"I think Airdrie look overpriced to score at least one goal away at Morton on Saturday afternoon. After enduring a difficult start to the season, the Diamonds have shown real signs of life under caretaker boss Aaron Taylor-Sinclair to haul themselves off the foot of the table.

In fact, Airdrie have picked up maximum points from three of their last six league games, claiming eye-catching victories on the road at both Raith Rovers and Ross County, the most recent of which came last weekend. What’s more, the Diamonds have hit multiple goals in each of their last two fixtures away from home, so they should be in confident mood ahead of Saturday’s trip to Morton.

While the Ton are always a tough nut to crack at Cappielow, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in six of their eight league games at home this term, with six of the last seven sides to visit this venue making the net bulge."

"Of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool have won four, Brighton have won three, and there have been three draws. These sides have been well-matched in recent years, and it is difficult to pick a winner here. However, goals have been a consistent theme between the two, with this selection landing in each of the last eight head-to-head encounters.

It finished 3-2 when these sides last met, as Liverpool went into the second half with a 2-1 lead, helped by an excellent strike from Dominik Szoboszlai. The Seagulls fought back to equalise through Kaoru Mitoma in the 69th minute, before Jack Hinshelwood delivered the hammer blow late on, securing all three points for Brighton.

That was a five-goal thriller at the Amex, but there really could have been more. Brighton racked up 25 shots and two big chances, forcing nine saves from Allison, while Liverpool also managed 18 shots and two big chances in return."

"I am choosing to trust Birmingham's home form rather than the displays that we have seen in their recent away games. Indeed, this may have been an unbackable price if it wasn't for the more indifferent displays that we have seen from Blues of late.

Charlton have continued their own poor form though and it is really difficult to see how Charlton are going to come into this and end up putting themselves in the best position to win. There are definite options to compete and be solid defensively for Nathan Jones’ side, but that would mean a return to the organisation early in the season, not the team that has conceded 12 in their last four.

Just to emphasise what Charlton are up against here, Birmingham at home in the Championship this season have scored 2.33 goals per game, conceding 0.89, and this is pretty well matched by the expected goals numbers of 2.03xG vs 0.96xG. Only Watford and Ipswich have matched them in expected goals during 90 minutes so far this season at St. Andrew’s.

Middlesbrough outclassed Charlton in midweek and it seems like this is happening to the Addicks more regularly. Spirit, tenacity, and attitude can combat quality, but there are limits to that too."

"As much as it pains me to write, Stevenage have regressed significantly in recent weeks and after an excellent start to the campaign, are starting to look more like the mid-table side bookmakers expected pre-season.

Alex Revell’s side have scored just one goal across their last five league games and once again seem to be struggling to create chances with the lowest expected goals count across the season of any team in the third tier. They’ve also struggled against the stronger sides in the division this season, being beaten by Cardiff, Huddersfield and Lincoln, all without getting on the scoresheet.

Stockport have not been without their disappointments this season, particularly on their own patch where they’ve won just four of their nine league ties. They’re also without talisman Ollie Norwood through injury but in their 2-0 win at Doncaster in midweek, they showed signs of a return to form. Stevenage’s tepid attacking displays should mean that County have enough to keep them at bay and so a solitary goal from one of the best sides in League One should be enough to seal victory."