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⚡ Betfair: Back a Goal to be Scored in Arsenal v Man City @ 30/1
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⬇️ A Goal to be Scored in Arsenal v Man City @ 30/1
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New customer offer. Place a max £1 bet on the Over 0.5 Goals market in the Arsenal v Man City game, Sunday, October 8th. Winnings paid in cash at normal odds and are topped up to the enhanced price in Free Bets. Free bets are valid 7 days, only deposits with cards are eligible. Excludes multiples & in-play bets. T&C’s apply. Please gamble responsibly.
Arsenal v Man City
The biggest fixture of last year’s Premier League campaign returns again this weekend as Arsenal travel to Manchester in search of vengeance after last year’s heartbreak. Manchester City will also be seeking payback after Arsenal’s 101st-minute equaliser and penalty shootout win in the Community Shield back in August – we don’t think either team is ready to call it evens. With both teams off to a strong start again this year, this matchup will continue to deliver fireworks and lots of drama.
Arsenal are unbeaten so far in this Premier League season, with only their North London rivals Tottenham managing to mirror that same achievement. Mikel Arteta’s men can take lots of positives from their results, showing great character and digging deep late on in fixtures to salvage 3 points, as seen in their wins at Manchester United and Everton. Partnered with a flawless away record, four wins from four, it’s their home fixtures that have stolen points away. Despite sitting joint second in the Premier League, there’s definitely a sense of doubt and worry amongst the Arsenal fan base that this side is truly yet to click into gear, and if there’s any team in the world that can take advantage of this, it’s the treble winners.
Manchester City’s shock defeat last weekend away to Wolves will definitely inspire confidence for the Gunners, where they saw 69% of the ball, registering a staggering 23 shots, with only Julian Alvarez’s stunning set piece hitting the back of the net.
In this article the Manchester City v Arsenal Cheat Sheet will be broken down, highlighting the key stats and matchups ahead of the game on Sunday afternoon. There are plenty of exciting betting angles for this drama-filled game, with 525 goals being scored in their 176 meetings, this fixture has a history of goals and beautiful attacking football.
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Arsenal v Manchester City Cheat Sheet
The Manchester City v Arsenal Cheat Sheet is an amazing tool for crafting bet builders crammed with value.
These Cheat Sheets break down key statistics for both sides, such as number of team corners taken and conceded, how many cards they and their opponents pick up and many more stats you can target in bet builder selections. This is all partnered with detail on individual player stats so you can attack every angle.
They are designed to give users a greater understanding of what to expect from individual players and the teams, to break down all the essential stats any punter could need.
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Without further ado, let’s get stuck into the breakdown.
Master vs Apprentice
Man City remain the only Premier League side that Mikel Arteta has failed to get the better of, with Pep Guardiola winning on all 7 occasions they have met in the Premier League. Master 7-0 Apprentice. A serious bogey team for the Arsenal manager but there’s always the opportunity to steal that victory, whatever the history books have engraved.
There is also optimism for the return of Gabriel Martinelli for Sunday’s game, but with no confirmed return date, while Bukayo Saka is touch and go.
Will the City squad depth pull through once again?
For Guardiola, Sunday’s clash will not be about him versus his former apprentice. Similar to Arsenal, this Manchester City side is facing absences and his experienced boys are up against a hungry side who will no doubt be setting their eyes on finally reaching that Premier League title after last year’s hurt.
City will be without Rodri for the second consecutive Premier League fixture after the Spaniard picked up a 3-game suspension in their win at Nottingham Forest. This will undoubtedly be a big miss in midfield, especially considering the Spaniard’s love of playing against Arsenal. Although, with plenty of backups in the form of Mateo Kovacic, Matheus Nunes, Kalvin Phillips, and Rico Lewis, all options to start in the middle, it will remain a difficult midfield battle for Arsenal.
There was positive news with the return of both Bernardo Silva and John Stones to the matchday squads in Wednesday’s Champions League clash with RB Leipzig. Silva made a second-half cameo but Stones remained an unused substitute as he patiently awaits his first minutes of football this season. Kevin De Bruyne is the only other City absentee but has been ruled out until the new year with a hamstring issue, a big relief for Arsenal fans, with the Belgian international registering 8 goals and 4 assists in his 20 meetings against the Gunners.
