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UFC Fight Night: Lopes v Silva 3/1 Accumulator Tips, Best Bets & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Lopes v Silva 3/1 Accumulator Tips, Best Bets & Predictions

Wednesday 10 September, 20251 min read
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Joshua Sia

Been writing freelance long-form UFC breakdowns for over 7 years now, covering every UFC event and predicting at an accuracy of just under 70% this year.

Below are my four best bets for Sunday's UFC Fight Night from Texas. Lopes v Silva is the big one, but there's plenty of value on show across the card.

The Best Accumulator Bookmakers are worth a browse before placing.


5/1 UFC Fight Night Accumulator Tips

Fixtures for: Sunday 14th September

Diego Lopes (#2) v Jean Silva (#10)

Featherweight

01:40

Under 3.5 Rounds

Lopes versus Silva is a fight that will likely play out as advertised, with both fighters being very comfortable letting their strikes go, and with someone going down after a visceral exchange. 

Lopes is coming off a very competitive 5-round championship bout against Alexander Volkanovski, and whilst Volkanovski did walk away the victor, it takes two to tango, and boy did Lopes tango as he stood toe to toe against one of the most intelligent boxers in the division.

The problem that Lopes often faces is that he sometimes looks a little bit uncomfortable on the feet. He’s a grappler at heart and whilst he does enjoy the good scuffle on the feet, his ability to change levels and take the fight to the ground should not be ignored in this bout. 

With that said though, Jean Silva has constantly answered the call, he has shown both outstandingly high variance with his kickboxing, as well as displaying a non-caring attitude about what offense comes his way because he will meet and clash with his opponent within the pocket and thrive within that moment, and that’s exactly the attitude that Lopes is likely to have in this fight as well since both fighters have a whole lot to prove.

Lopes himself is coming off that 5-round bout against the current Champ, so I expect to see Lopes look very, very confident this weekend, but with confidence comes disregard for danger, and that’s something Lopes can’t do against a prolific finisher like Silva.

I think we’re due for a finish within three rounds here, both fighters are likely to keep this fight standing, and it’s going to be a fantastic fight for all fans to witness!

Rob Font (#9) v David Martinez

Bantamweight

01:10

Fight to Go the Distance

It’s always interesting to see someone who is relatively new in the UFC take on a veteran, and whilst Martinez has the potential to make this one an absolute nightmare for the favourite Rob Font, I don’t see this fight ending in a finish.

See, Font has fought many opponents who hit tremendously hard, who start fast, and who have that first-round finish potential, and it’s quite rare for Font’s opponents to find that chin of Font and put him down, and trust me, many have tried. I do believe that Font has the Fight IQ to both weather the early storm and to attack the cardio and mobility of the fairly green fighter.

Font’s reach advantage also plays heavily into my belief that this fight hits the judges' scorecards, only because he uses his jab very effectively, and it is damaging enough to keep Martinez from using his wrecking ball style to damage Font.

My only concern for Font here is that first round, really, because Martinez is still new to the UFC, he has that confidence that comes with being a young, talented fighter who is coming off a first round finish, and there is little doubt that Martinez is going to chase that early finish to replicate that feeling he felt when he put Saaiman Oliveira away, but Font is no Oliveira.

We’re likely to see scorecards being read out here, and I think it’s going to be a fight that starts off very strong but then tapers off to be a technical back-and-forth with Font getting the upper hand as the minutes go by.

Rafa Garcia v Jared Gordon

Lightweight

00:40

Fight to Go the Distance

This is a fairly competitive fight with a very defensively sound Gordon fighting against an untamed animal in Garcia. 

Gordon has always been a very tough fighter to put away. I think the chances of this fight going the distance explode primarily due to the way that Gordon fights. I don’t mean that he doesn’t get many finishes because he is indeed coming off a fantastic KO over Thiago Moises.

Still, I mean that his lateral movement and his ability to stay calm under fire allow him to survive the fury of his opponents and thrive in the rounds after which his opponents eventually slow down, and that’s what I think is going to transpire here in this fight.

Garcia is so well known for his reckless abandon when it comes to his striking defence, he likes to throw with unrelenting aggression and at a suffocating pace, but the problem with all of that is he leaves himself open to counters, he stands square upon a sequence being finished, his hands often go low after a long combination string and Gordon has always been good at sniping through someone's defences when that occurs.

I don’t think we’re going to see a case in which Garcia’s heavy attacks land cleanly enough to put Gordon down, but I do think that any engagement with Garcia that is extended and within the range of an exchange (so, within the pocket) is going to be dangerous for the Flash. 

I still have a firm belief that this fight goes the distance, Gordon isn’t a prolific finisher, and Garcia is someone who, whilst visually dangerous, is pretty exposed on the feet. 

Kelvin Gastelum v Dustin Stolzfus

Middleweight

00:10

Kelvin Gastelum to Win

I don’t think there are many people out there who see this fight as being a fair one for Stoltzfus. I mean, we’re talking about putting someone like Stoltzfus, who has lost against decent but not top-tier talent, against Gastelum, who has been in some of the most meaningful fights in the Middleweight division for the last five or so years. 

Gastelum rightfully is the favourite here, and whilst some people might be concerned about his ability to take strikes since he was exposed against Joe Pyfer in his last fight, I don’t see a scenario in which Stoltzfus can have the power or ability to rattle the chin of Gastelum like Pyfer did. Gastelum’s range management and striking technique are still fantastic things to witness.

Not many can fight like he does, especially when he’s put up against much taller and longer fighters, but he has made it work for himself through his blitzing style and his inside-the-pocket punching power and fluidity. The moment any fight of his is taking place within hook range, he thrives; he carries so much power in those short arms of his that he deserves to be one of those nightmare Middleweights of the division. 

I think Gastelum is going to have his arms raised here. I genuinely cannot see a way that Stoltzfus can win here.

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We'll have a full breakdown for this weekend's mammoth boxing bout in our Canelo v Crawford Best Betting Predictions, which includes a unique requested bet on the main event and a main card accumulator.

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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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