Arguably the pick of the 5 Sunday fixtures sees Eddie Howe’s Newcastle make the big trip down to North London to face 3rd place Spurs. These two sides have both made superb starts to the Premier League with 41 combined points.
The hosts today, Tottenham, are the 3rd highest scorers in the league but shot a blank and suffered defeat in midweek at Old Trafford. That defeat can be attributed to Spurs’ poor performance, but it is mainly due to United’s excellence. At home, Spurs look a completely different side, with 15 goals and a perfect 15 points from 5 games.
Newcastle also have plenty to be optimistic about with points from 10/11 PL games. This is a tough matchup though, particularly without Isak, Saint-Maximin and now Joelinton. One Newcastle player who will be very up for this game is Kieran Trippier as the former Spurs man makes the return to North London.
With two of the top 6 this season facing off on the Sky Cameras, this is the headline game to watch this weekend and the perfect game for a Bet Builder. Listed below are my 3 favourite tips for your Bet Builders and a Cheat Sheet to accompany them.
Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United Bet Builder Tips
Tottenham to Win
As I mentioned already Spurs have been electric at home this season. In addition to their 5 home wins in the League, they have added a pair of European wins as well. This can mainly be attributed to their high powered attack which will be led by Son and Kane today. Richarlison and Kulusevski are both ruled out through injury which could say Perisic push further forward to join the best tandem in the league, news which should excite plenty of FPL managers.
Out of the top 8 sides in the League, Spurs rank bottom for possession and only just average above 50% at home this season. Low possession allows Conte’s Spurs to strike fast on the counter, with Son and usually Kulusevski stretching the play while Kane drops in with his excellent ball distribution. With Trippier pushing forward as Newcastle’s lead creator and Dan Burn’s lack of pace, this should be a profitable attacking route for Spurs today.
Although the Geordies have only lost once this season, I think they will struggle to contain this Spurs side at home. An ever-growing injury list leaves Newcastle very light on first team options and I struggle to see Howe playing for anything more than a point. There are some teams that can sit in and withstand the talent of Kane and Son, but a rotated Newcastle back line won’t be able to do this.
Harry Kane to have 2+ Shots on Target
As the 2nd top scorer in the league, Harry Kane has had a wonderful start to the Premier League season which is going very under the radar. Haaland’s excellence with his 15 goals has seen other strikers go virtually unrecognised but Kane has arguably been the best of the rest. More of an all-round striker, Kane is more than a goal scorer, as I mentioned before his distribution is unmatched.
Kane is obviously a world-class talent, but his shooting numbers make him perfect value for our bet builder today. Spurs will use Kane as more of a false nine, allowing their wingers to stretch the pitch, creating bigger pockets of space, space for Kane. If Newcastle focus on the deep threat, Kane will have more time on the ball, and he averages 3.58 shots per game in the Prem and 3.24 this season.
England’s star man has registered a SOT in every game this season and he’s had 2+ in more than 50% of games. He’s scored in his last 4 PL home games and 6 of his last 7 home games. I expect Kane to score and given his style to have at least another SOT in addition to that.
Dan Burn to be Shown a Card
Big Dan Burn arrived at St. James Park in January of this year and instantly became a starting centre half in a rejuvenated Newcastle defence. The big name addition of Sven Botman to partner Fabian Schar has seen Dan Burn slide over to left back for the majority of this season, playing 90 minutes most weeks.
It should come as little surprise that Burn has won 8/8 aerial duels at left back in his last two games. He was carded at Old Trafford for a late challenge on Cristiano Ronaldo, showing his tendency to tuck inside and support the central defenders against the striker. He also recorded 3 fouls that day, and 2 against Brentford with a physical striker in Ivan Toney. A further two fouls against City and Liverpool show Burn fouls at a higher rate against big clubs and physical strikers.
Kulusevski’s loss should see Son slide over to the right which is a bad matchup for Burn. His lack of agility could hinder his ability to defend the two footed Son going left and right. Both Son and Kane average over 1.5 fouls drawn per game and right wing back Emerson averages 1.74 fouls drawn per game. These are some of Spurs’ highest numbers and should provide plenty of opportunity for Burn to be carded.
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