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AFCON Final Bet Builder @ 4.33

Both sides have been defensively sound throughout the tournament so far, which has been a key reason for their success. Senegal were able to keep a strong Egypt side at bay in the semi-finals, restricting the Pharaohs to just three shots. That result meant Senegal have conceded only twice from their six AFCON games so far. 

However, that isn’t enough to crown them as the best defensive unit, as host nation Morocco have only conceded one goal. The Atlas Lions were equally as impressive on Wednesday, as they progressed past Nigeria on penalties. The Super Eagles had been one of the best attacking sides at AFCON so far,  having scored 14 goals prior to the semi-finals, but they were limited to just two shots in regular time by Morocco. 

Walid Regragui’s men come into the final as marginal favourites, and will hope to secure the trophy with the backing of a strong home support.

Both semi-final games were quite cagey, with neither side wanting to make a costly mistake. Egypt’s tactics were particularly pragmatic against Senegal, as the Pharaohs spent the vast majority of the game camped in their own defensive third until they conceded. By then, it was too late to establish a foothold in the game, and they succumbed to a 1-0 loss.

Egypt managed just one corner in a timid performance, but Senegal had conceded at least four corners in both knockout matches prior. For the first time in this tournament, Senegal are priced as pre-match underdogs, so it could be a real test for them.

Morocco are expected to be a lot more progressive in their approach than Egypt were, and they managed four corners against Nigeria in the previous round. That means they have hit four or in all six AFCON matches so far, racking up seven corners against Cameroon in the quarter-finals. The over 4.5 line is an appealing price towards evens, and Morocco's corners totals in the tournament suggest they'll force their fair share in the final.

Morocco have drawn the 2nd-most fouls of any AFCON side this season, with their opponents also averaging 3.67 yellow cards per game. The Atlas Lions have been an incredibly difficult side to contain, and this will be a real test for Senegal. 

Idrissa Gueye, in particular, could be in for a tough night, operating in defensive midfield for the Lions. The Everton man is averaging 1.67 fouls per 90 at AFCON this year, and has registered multiple infringements in three of his six matches. Considering he will be up against the likes of Brahim Diaz, Ismael Saibari and Abde Ezzalzouli, that figure could be set to rise sharply. Those three have combined for a ridiculous 9.03 fouls drawn per 90 across Morocco’s six AFCON games, ranking 1st, 4th and 12th, respectively, for total fouls won in the tournament.

The PSG man has been fit enough to start all three knockout matches, which has been a massive boost for Morocco - he has recovered from injury at the perfect time, and should play a massive role in the final. 

The 27-year-old had two shots against Nigeria in the semi-final, and is always looking to break forward. He is no stranger to a big game, and managed to get on the scoresheet in the Champions League final last season. 

Hakimi is averaging 1.49 shots per 90 across all competitions for PSG this season, and has registered a shot in eight out of ten matches when playing the full 90. Despite featuring as a right back on paper, he is given just as much attacking licence for Morocco, and will be a candidate to take free kicks.

Football

Wolves v Newcastle Bet Builder @ 3.18

Krejci has been one of the few Wolves players that has impressed over the course of the season, with the 26-year-old showing himself to be an aggressive centre back who can also play in midfield.

Krejci has committed 23 fouls across his 16 starts in the Premier League this season, working out to an average of 1.49 fouls committed per 90. This promising foul record has been accompanied by two yellow cards for Krejci, with the latest of those coming against Manchester United a few weeks ago.

Krejci has committed a foul in each of his last two Premier League appearances, and plays for a Wolves side that is committing 14.1 fouls per game in the Premier League this term - more than any other side in the division.

Wolves exceeded this average in the most recent head-to-head, with the Wolves committing 17 fouls in their 1-0 defeat at St James’ Park. Krejci lined up in midfield in that clash, committing two fouls and picking up a yellow card.

He’s expected to feature in a back three for Wolves here, but regularly pushes forward into midfield areas where he’ll be greeted by one of the toughest midfield trios in the Premier League. He’ll brush shoulders with Bruno Guimaraes when he does step forward, with the Brazilian averaging 2.32 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League this term - Guimaraes was fouled five times in the last head-to-head.

Newcastle have only kept one clean sheet across their last five matches across all competitions, with that shut out coming against an out of form Crystal Palace side. Eddie Howe’s side take on a Wolves team that have shown progression in recent weeks under Rob Edwards with the Wanderers coming into this clash having avoided defeat in each of their last four matches.

This recent run has included positive performances at Anfield and Old Trafford, with BTTS landing in both of those matches, as well as a 6-1 win over Shrewsbury in the FA Cup. Wolves have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions, and should feel optimistic of extending their current run with how poor Newcastle have been on the road this season.

Newcastle have only won two of their 10 away matches in the Premier League this season, with Eddie Howe’s side conceding 12 goals across these matches. They’ve conceded 2+ goals in each of their last three games across all competitions against Manchester City, Bournemouth and Leeds - suggesting that Wolves will get chances to test the Newcastle backline here.

Sandro Tonali has committed 14 fouls across his 18 Premier League appearances this season (0.88 per 90) and is likely to be tested here by Wolves’ new look midfield set up. Rob Edwards has thrown in Mateus Mane and moved Jhon Arias further back to create an intriguing and positive midfield trio which is anchored by Joao Gomes.

The positive nature of Wolves’ midfield means that it is likely we see Tonali tested regularly here by the Wolves trio. Mateus Mane in particular will be a real threat to Tonali - the 18 year old has been at the heart of Wolves’ recent revival and has won 14 fouls across his four starts in the Premier League this season (2.82 per 90).

Tonali will also reignite his battle with Joao Gomes who has drawn 26 fouls across his 18 starts in the Premier League this season (1.47 per 90). Tonali has committed a foul in three of his last five Premier League appearances, and should be given opportunities to extend that record up against a confident Wolves side that have a positive midfield trio.

Wolves committed 17 fouls and picked up four yellow cards in their trip to St James’ Park earlier in the season, which ended in a 1-0 defeat for the Wanderers. They’ve maintained that level of aggression across the season as a whole with Wolves ranking first for fouls committed in the Premier League this season (14.1 per game).

This healthy foul record has seen Wolves pick up 44 yellow cards across their 21 games in the Premier League (2.09 per game). Wolves have picked up 2+ cards in 14 of their 21 Premier League matches this season (66%) and face up against a Newcastle side that is strong when it comes to drawing cards from the opposition.

Eddie Howe’s side have drawn 2+ cards from their opponents in 15 of their 21 Premier League matches - including each of their eight games in the top flight. The referee for this game is Samuel Barrott who is averaging 4.00 yellow cards per game across his 12 appointments in the Premier League this season.

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Andy’s Bet Club is a valuable sports betting tool, designed to help you make smarter and safer betting decisions ahead of the 25/26 sporting calendar.

Founded in 2019 by Andy Robson, the UK’s most popular football tipster, the website started as a way for his social media followers to access his goals betting algorithm automatically, as well as his expert football betting tips

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