🎯Arsenal Offensive Stats: Long-distance maestros to pose a threat
With Manchester City’s slightly weakened midfield, Arsenal could have some more time on the ball in key areas around the box, inviting Martin Odegaard to work his magic. The Norwegian loves an effort at goal, especially from outside the area. He’s registered 16 shots in 7 games at an average distance of 23 yards, with 50% of those hitting the target, the joint-best in the Arsenal squad. The 2 angles to take advantage of in this market would be Odeegard to have 1+ shot on target at 1.91, or a safer angle at having 2+ shots, priced at 1.44. Odeegard is likely to be the first-choice penalty taker in Bukayo Saka’s absence which also merits the strength of this selection.
A slightly more rogue selection for this clash would be Declan Rice to have 1+ shot on goal priced at 1.4. The Gunners’ record signing has racked up an average of 1.25 shots per 90, with 50% hitting the target, mirroring Arsenal’s Norwegian talisman. At an average shooting distance of 17 yards out, once again, that extra space in and around the penalty could invite an effort or two at goal. A tasty bet builder selection if you’re looking for a different pick.
🎯 Manchester City Offensive Stats: The Robot needs his joints oiled up Pep!
Man City have scored 17 league goals this season, 8 of them from Erling Haaland who is an obvious attacking selection to add to bet builders. But the market prices are fairly tricky for his goal involvements.
Although Haaland is averaging 2.17 shots on target per game, and is priced at 2.1 to do so v Arsenal, the Gunners have been very effective in preventing shots on goal. Haaland’s recent form has taken a slight dip (by his standards) and this could be a tricky fixture for getting those chances.
With Erling Haaland and Julian Alvarez taking most of the limelight on the attacking front, Phil Foden’s goal threat has gone slightly under the radar. Registering 14 shots, 2.46 per 90 with 0.70 on target, his price of 1.91 to have a shot on target could prove great value. Foden is coming off the back of an impressive performance in the Champions League, getting on the scoresheet too, so he can certainly prove a threat for the whole fixture.
🛑 Arsenal Defensive Stats: Backline consistency at last for the Gunners
Sporting the second-best defence in the league, coincidently behind Manchester City, conceding only 6 goals this year, Arsenal are showing promise in maintaining their brilliant defensive performances from last term. These displays have been consistent with the numbers with the Gunners recording a 6.99 xGA this season. The midweek defensive display in the 2-1 defeat to RC Lens looks very out of the ordinary and this must be true if they are to face a chance to bring home any points in this fixture.
Arsenal haven’t seen a glimpse of points from Man City since April 2017, a seriously stunning stat. In that time, Manchester City have scored a whopping 33 goals in 12 Premier League matchups, an average of 2.75 goals against the Gunners, which included two huge victories of 3-1 and 4-1 just last season. There is some serious work to be done on the training ground, and mentally, before Sunday.
The Gunners currently have the best disciplinary record in the league, registering only 10 yellow cards spread across 8 offenders. Kai Havertz is topping that tally after picking up 3 yellow cards, coming as not too much of a shock considering he is Arsenal’s top fouler. The German has committed 11 fouls in 7 appearances, an average of 2.20 fouls per game, and this heavyweight clash will require aggression and assertiveness in a complex midfield matchup.
Another likely fouler for Arsenal would be Gabriel Jesus. Having only returned from injury recently, racking up 203 minutes of game time in the league, he’s committed 3.04 fouls per 90 minutes – a heavy number for a striker. Up against a tricky, physical defence and facing his old side, this could mean seeing some more hot-headedness from the Brazilian.
🛑 Manchester City Defensive Stats: City discipline top tier
Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City have long been known for their rock-solid defence, and the 2023/24 season is no exception. They’ve conceded only 5 goals while maintaining an average expected goals against (xGA) rate of 5.09, making it a real challenge for any team to breach their backline. Fortunately for City, there have been no significant defensive injuries except for John Stones, who hasn’t seen any game time this year.
On the other hand, Arsenal have excelled in earning corners this season by effectively turning them into scoring opportunities. However, Manchester City has proven efficient in stifling wing play and limiting corner opportunities, conceding just 3.14 corners per game. This statistic may be cause for concern for Arteta, especially with doubts surrounding the availability of key wingers, which could restrict their attacking options.
Manchester City has also displayed impressive discipline, amassing only 12 yellow cards distributed among 10 players this season. Ironically, despite his suspension for this game, Rodri leads as City’s top offender and fouler. However, Julian Alvarez has stepped up in a slightly deeper attacking midfield role this year, in the absence of Kevin de Bruyne, resulting in more fouls during midfield battles. The Argentine has received 2 yellow cards and averages 1.21 fouls per 90 minutes, and this upcoming fixture is likely to demand his physical presence, given Arsenal’s defensive strength.
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