ABC logo
Arsenal v West Ham Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Arsenal v West Ham Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Friday 3 October, 20254 min read
Avatar

ABC Editorial Team

The ABC Editorial Team have a combined Sports Journalism experience of 20+ years. They love to crunch the numbers for all betting predictions, meticulously finding value in each selection. Football experts in their own right, they each bring specialists sports and leagues to the table. Whether it be football, horse racing, boxing, darts, or NFL, our team is equipped to bring you the most insightful and valuable betting tips around.

Arsenal have hit that point in the season where their improved squad depth looks to be helping their chances of competing effectively on multiple fronts. Nuno Espirito Santo takes his new team to the Emirates, hoping to build on a good point earned at Everton last time out.

For further insight, check out these Arsenal v West Ham Betting Stats.

These recommended Best Bet Builder Bookmakers are worth a look ahead of kick-off.

✚ Add picks to your betslip to place bets directly on Andy's Bet Club.


Arsenal v West Ham Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Arsenal v West Ham
  • Premier League
  • 15:00
4 Selections @ 4.90

Arsenal (-1) Handicap

I do expect to see improvement from West Ham, certainly in terms of results, due to the appointment of Nuno Espirito Santo. I am just unsure that going away to Arsenal is the place to expect that improvement.

The basis for this bet is two-fold: Arsenal’s strength and form at home, coupled with the difficulties that West Ham have endured against the bigger teams in the league.

The 1-1 draw with Manchester City in the league ended up as a decent result, having been behind early in the match. This has also been partially wiped away by the 2-0 home win this week against Olympiacos. That was the third time this season that they have covered the (-1) handicap at home, also winning 3-0 over a recently Nuno Espirito Santo-less Nottm Forest and 5-0 against Leeds.

West Ham have been hammered twice already this season by upper-echelon teams. They suffered a 5-1 defeat to Chelsea in a different London derby, and then also lost 3-0 to Tottenham in another London derby. Despite a change in management, there is a trend developing here.

Jurrien Timber to have 1+ Shots

If we can rely on Mikel Arteta to be consistent in his team selection then we can expect Jurrien Timber to line up at right back in place of Ben White. Timber has started the last five Premier League matches in this position, and White is unlikely to be at 100%. While following a Champions League fixture, Mikel Arteta is likely to see the value in freshening things up.

Timber looks mispriced for a shot in the case that he does start. In the Premier League this season, the Dutchman has already had seven shots. That equates to 1.46 shots per 90 so far this season.

The shots have been spread across the matches as well, so four of Timber’s last five starts have seen this bet land.

Add to this the fact that Arsenal are averaging more than 15 shots per match in the Premier League at the Emirates so far this season, whilst West Ham concede around 13 on average so far in the Premier League this season.

El Hadji Malick Diouf to Commit 1+ Fouls

Whether Espirito Santo opts for a back four or back five feels fairly irrelevant for this bet, as Diouf is likely to be pressed into action defensively far more often than he is going to be threatening the Arsenal box.

He only averages 0.79 fouls per 90 at this stage of his West Ham career, so you may think that the odds here aren't great, but actually that foul rate is the reason why we are getting a backable price here for something that is usually fairly unbackable: a foul against Bukayo Saka.

Diouf himself committed three fouls last time out against Everton, making this three matches in a row he's committed at least one foul. Saka is the most likely direct opponent for Diouf, though he may be rotated, but Saka has been fouled five times in the game and a half since he has returned from injury. He averages 2.3 fouls against him per 90 over Arsenal's last 30 matches.

Arsenal Over 6.5 Corners

The context for this selection comes down to how I believe the match is likely to play out.

Espirito Santo is a pragmatic manager. He is not going to send West Ham out to be open and trade blows with Arsenal. The solution will be to stay compact and aggressive and launch quick attacks once the ball is won back.

This often means that the opposition will have more territory and possession of the ball. The way Arsenal play means that they will probe and get into advanced positions out wide, especially on the left, which is likely to lead to a high corner volume.

