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West Brom v Leicester Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

West Brom v Leicester Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Friday 1 December, 20233 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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West Brom v Leicester

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Kick Off: Saturday 2nd December at 12:30
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Competition: Championship
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event

It's now time to delve into our Championship bet builder with West Brom v Leicester, but we still have a lot more to offer. We are covering every angle for this weekend's slate of Championship games with bet builder tips, so there is plenty to get your teeth into here on Andy's Bet Club.

It's not just Championship coverage either, we also feature a range of expert football tips and betting predictions for you to get stuck into. We also track the best in free bet offers and the latest bookmaker offers, helping you get the best value deals available, so why not take advantage of these offers and back our EFL tips?

This is a big game at Championship level between two sides that have promotion aspirations.

Leicester have obviously made big strides towards that goal already this season. They have such a strong squad in all areas of the pitch that it is difficult to see them outside of the top two come the end of the season. The gap to third at this stage is already eight points, and there is no indication in performances that Leicester will drop off to the extent that that cushion is required.

What Carlos Corberan and West Brom have been able to do so far this season has been arguably as impressive. They have seemingly overperformed their underlying process, but the Baggies have probably been the side where it is most straightforward to explain why this is happening.

The effectiveness of the team to shut down an opposition after taking the lead has been exceptional, especially of late. Corberan did this exact magic act with Huddersfield two seasons ago, taking them to the brink of the Premier League. There are better on-pitch resources for the Spaniard this time around, albeit there are still rumours and murmurs about who might have to leave in January to secure some funds for the club to be sold.

We are now able to dive deeper into that data with the cheat sheet to see what may look like potential areas to attack in the betting markets for each side.

West Brom v Leicester Cheat Sheet

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This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

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You can find West Brom v Leicester bet builder match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match stats: Baggies boast a stern defence

The Baggies have proven to be a tough team to break down under Carlos Corberan. Alex Palmer leads the chase for the Championship Golden Glove with his 9 clean sheets in 18 matches. Indeed, one has to go back to the first two home matches of the season to find the last time that WBA allowed their opponents more than 1 xG at The Hawthorns. This includes keeping xG creation kings Ipswich down to a faintly ridiculous 0.1 xG last time. Not only are West Brom one of only two Championship teams to concede less than a goal per game, but this is backed up by them having the third-best xG against record in the division as well. Intriguingly, they manage to achieve this without doing very much in the way of tackling. They have the second-lowest rate for successful tackles in the competition, and they have conceded the fewest fouls per match in the league as well. It is not a high press. The leaders of the whole competition are also the leaders of many of the performance stats. Enzo Maresca wants to control as much as possible, and will have been drilling this team in perfect positional play, much like we see at the Etihad. As much of the focus is on where you are to regain the ball as well as where you are to receive it.

🎯 Shooting stats: Phillips and Ndidi unlikely candidates

When Corberan wanted to use a three-at-the-back system it caused a slight problem in that there was no obvious candidate for the left wing back role. Matt Phillips has ended up making the role his own. However, the role is interpreted intelligently in that the formation is quite lopsided to allow Phillips to make the most of his athleticism, to affect the play more in the final third rather than concentrating on defending. Phillips has the third-highest shots per 90 of those that are likely to start for West Brom in this match, but he is priced up lower down the pecking order because of the position that his name is in on the team sheet. If one can look beyond that to see the role that Phillips is in fact playing for the team, then his price certainly looks like great value. Leicester have such strong options going forward, and Enzo Maresca is doing a pretty good job at rotating them around. The midfield rotation cost Leicester away at Sheffield Wednesday though, as the difference when Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Wilfried Ndidi were introduced to the match was palpable. Dewsbury-Hall is an interesting player for final third data. He sits 2nd in the league for expected assists, behind only Georginio Rutter of Leeds. Which brings us to Wilfried Ndidi. The Nigerian international has been let off the leash this season and he has been helping himself to regular shots at goal. He is averaging over 2 per 90 minutes, which makes him decent value in that market.

Predictions:

🚀 Matt Phillips to have 2+ shots @ 2.0 🚀 Wilfried Ndidi to have 1+ shot @ 1.36 🚀 Wilfried Ndidi to have 2+ shots @ 3.0

🛑 Fouls stats: Wing-backs v wide-forwards

The biggest standout looking at the Baggies defensively is how little they foul. The defensive method is reminiscent of Brentford in the Premier League, well organised, and, seemingly, fairly passive, until they receive the trigger and off they go. This has been working exceptionally well for them as a team, but can be a little difficult to find good angles on West Brom for either cards or fouls. When conducting the research though it does appear that if you want to get with West Brom in this market, going to the wing-backs is probably the best way. The very nature of the role requires them to be involved in a lot of duels, so it makes sense that the fouls will come from there as well. Darnell Furlong has kicked his game on to another level this season and is an obvious shout in this market. The former QPR man very much leads the way in fouls for West Brom, and is the only regular starter with more than one foul per 90. Matt Phillips, despite being fancied for goals, also has a defensive job to do. He is 2nd on the list of foulers for West Brom, albeit a way behind Furlong. He will have to work hard against Leicester so could be worth a bet as well here. The way that Maresca gets this Leicester team to win the ball is by getting the whole team to step onto their opposition, and it is often the wide forwards who are able to get into a defensive duel in the corner to nick the ball back. Of course, sometimes this goes wrong, but there is a reason that defensive duels have such a strong correlation with fouls committed. Abdul Fatawu is the poster boy for this tactic, but he is also the player who has suffered the most with four yellow cards to his name. The fact that he is one away from a ban and also may not start means that Stephy Mavididi is probably a better bet for fouls in this one.

Predictions:

🛑 Darnell Furlong to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.0 🛑 Matt Phillips to commit 1+ foul @ 1.33 🛑 Matt Phillips to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.62 🛑 Stephy Mavididi to commit 1+ foul @ 1.28 🛑 Stephy Mavididi to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.40

* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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