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2023 Wimbledon betting tips & predictions
The grass has been meticulously prepared, the strawberries have been picked, the ball kids have been drilled, and now is the time for tennis.
The All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club is just about ready to receive her visitors for the annual pilgrimage. Wimbledon is still the tournament that most tennis players dream about winning. It is the last remaining grass court major and has been since the Australian Open ditched the turf in 1987.
As a result of being the only grass court grand slam, there is actually very little grass court tennis played by the players. Recently the gap between the French Open and Wimbledon was extended by a week to allow a better chance of preparation and match practice on grass for players. Some have taken to this, others, not so much.
There is a rich and glorious history to this event at SW19, and more history will be made by the players over the Championships fortnight. As you would have guessed, we have you covered with Wimbledon betting tips covering both the men’s and women’s side of the tournament.
If you’ve not yet signed up to Paddy Power then now is the perfect time to get involved in some Wimbledon betting tips. Click claim on the offer below and get your stake refunded in cash for your first bet if it doesn’t land:
Wimbledon 2023 men’s betting odds
|Player||Odds (via PaddyPower)|
2023 Wimbledon men’s singles betting preview: History on the line once more for Novak Djokovic
Putting together some Wimbledon betting tips for the 2023 Gentlemen’s Singles simply boils down to one question: are you with or against Novak Djokovic?
The great Serbian makes the market, and it is no surprise that this is the case. Not only is he the defending champion at SW19 but he has now won the Wimbledon crown seven times, another triumph would put him level with Roger Federer at the top of the honours board with eight.
Djokovic couldn’t be coming in with better form either. He is fresh off the back of a third French Open title and he is using his usual preparation of no grass court tournaments, but using an exhibition event, the Giorgio Armani Tennis Classic at Hurlingham Club, to get his eye in on the surface.
At 36 years of age, Djokovic realises that he is able to warm up into a tournament, especially a best-of-five sets one. Inevitably the Serbian makes it into the second week having not been at his best, but by the time the finals matches begin he is ready and can use his elite game and mentality to get the job done. He is deserving to be an odds-on price in my view, the recent form is there, the past form is there, but, most importantly, his mentality edge over the rest of the field is staggering.
If Djokovic can retain his superiority in the mind and his unbelievable ability to hit his absolute peak as and when he needs it, like in every tiebreak he plays, then the field have a very remote chance of wresting the Gentleman’s Singles Trophy. Paddy Power price the Serbian at a very prohibitive 8/13 for the title and though I would take Djokovic over the field, that price is unbackable.
Until knowing the draw, which takes place on Friday morning, it is impossible to go hunting for each way value on the other side of Djokovic. Therefore, it becomes a case of, which players could be capable of making a deep run and having the self-belief to challenge Djokovic.
Carlos Alcaraz is the obvious place to start. The Spaniard is poised to be the one to take over the dominance from Djokovic. Some thought that may happen at the Franch Open, but it was in the semifinal between the pair that many realised how far Alcaraz still has to go from a physical and mental standpoint, at least against Djokovic.
Alcaraz is making strides on grass though. Winning the Queens title is not an easy task, and he visibly improved with each round. He has spoken about learning from the likes of Andy Murray and Roger Federer and their movement on grass, so he is keen to learn. There is no doubt in my mind that Alcaraz will win a Wimbledon, but, just like Rafael Nadal, he needs that bit more experience to get to the top level required. 10/3 is a price that can’t be taken on Alcaraz right now.
After the Spaniard though comes a list of players that it is easy to rule out. Daniil Medvedev hs looked pretty poor very recently and his wall-like game doesn’t really suit the grass, Jannik Sinner has been less than convincing on grass and retired last week, Nick Kyrgios is a big injury doubt, Alexander Zverev doesn’t look mentally capable of winning a Grand Slam, Holger Rune has much to learn on the surface, Andy Murray was batted aside by Alex De Minaur at Queens and Matteo Berrettini and Felix Auger-Aliassime are both fitness concerns too.
So who does that leave as viable, value Wimbledon betting tips?
My first suggestion is SEBASTIAN KORDA. With the young American you have to take a bit on faith when it comes to Wimbledon betting tips. He has never reached a Grand Slam semi-final, has only one ATP title (and that being a 250 level event) and his highest ranking is his current one of #25.
