 or more corners in 5 of those games, with the Spanish only letting 3 against them on two occasions. With both Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal a nuisance on either flank, Italy look likely to concede the most corners on the numbers and the tactical match up.

🛑 Spain to commit 10+ fouls

📈 Odds: 1.36

The Spanish are persistent foulers, particularly against stronger nations, where they are more likely to break up opposition passing moves with tactical fouling. They fouled Croatia 14 times last time out, hit 20 against Brazil, and 15 against Colombia in their March friendlies. Italy have some skilled players on the ball and have averaged 12 fouls drawn against them in a sample going back to the 22/23 season. Although Albania only fouled them seven times, they were fouled 10 and 12 times respectively by Bosnia and Turkey in their warm up friendlies and a massive 19 times against the Spanish in their last encounter.

8/1 Spain v Italy Longshot

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🛑 Federico Dimarco to commit 1+ fouls 🔄️

📈 Odds: 2.00

Althought the stats aren’t spectacular for this leg, with Dimarco averaging just 0.27 fouls per 90 minutes, he will be directly up against Lamine Yamal in this game and I expect some cynicism from the Italians in trying to curtail his attacking threat. Dimarco managed a foul against Bosnia with just 25 minutes on the pitch and I expect him to pick up at least one in this encounter.

🩹 Lamine Yamal to be fouled 3+ times

📈 Odds: 2.88

Lamine Yamal looked sharp against Croatia but came out unscathed but his man of the match performance against Brazil in Spain’s march friendly is more of an indicator of his likely time on the floor. He was fouled four times in that game and given how new he is to the International scene, is growing in confidence with each match, averaging 1.34 fouls drawn per match. The Spanish will try to utilise his pace and trickery on the flank and I expect him to be doubled up on at times and fouled on multiple occasions.

🩹 Nico Williams to be fouled 2+ times

📈 Odds: 2.25

Following similar logic to the above selection, Nico Williams will be one of the players targeted by the Italians for some rough treatment. He averages 1.18 fouls drawn per game and has been fouled twice in three of his last six games. In terms of positional match ups, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, the Italian left back committed 3 fouls against Turkey in a recent friendly, and Matteo Darmian committed two on the right hand side of a back three against Bosnia. Alessandro Bastoni, the right sided centre back in a back four, also committed two fouls in their last game against Albania.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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