The Serie A restarts on Wednesday. Napoli have a commanding 8 point lead over AC Milan. Napoli are looking to end a 32 year wait for a Scudetto. Diego Maradona played for the Neapolitans the last time they reigned over Italy. Napoli have impressed so far. They are unbeaten in 15 matches; winning 13 and drawing just 2.
The chasing pack are tightly packed. 3 points separate Milan, Juventus, Lazio and Inter. All of those sides will need to improve significantly if they are to hunt down Napoli. Milan were beaten 2-1 by Napoli at the San Siro but have lost just 2 games this season.
Inter host Napoli in their first match after the World Cup. They are currently in 5th and will be looking to climb into the Champions League places. Napoli have failed to beat Inter in the last 6 meetings between the sides. Wednesday’s match should be hotly-contested.
It’s been a turbulent start to the season for Juventus. Allegri looked destined for the sack at one stage but they are currently 3rd in the table. A run of 4 straight league victories has drastically improved their position. However, controversy remains as their entire board resigned at the end of November. It remains to be seen whether this will impact the team’s fortunes on the pitch.
Spezia v Atalanta
Spezia concede the most shots per game in Serie A. Their opponents are averaging 17.6 shots per game in the league. They take on an Atalanta side that are known for their high-intensity attacking play. Giasperini’s men have earned many plaudits in recent years but there is plenty of work for them to do this season.
Joakim Maehle will play as an attacking full-back for Atalanta. He is averaging 1.24 shots per game this season but this bet has landed in all 3 of his starts against Spezia. He had 2 shots in the away match and 3 shots in the home match against them last season.
Atalanta are set to use a back 5 in this match. Maehle has had 2 shots in his last 2 games where he has played as a wing-back as opposed to a traditional full-back role. His last match in this position came against Napoli so Atalanta should see more of the ball here; affording him more opportunities to shoot.
Roma v Bologna
Bologna are the 5th most yellow carded team in Serie A this season with an average of 2.53 per game. Roma force the 2nd most cards in the league. Their opponents average 3.33 yellow cards per game this season.
A centre-back has been booked against Mourinho’s side in 3 of their last 4 games. Lucumi is set to start in that position for Bologna. He has picked up 3 yellow cards in his last 5 matches for his club. He will be up against Tammy Abraham on Wednesday. Abraham has endured a tough season; scoring just 3 goals so far. However, he has enough about him to cause problems for Bologna as he looks to rediscover the form of last season.
Gary Medel played in the middle of the Roma defence the last time these teams met and was given a yellow card, and to top it off, referee Alberto Santoro has also awarded an average of 6.2 cards per game in his last 5 domestic matches, making Jhon Lucumi decent value for a caution Wednesday.
Cremonese v Juventus
Cremonese opponents are averaging 15.6 shots per game this season; the 3rd most in Serie A. They take on a Juventus side that have their tails up after climbing into the top 4 prior to the World Cup.
Juventus are averaging 15.62 shots per game at home this season so there should be plenty of opportunity for them to shoot.
Filip Kostic will start as a wing-back for Juventus and he has shown signs of improvement in recent weeks as part of this resurgent Juve side. The Serbian is a big threat down the flank and he will relish playing against a Cremonese side that are without a win in their last 5 league matches.
Kostic has had a shot on target in 2 of his last 3 league matches. He is averaging 1.19 shots per game and 0.42 of those are on target.
The former Frankfurt man also had 2 shots on target against Sampdoria, the team who are just below Cremonese in the table.
Inter Milan v Napoli
Marcelo Brozovic is absent with a calf strain for this one. This means that Barella will be at the base of the midfield for Inter. He has picked up 2 cards for Inter in Serie A and 1 in the Champions League this season. All of these cards came when Brozovic was missing from the starting 11.
Napoli pose a considerable attacking threat. Their midfield will be key in shielding his defence on Wednesday. Napoli employ a deep defensive line to draw the opposition press. This can help them isolate creative midfielders 1v1 with opposition midfielders to draw fouls.
An opposition centre-midfielder has been booked against Napoli in 4 of their last 5 league matches. Brozovic is usually the most defensively minded midfielder for Inter. He was booked in the last encounter between these sides and has picked up 3 yellows in the last 5 head-to-heads. Barella will assume this role on Wednesday and put himself in the firing line to receive a booking.
Referee, Simone Sozza is amongst the most prolific in Serie A for cards. He is averaging 6.2 cards per game in his last 5 matches officiated. He has awarded at least 5 cards in all of those.
Barella to be Shown a Card is also a selection in our Inter Milan v Napoli Bet Builder which can be found on Andy’s Bet Club or through the link above.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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