However, his game is really good for grass. His serve is really strong, he covers the court well and isn’t afraid to use the forecourt when necessary. His long levers make him a difficult player to beat with a pass and give him point ending power when required.
He did make the 4th round of Wimbledon in 2021 as a 20-year-old, and he was a junior semifinalist in 2017 so there is some pedigree there. Most importantly of all though, he believes that he is a contender as he stated in his interview after defeating Cameron Norrie at Queens last week.
FRANCES TIAFOE is on a steady rise through the game and the explosive American finally hit the ATP Top 10 for the first time last week. He has won two titles already this season, including ATP Stuttgart on the grass at the beginning of the grass court season.
Whilst I don’t truly believe that he has it in him to defeat Djokovic, the Maryland native is capable of giving anyone else in the draw a very tough time indeed. Tiafoe has one of the highest hold percentages in the game this year and we know how important holding serve is at Wimbledon.
Tiafoe is in a gradual process of improvement at the highest level. Last year Tiafoe reached the fourth round of Wimbledon, his best performance at that stage, then went on to reach the US Open semifinal last year.
The final selection pre-draw is a third American, BEN SHELTON. Shelton has all the tools to win Wimbledon one day. This year might be a bit too early for him, but the youngster is very dangerous already.
Indeed, he reached the quarter-finals of the Australian Open earlier this year so he has that experience in the bank. He needs more time on the grass courts, but his huge left-handed serve and his willingness to attack will eventually translate into a very powerful game at Wimbledon.
He is worth a punt for our Wimbledon betting tips at his price for him to improve quickly and find his feet at SW19.
Wimbledon 2023 women’s betting odds
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|Beatriz Haddad Maia||23.0|
2023 Wimbledon women’s singles betting preview: The Big Three vie for favouritism at Wimbledon
Iga Swiatek, Elena Rybakina, and Aryna Sabalenka, all sit at the top of the bookmakers’ prices for the forthcoming Ladies’ Singles tournament.
It is difficult to see beyond them because, in 2023, they dominated the biggest events. Rybakina and Sabalenka contested the Australian Open final, the same pair contested the Indian Wells final and Swiatek won the French Open. Sabalenka beat Swiatek in the Madrid Open final and Rybakina won the Italian Open as well. This means that between the three of them, all Grand Slam and WTA1000 titles, except Miami and Dubai, have been won by the big three.
However, Wimbledon is something of a unique beast. Obviously, there is the surface to contend with, only Rybakina could lay any claim to grass being their best surface. Both Swiatek and Sabalenka can point to some past form though. Swiatek was a junior Wimbledon champion, and Sabalenka reached the semifinals in 2021.
Obviously, Sabalenka was unable to take part last year as a result of Wimbledon’s stance on Russian and Belarussian players. She has improved a lot since 2021 and that might be a tip in her direction, however, she suffered a poor defeat to Veronika Kudermetova in Berlin last week.
With all three players priced at around 4/1, it is difficult to say that any one of them represents good value in this tournament. Rybakina withdrew from the French Open, lost in her only warm-up tournament, and withdrew from Eastbourne this week. Meanwhile, Swiatek’s grass court tournament in Bad Homburg has only just started and despite an impressive win over Tatjana Maria, it is too early to say what shape she is in on the grass.
There are contenders that do deserve a closer look at bigger prices. PETRA KVITOVA is having her best season with tournament wins for many years. The Czech two-time Wimbledon champion was one of the two to break the stranglehold of big titles to the Big Three discussed above, as she defeated Rybakina in Miami.
There were concerns as then she took a lot of time off but she roared back last week in Berlin as she took that prestigious title as well. This sets the veteran up for a great tilt at a third Wimbledon title and she knows that she has the ability to do it.
The French Open finalist, KAROLINA MUCHOVA, must have a big chance here. She will be seeded, for the first time in a while, and looked free of injury in her French Open run.
Perhaps the Czech will be disappointed that she didn’t take that title in Paris has been a set and a break up, as well as a break up in the third. However, her game has always been really well suited to the grass, and I thought that Wimbledon would always be her best chance of a Grand Slam title. It could be her year.
