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Sunderland v Everton Bet Builder Tips, 10/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Sunderland v Everton Bet Builder Tips, 10/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Saturday 1 November, 20254 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

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Sunderland welcome Everton to the Stadium of Light which has been a fortress for the Black Cats so far this season with three wins from their four home matches.

Everton haven’t found the same comforts on the road with three defeats from their four away trips this term.

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Sunderland v Everton Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Sunderland v Everton
  • Premier League
  • 20:00
4 Selections @ 3.22

James Garner to have 1+ Shots

Garner has been a solid performer for Everton so far this season with his versatility being a real strength. Garner has been deployed as a left back, right back and central midfielder with his shot record remaining consistent wherever he lines up; he is expected to partner Gueye in the middle of the park here, with Everton now having cover at full back.

Garner has had 15 shots across his nine Premier League appearances this season (1.67 per 90). He’s had at least one shot in eight of these appearances, with four of those matches seeing him have two or more attempts at goal. The only game in which he didn’t manage a shot was Everton’s 3-2 win over Wolves on the road.

Garner has already eclipsed his shot total from last season (12-0.68 per 90) in a campaign where he only made 17 league starts due to injury. He’s more settled in a rhythm for Everton this season, and his shot record is really consistent, which warrants looking into Garner at higher lines with the 24-year-old likely to get opportunities around the edge of the box with Sunderland sitting in a low block.

Noah Sadiki to Commit 1+ Fouls

Sunderland’s midfield duo of Noah Sadiki and Granit Xhaka both rank in the top five players in the league when it comes to distance covered. Sadiki, in particular, has been a real asset for the Black Cats with his energy offering a brilliant balance alongside a more experienced player like Xhaka. Habib Diarra really completes the trio, but he is sidelined at the moment.

Sadiki has committed nine fouls across his nine Premier League appearances (1.01 per 90) and will have to contend with Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall here, who has been one of Everton’s top-performing players this season. Dewsbury-Hall has won 13 fouls across his eight Premier League appearances this season (1.63 per 90), so he will test Sadiki with his intelligent movement in the middle of the park.

Everton have won 107 fouls across their nine Premier League matches this season (11.8 per game). This represents a substantial increase in their foul won numbers from last season and is only bettered by Newcastle, Aston Villa and Chelsea so far this season.

Sunderland Goalkeeper to Make 2+ Saves

Robin Roefs has been one of the most impressive components of this Sunderland side with the Dutch keeper keeping four clean sheets and making 33 saves (3.67 per 90) across his nine appearances in the Premier League this term.

Roefs has maintained an excellent save percentage of 82.5% which has been key to Sunderland avoiding defeat in seven of their nine matches in the Premier League this season. Roefs has been forced into making 2+ saves in seven of his nine Premier League matches this season.

Everton have certainly improved as an attacking force in the Premier League this season and have drawn at least one save from the opposition keeper in each of their nine Premier League matches this season. Four of those games have seen the Toffees test the keeper more than once, and they should get opportunities to do that here with Sunderland relying on their keeper quite heavily.

Over 0.5 Sunderland Goals

Sunderland are one of five Premier League sides that are yet to lose a game at home this season with Regis Le Bris’ side winning three of their four matches at the Stadium of Light so far this season. They’ve scored eight goals across those matches, striking at least once in each of their clashes against Wolves, Aston Villa, Crystal Palace and Brentford.

Sunderland starting the season well was key for their survival hopes, as they actually had a pretty fortuitous start to the campaign in terms of the level of opponent they had been facing. They’re about to enter a more challenging period with Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City all to come in their next five matches, so it is important that they get a positive result here to avoid dampening the mood currently surrounding the Stadium of Light. 

Everton haven’t quite found their feet on the road yet this season, with three defeats from their four matches. They’ve conceded seven goals across those games and conceded at least once in each of them. Everton have failed to keep a clean sheet across their last five matches across all competitions, which is a record that should further encourage Sunderland to find the back of the net here.

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Sunderland v Everton Best Longshot Bets
  • Sunderland v Everton
  • Premier League
  • 20:00
3 Selections @ 10.50

Trai Hume to be Shown a Card

Trai Hume will line up at right back for Sunderland here, which means that he’ll have the unfortunate task of trying to manage Jack Grealish, who has been sensational for Everton so far this season.

Hume has actually managed to stay out of trouble so far this season with just three fouls across his nine Premier League appearances (0.34 per 90) and no cards. However, we can expect that tally to rise dramatically here with how strong Grealish is when it comes to winning fouls.

Grealish has won 28 fouls across his eight Premier League appearances this season (3.90 per 90). No player in the Premier League has won more fouls than Jack Grealish this season, which makes him a real threat for Hume in this particular clash.

