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West Ham v Arsenal
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Kick Off: Sunday 11th February at 14:00
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
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West Ham’s six-match unbeaten sequence in the Premier League was brought to a grinding halt in last weekend’s heavy 3-0 away defeat to Manchester United, seeing the Hammers drop down to seventh place in the Premier League table, while Arsenal beat Liverpool to maintain their title bid.
West Ham are unbeaten in their past six Premier League home games (W3 D3), and they are yet to go seven without defeat at the London Stadium in the league. The bigger picture shows that David Moyes’ side have managed to collect just seven league wins from their last 19 games in the Premier League, with their last victory coming against Arsenal at the Emirates in the last week of December. With 3 consecutive stalemates prior to their heavy defeat last week, this may be an uphill battle for West Ham, but they managed to defy the odds in the reverse fixture.
Arsenal were very dominant in their 3-1 victory over league leaders Liverpool, and looked to be back to their levels from last season, when most teams looked inept against Mikel Arteta’s boys. This is a must-win for the Gunners if they’re to build enough momentum to keep up with the big dogs around them.
West Ham v Arsenal Cheat Sheet
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🏆 Match stats: Arsenal to get revenge
West Ham claimed a very impressive victory over the Gunners back in late December, but the Hammers now look a fraction of the side they were back then, following some dire form. West Ham haven’t completed a Premier League double over Arsenal since 2006/07 and based on the current state of both sides, the 18-year wait looks likely to be extended once more.
Arsenal lost three out of their last 12 games in the league and have collected no fewer than eight wins in that 12-match period. Results away from home have also been strong as the Gunners have lost just three of their previous 11 away trips.
West Ham, meanwhile, are yet to win any of their six matches across all the competitions since the turn of the year, including two games against Championship opposition in Bristol City, and a Sheffield United rooted to the bottom of the Premier League. They do remain unbeaten at the London Stadium in 10 outings which includes a 3-1 victory over Arsenal in the Carabao Cup, but the cracks have shown of late.
Predictions:
⚽ Arsenal to win @ 1.50
🥅 Goals stats: This London Derby never fails to deliver
Arsenal’s away games haven’t always been decorated with goals this season but fixtures with West Ham tend to be.
This London Derby has witnessed at least 3 goals in six of the last eight meetings, including their Carabao Cup meeting at the London Stadium this season which finished 3-1 to David Moyes’ side. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 5 consecutive meetings between these two when West Ham are playing at home, and with Arsenal showing their attacking prowess against Liverpool recently, they should be in good rhythm.
Arsenal boast the best defensive record in the league in both goals against and expected goals against. They are a tremendous force at the back but a handful of games this season has shown their vulnerability, even when it seems the full game is in their control. Both teams have scored in 52% of Arsenal’s league games this season and they haven’t kept out West Ham since December 2021, that’s 5 meetings without a clean sheet.
West Ham are tough to beat when playing at home, and they have been shut out on only two occasions this season at the London Stadium. Despite their attacking worries, they seemingly always turn up in this derby and they should score at least one on Sunday.
Predictions:
⚽ Both teams to score @ 1.65
⚽ Over 2.5 goals @ 1.60
🎯 Shooting stats: Saka to star once more
Arsenal have had their shooting boots on in recent weeks, leaving their opponents at their mercy. The Gunners are averaging an impressive 16 shots per 90 this season with 5 hitting the target.
Arteta’s boys have registered at least 16 shots in all of their last four games and had at least 5 on target on three of those occasions. West Ham allow 16.10 shots per 90 this season with 5.13 hitting the target.
Arsenal’s starboy Bukayo Saka has started to find consistency once more. Having bagged two goals and an assist in his last 3 games.
Saka has had another monstrous season already, registering 8 goals and 7 assists so far this campaign and he has been Arsenal’s key source of danger. Saka is generating 0.70 xG+A per 90 minutes and after some strong recent performances, he looks a great option in the shots markets.
Saka has got into shooting positions with regularity, from close and long range, registering an average of 2.72 shots per 90 this season, hitting the target 0.89 times to the same measure. We would expect Saka to run at defenders to create a plethora of shooting opportunities and test the goalkeeper. He has at least one shot on target in 5 of his last 6 games.
Predictions:
⚽ Arsenal to have 16+ shots @ 1.50
⚽ Arsenal to have 5+ shots on target @ 1.33
⚽ Bukayo Saka to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.50
⚽ Bukayo Saka to score or assist @ 2.00
🚩 Corners stats: The set piece masterminds are tricky to beat
Corners are a huge staple of Arsenal’s attacking threat, their bread and butter. They sit first for total corners taken this season by a margin of 15 corners to second-placed Man City and have the most goals scored from set pieces. Arsenal fixtures average 10.43 corners – some strong numbers.
Arsenal’s flag kick contributions make up the majority of that average, with the Gunners taking an average of 7.65 corners per 90, unsurprisingly, the best numbers in the league. This love for corners stretches across their home and away fixtures, with Arsenal winning 19 corners across their last 3 away fixtures.
West Ham also average 10.43 corners per 90 this season, but unlike their visitors, they’re often on the receiving end of the set pieces. Conceding just shy of 7 corners a game on average, the Hammers will likely be stretched once again considering their opponents’ tendency to inflate the total corner count.
Considering that West Ham have only managed three corners across their last two fixtures at the London Stadium, an Arsenal corner match bet could hold strong value.
Predictions:
⚽ Over 4.5 Arsenal corners @ 1.29
⚽ Arsenal corner match bet @ 1.33
⚽ Over 8.5 total corners @ 1.36
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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