"The Championship is having a historically low scoring season. The average of 2.41 goals per game is in the lowest 10% of all second-tier seasons, and is over 0.2 goals per game lower than last season’s mean.

This means that many Championship matches are being priced with low goal lines, quite rightly, but this match could be one that has been priced with a goal line that is a little too low.

Both Preston and QPR have little to play for at this stage of the season, which can often go one of two ways: either motivation is a little low and the game is a bit of a non-event, or teams can start to cut loose a little and try and score some goals. Both Preston’s home record and QPR’s away record over the last 10 Championship matches has seen seven of the 10 matches go over 1.5 goals.

Overall, Preston have seen over 1.5 goals in their last six consecutive Championship matches. They have also gone over 2.0 xG in six of their last 10 Championship home matches on their own, which indicates that Paul Heckingbottom is able to get a tune out of his attacking players on a regular basis at Deepdale.

Five out of QPR’s six most recent Championship matches have seen over 1.5 goals as well, so there are goals in both teams coming into this match, which makes 1.45 a tempting price."

"Stevenage are consigned to midtable and Blackpool retain only a slim chance of reaching the playoffs, so some may argue there is little riding on this Good Friday contest. Officially, this match is worthwhile, particularly as the visitors have a game in hand. Steve Bruce won’t allow his side to not give their all, plus the hosts have started to become entangled in much more higher-scoring contests than usual.

The Tangerines are nine points short of the top six with 15 points for them left to play for. A win here and dropped points for Reading and/or others really opens the door for them. This will be their first fixture since 5th April, so they’ll be desperate to get back onto the pitch and right the wrong of the Rotherham loss, which was only their third loss since Boxing Day. They’d won three in succession prior to that and they’ve only twice failed to score in 2025 in league action. In addition to this, 36 of their 41 league contests all season featured at least two goals.

Stevenage are at the other end of the spectrum. However, over the last month or so their contests have taken a largely different route in that more goals are being scored. Across their last nine League One clashes, four of those contained over 2.5 goals, whereas five also featured both teams scoring. In addition to this, just once over their previous 11 home league encounters did the game include one goal or no goals at all."

"Salford City are a bit of a streaky team, to say the least. Between mid-December and the start of January, they won six games in a row to catapult them into 3rd place in League Two. They won just one of their next 12 games, dropping down to 11th position. They now appear to be on the up again, going six games unbeaten, four of which were away games, and three of them wins. 

They face an Accrington Stanley side who are likely to be on the floor after throwing away a 3-0 half-time lead against relegation rivals Tranmere to draw 3-3. That result extends their winless run to six games. 

Salford came back from a goal down to draw 1-1 with 4th-placed Doncaster Rovers on Tuesday evening. They are currently sat in 10th position, six points away from the playoff spots. Expect them to keep up their positive run of form here."

"Since Ian Holloway arrived in late October, there is one word to associate with Swindon’s games, and that is goals. There have been 94 goals in 29 games since he took charge, which works out at 3.2 per game. The chaotic nature of Holloway’s brand of football was best seen on Saturday, when they came from 2-0 and 3-1 down to beat Bradford City 5-4. Level with Salford, their away games have seen more both teams to score results than any other in League Two.

They travel to a Grimsby side who squandered a two-goal lead at Harrogate last weekend, but still managed to cling on to the last playoff spot. Both teams have scored in nine of their last 13 games, and in 13 of 21 home games this season. These two sides are first and second in the both teams to score table this season, so surely we can expect goals again here."