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Andy's Tuesday Accumulator @ 4.72

Wrexham come into this clash having seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions, most recently falling to a 2-1 defeat at the hands of Norwich at home. Wrexham’s home games tend to be entertaining, they’ve seen 46 goals across their 14 home games in the Championship this term (3.28 per game).

The meeting between the sides earlier in the season saw BTTS as the teams played out a 1-1 draw. Leicester registered an xG of 1.07 in that clash, with Wrexham not too far behind with an xG of 0.91. The Foxes have also seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions, with the exception of their 2-0 win in the FA Cup against lower league opposition.

Leicester lost 2-1 on the road against Coventry last time out and have seen 44 goals across their 14 away matches in the Championship this term (3.14 per game). Leicester have won just four of those matches, so we can expect them to be on the back foot here, but they still have enough firepower to get on the scoresheet.

The Parisians really should take the three points here, but I’m playing it slightly safe and taking the double chance market too, just incase Sporting manage to get a draw. We’ve seen Sporting take nine points from nine at home in the Champions League, but with all due respect to the opponents they’ve faced, this is a step up. Kairat Almaty and Club Brugge are minnows, while Marseille played half of the game with 10 men and had the lead when they were level on players.

Sporting are giving up an average of 13.3 shots per game in this competition, some way ahead of PSG’s nine, which is the 2nd-fewest of any team. It’s at the other end of the pitch that this PSG team come alive, and their attack is stacked. They lead the Champions League in shots per game (20) and are 2nd for shots on target (8.0). 

The French side have only lost one game in the Champions League this year, against a very strong Bayern Munich team, and this should be quite easy for them. It’s worth remembering that last year that they started the group stages fairly slowly before exploding after Christmas, winning both remaining league phase games and scoring eight in the process.

This is Ipswich’s fourth home match in a row, and it seems to me that they're peaking at the right time for promotion back to the Premier League.

They weren’t overly convincing against Oxford, but then they hit 32 shots against Blackpool in the FA Cup, and cruised past Blackburn, generating 2.86 xG and creating five big chances in a 3-0 victory.

The Tractor Boys are putting together a really dominant season from an xG perspective at Portman Road. They are averaging 2.09 xG for, and only conceding 0.76 xG against, so a differential of +1.33 xG, meaning that they are creating over 1 xG more chances than their opponents during a game at home. The conversion of this performance hasn’t always been perfect, their 3-0 loss to Charlton was a low point, but they have now won five in a row at home heading into this match.

Have Bristol City got anything to combat this? There is nothing obvious that stands out. Their overall form is up and down, two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five, and the away form is similar. They have won five in 13 Championship away games. They have generated 1.14 xG and 1.33 xG against in away games this season, so it is looking unlikely that City will make much of an impact here and may have to rely on either good fortune or being super clinical to come away with anything.

With Spurs currently in a slump, I think Borussia Dortmund are heading to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium at the perfect time to secure a positive result on Tuesday night.

Moreover, the German giants are currently enjoying an 11-match unbeaten run in the Bundesliga, which stretches back to mid-October. The case for keeping BVB on side is strengthened by the fact that their only defeat in this season’s Champions League came against Manchester City at the Etihad, which is no disgrace.

That doesn't bode well for a Tottenham team that has lost 5 of their last eight matches across all competitions, claiming just 1 victory during that period - a narrow 1-0 win over another struggling side in the shape of Crystal Palace.

The atmosphere at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is turning toxic as pressure mounts on manager Thomas Frank. That tension could spike on Tuesday night against a Borussia Dortmund side stacked with quality and with some real momentum behind them.

Football

Erling Haaland to Score at Any Time @ 2.00

Erling Haaland has scored in all five of his Champions League starts this season, netting six goals in total.

The Norwegian has in fact been particularly lethal away from home in Europe, netting four of his six Champions League goals away from the Etihad.

Haaland will likely relish a return home to Norway where he will face a Bodo/Glimt side who have conceded over two goals per game in the Champions League this term.

At home, Bodo/Glimt have leaked six goals in their three Champions League games, including three in their most recent home match - a 3-2 defeat to Juventus.

Haaland currently trails Real Madrid’s Kylian Mbappe by three in the Champions League goals standings and will therefore be keen to fill his boots back in his homeland.

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Andy’s Bet Club is a valuable sports betting tool, designed to help you make smarter and safer betting decisions ahead of the 25/26 sporting calendar.

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