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Spain v Italy
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Kick Off: Thursday 20th June at 20:00
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Watch Live: ITV1
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Competition: Euro 2024
Two of Europe’s most decorated teams face off in Matchday two in Group B. Both Spain and Italy got off to a winning start and will certainly target this game as a potential way to win the group and achieve a more favourable draw into the knockout rounds.
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Spain and Italy games bring a certain romantic nostalgia with all the stars who have represented those jerseys in the past, but both sides are somewhat in transition with exciting young talents emerging and a change in play styles from what we are used to.
Spain are favoured slightly at 2.1 to win the match with Paddy Power, but the odds suggest it won’t be an easy task against a competitive Italian side.
Spain v Italy Best Bets
Although the markets are favouring Spain to win this encounter, we feel Italy will give them a game. Croatia’s 2.32 xG in the previous game show that Spain can leave spaces at the back and are vulnerable to a counterattack.
In Spain’s last seven games, they have conceded goals to Cyprus, Georgia and Northern Ireland, as well as 3 in a friendly against Brazil. Italy have only failed to score in two of their last 14 games. Although the carrot of first place in the group is helpful, the fact that both sides sit on 3 points should lead to a reasonably open game and helps support the rationale for our first pick – both teams to score at 1.85 with Paddy Power.
The first round of Group B games saw both games with 3 goals. Although Italy games have only hit this total in six of their last ten games, a change of management with Luciano Spaletti finally settling in charge of the national side will provide a fresh tactical impetus to the side.
His pre-match press conferences have been revealing, expressing the need for his Italy side to be more direct and aggressive in possession and maximise their attacking threat. All signs point to what should be an exciting encounter anr our second pick is for Over 2.5 Goals at 2.2 with Paddy Power.
📂 Spain v Italy Cheat Sheet
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You can find Spain v Italy match stats on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
⚔️ Spain v Italy Head-to-Head
The two sides have met on 32 occasions, with the Spanish edging the head-to-head with 14 wins. Both teams were level on 12 occasions and the Italians victorious in the other 12 encounters.
The Spanish have won their last two games in the Nation’s League but have lost out to Italy at the Euros, with Italy beating Spain on penalties before winning the last edition.
📊 Spain Form and Stats
The Spanish got off to the perfect start in the Euros with a 3-0 win over Croatia, although they still lost the xG battle and gave away some chances. The Spanish have now lost just once in 13 games and scored at least 3 goals in six of their last seven games.
From a historical perspective, Spain have only won four of their ten group stage games at the Euros finals, drawing four and losing twice.
The sheer range of attacking options available to Spain make them such a big threat. They’ve had nine different goalscorers in their last four matches. Alvaro Morata added to his tally with his 36th international goal in 74 matches against Croatia and will prove a threat for the Spanish.
📊 Italy Form and Stats
Italy’s win over Albania extended a run of 11 games with just one defeat. They’ll have been frustrated with conceding the fastest-ever goal at the Euros but rallied back to secure a valuable three points.
There will be concerns over losing their last two head-to-head matches against the Spanish but will take heart from the chances Croatia created and will hope for opportunities in the game.
The worry for Italy is that their main striker, Gianluca Scamacca still has only one goal in his 17 games so far. The Italian’s top scorer is Nico Barella, who after his goal last time out, has just 10 goals.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
18+ please gamble responsibly.