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Another player with a big French Open run that should actually have a better chance on grass is BEATRIZ HADDAD MAIA. The Brazilian had shown little form on grass until 2022, but then went on a great winning streak, including back-to-back titles in Nottingham and Birmingham. Indeed, only a semi-final loss to Petra Kvitova ended that streak in Eastbourne.
There followed a really disappointing first-round exit at Wimbledon against Kaja Juvan. Indeed, her only grass court action of 2023 was a disappointing defeat to Daria Snigur, but perhaps a Paris hangover could have been to blame for that.
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Wimbledon Frequently Asked Questions
When does Wimbledon start?
The qualifying competition begins on Monday 26th June and will conclude on Thursday 29th June, but this is played at Roehampton. The official main draw beginning of Wimbledon is on Monday 3rd July. Play on the outside courts will commence at 11am.
Where can I watch Wimbledon?
Wimbledon is a protected sporting event in the UK. The coverage will be helped by the BBC in the UK with blanket coverage on the main channels of BBC1 and BBC2. There will also be extensive coverage on the interactive services of the Red Button where multicourt options will be available. In addition, the BBC Sport app and BBC Sounds will offer audio coverage.
Eurosport 1 will also cover the action live and provide highlights. The coverage will also be available via the Discovery+ app and Eurosport’s on-demand streaming platform.
The United States will have coverage via ESPN and The Tennis Channel.
When are the Wimbledon finals?
The timing of the finals rarely changes at Wimbledon. The Ladies’ final is on Saturday 15th July with play commencing at 2pm. The Gentlemen’s Singles final will be on Sunday 16th July at 2pm. All other finals, including the doubles, juniors, U14s, wheelchair, quad, and invitational are all also played over the final weekend.
How can I bet on Wimbledon?
There are early, antepost outright markets on Wimbledon that can be bet on now. Every major, and most minor, bookmakers will have an outright market in their tennis offering. There are also options on the exchanges, including Betfair. More markets will populate after the draw on Friday morning.
Who won the 2022 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Title?
The defending champion at this year’s Wimbledon Men’s Tournament will certainly be used to the feeling of having to defend. Novak Djokovic defeated Australian Nick Kyrgios in four sets, 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, 7-6. This was the fourth Wimbledon win in a row for Djokovic having beaten Matteo Berrettini, Roger Federer, and Kevin Anderson in the previous three finals.
Who won the 2022 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Title?
The 2022 Women’s Tournament really was wide open and took many twists and turns. In the end, Kazakhstan’s Elena Rybakina defeated Tunisia’s Ons Jabeur in the final. It was Rybakina’s first Grand Slam title but she has since gone on to win many more titles, including Miami this season.
Who are the Wimbledon 2023 Favourites?
The men’s Singles tournament has an odds-on favourite. The man to beat is Novak Djokovic, the 23-time Grand Slam Champion. His only realistic fellow favourite is the world #2 Carlos Alcaraz, the Queen’s champion.
The women’s singles sees three co-favourites in the betting, a pretty rare scenario. There is the recent French Open champion and world #1 Iga Swiatek, defending Wimbledon champion Elena Rybakina, and Australian Open champion Aryna Sabalenka.
Who are the Wimbledon 2023 Contenders?
The list of contenders for the Men’s Singles crown is relatively short. You do not have to go too far down the bookmakers’ odds before questioning whether those players really can win the trophy. The contenders would be Jannik Sinner, Taylor Fritz, Frances Tiafoe, Daniil Medvedev, Holger Rune, Sebastian Korda, and Alex De Minaur.
The women’s event is slightly more open. The main contenders are: Karolina Muchova, Petra Kvitova, Ons Jabeur, Coco Gauff, and Barbora Krejcikova. There are a few outsiders as well who would give themselves a chance as well such as Beatriz Haddad Maia, Jelena Ostapenko, Donna Vekic, Veronika Kudermetova, and Ekaterina Alexandrova.
How many times has Djokovic won Wimbledon?
Novak Djokovic is one of the most successful Wimbledon Men’s Singles tennis players of all time. The Serbian has won the title seven times. His first Wimbledon crown was in 2011, he then won in 2014, 2015, 2018, 2019, 2021, and 2022. This means that he has won the last four Wimbledon titles.