Hume is definitely a more aggressive player than his current stats suggest. He picked up 11 yellow cards last season, and one red card, whilst averaging 1.02 fouls committed per 90, so there is real scope for his foul count to rise here.

Iliman Ndiaye to have 2+ Shots

Ndiaye finished last season as Everton’s joint-top scorer and is again leading the way so far this term with three goals for the Toffees. Everton look better when you watch them in the final third, but this hasn’t translated to loads of players pitching in with goals - no other Toffee has scored more than one goal in the Premier League this season.

Ndiaye has had nine shots across his nine Premier League appearances this season (1.06 per 90). I can see this tally rising here, only West Ham (133) and Burnley (165) have conceded more shots in the Premier League than Sunderland (121 - 13.4 per game). Everton are currently averaging 11.1 shots per game in the Premier League, so that also has potential to rise here with how Sunderland play, often inviting the opposition onto them.

Ndiaye had two shots in Everton’s 3-0 defeat against Tottenham last time out and can repeat that tally here against a Sunderland side that is conceding the 3rd-most shots in the league. His role as Everton’s biggest goal threat could prove crucial in an Everton side which hasn’t been able to make the most of the attacking situations they create.

Sunderland to Commit 12+ Fouls

I touched on the fact that Everton are winning more fouls as a team this season in an earlier section and this can contribute to a high foul count for the Black Cats here. 

Sunderland are averaging 9.10 fouls committed per game in the Premier League which is one of the tamer records in the top-flight, though I can see it rising here with the work that Everton make the opposition get through off the ball.

The Toffees have won 107 fouls across their nine Premier League matches this season (11.8 per game), with only Chelsea, Newcastle and Aston Villa winning more fouls than Everton this term. Everton have drawn 12+ fouls from the opposition in five of their nine Premier League matches this term.

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📂 Sunderland v Everton Cheat Sheet

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📈 Sunderland v Everton Form & Tactics

Sunderland have been the most impressive side in the Premier League so far this season in my opinion. Regis Le Bris has done a superb job in taking a flurry of new signings and fitting them into a coherent system which is in line with the limitations of their squad. 

Essentially, Sunderland aren’t trying to play with a central philosophy which has cost other newly promoted teams in recent seasons - Le Bris is pragmatic and understands that his side simply cannot go toe-to-toe with the majority of Premier League sides.

Sunderland have avoided defeat in seven of their nine Premier League matches this season. They’ve netted eight goals across their four games at the Stadium of Light, scoring at least once in each of those games, which has led to the Black Cats boasting one of the strongest home records in the Premier League so far this term.

I still have a concern with Sunderland when it comes to a consistent stream of goals. They’re coping with it for now, but outside of Wilson Isidor (four), no player has scored more than once for Sunderland in the Premier League this season. Le Bris will be aware of this as Sunderland enter into a more challenging period of the season in which they face Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City within their next five matches. 

Everton have stuttered a little in recent weeks after a really strong start to the season. They’ve still been pretty solid at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, aside from their 3-0 defeat to Tottenham last time out, but the Toffees have struggled for that form on the road, winning just one of their four away matches (v Wolves).

Everton are easier on the eye this season with the summer recruits they’ve added to the squad, but the approach hasn’t changed much under David Moyes. Everton still rank 3rd for long balls (23.3 per game), low for possession (45% - 16th) and low for shots on target (3.10 per game - 19th). These indicators suggest that Everton aren’t too dissimilar to the side we saw last season in terms of actual output, which is a small concern. 


📔 Sunderland v Everton Formation & Team News

Sunderland have experimented with a few formations this season, as have all three of the promoted sides as the variety of challenges in the Premier League demand that sides adapt.

They’re expected to line up with a back five here in a 5-4-1 with Isidor leading the line and two banks of stubborn defensive lines, which Everton will find difficult to break down, particularly with their issues when it comes to creating and taking high-quality chances so far this season. 

Don’t be surprised if Sunderland line up in a 4-3-3 as they may feel comfortable enough on home soil now to be a bit bolder in these sorts of situations. Everton’s confidence on the road will be low, having lost three of their four away matches this term, so there is real scope for Sunderland to take the game to the Toffees.

Everton are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 here, which becomes a 4-4-2 when they are out of possession. Everton are still a direct and physical side, but I can’t help but think that their personnel requires a different approach, with the Toffees now having technical players in the final third that can really punish sides.


📊 Sunderland v Everton Key Stats

  • Sunderland have won three of their four matches at the Stadium of Light this season, scoring eight goals across those games.

  • Everton have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches across all competitions.

  • Only Arsenal (one) have conceded fewer goals at home this season than Sunderland (two).

  • Everton rank 5th in the league when it comes to xG conceded (13.9).


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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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