I predict this type of play, even if there is an early goal, as Espirito Santo will know that even a 1-0 scoreline going into the latter stages could be recoverable for a point.

This particular line looks more than gettable. Arsenal have averaged 6.22 corners per game this season, a figure which rises to 7.5 when only considering Premier League matches, and they've covered this line in their last four league matches.

Interestingly, Arsenal played Espirito Santo's Nottm Forest team three times in the league, and covered this line comfortably every time.

18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.

New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on Football on odds of min 1.5 (1/2), get £50 in Free Bet Builders after the qualifying bet has been settled. Rewards valid for 90 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify (Apple Pay excluded). T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. AD

📈 Arsenal v West Ham Form & Tactics

Arsenal come into this match with a confident Champions League win under their belt against Olympiacos. Their 1-0 defeat at Liverpool remains their only loss of the season so far. This goes alongside confident home wins against Leeds and Nottm Forest, and narrow victories against Man Utd and Newcastle United.

Once again, set pieces have been absolutely vital to Arsenal’s progress so far this season. Only four of Arsenal’s 12 goals have been from open play, with seven set piece goals and a penalty making up the difference. There isn’t necessarily an issue with this, as lots of teams are finding this very difficult to stop. Having said that, Arteta is likely to want to improve that open play record, and he certainly has the players at his disposal to do it.

Arsenal are only 9th for shots on target in the league, but they are clear at the top of the defensive record with only 3.9 xG conceded.

West Ham’s form is perhaps less relevant than at many other clubs, just because of the change in management. However, there is still some relevance to knowing that West Ham have won only once this season, and sit 19th in the table with a -8 goal difference; only Wolves have a worse goal difference and points haul.

Whilst there is no real good news in the performance data either, it doesn’t paint quite as bleak a picture for the Hammers. They are only 13th for xG conceded, at 8.6 xGA, which is better than the likes of Manchester United, Aston Villa, Brentford, and Nottingham Forest. They are also 14th for xG created, so there could be something there for Espirito Santo to build on.


📔 Arsenal v West Ham Formation & Team News

Arsenal are using a 4-3-3 system with a little bit of flexibility in the midfield. After a masterclass performance in the Champions League, Martin Odegaard once again asserted himself as the leader of this team, and with the consistent excellence of Declan Rice and the start that Martin Zubimendi has made, there is an argument to say that Arsenal have the strongest midfield in the Premier League at the moment. 

There are no new injury concerns for Mikel Arteta, so whilst there could be rotation between this team and the Champions League XI, there is a lot of strength in depth. Jurrien Timber is expected to start over Ben White, Gabriel is expected to be fit to start, and Bukayo Saka should retain his place, too. Declan Rice should also start over Mikel Merino.

Espirito Santo's West Ham will look and feel quite different to Graham Potter’s version. It remains to be seen how the Portuguese manager's style goes down with West Ham supporters in the long term, but, for now, most Hammers fans would be happy with some points on the board. Espirito Santo set West Ham up in a 4-1-4-1 shape with a target man in Niclas Fullkrug, and the speed of Crysencio Summerville was key to getting West Ham on the attack. 

Espirito Santo will have had more time to assess his squad ahead of this fixture, so there could be changes, perhaps one of Lucas Paqueta or Mateus Fernandes could drop out for a more solid, defensive bias to the midfield.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, including Premier League Predictions for this week, on Andy's Bet Club.

For Saturday's football, we also have a Premier League Accumulator, Leeds v Tottenham Bet Builder Tips, Man United v Sunderland Betting Tips and Chelsea v Liverpool Tips.

Goals and player props are another of our strengths, view these BTTS Acca Tips, Goals Accumulator Predictions, Shots Tips and Fouls Predictions this weekend.

We recommend both the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer and Betfred Sign Up Offer, for the Best Free Bets and Odds Boosts.


* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

18+ please gamble responsibly.