Aston Villa v Brighton

Relegation candidates Ipswich welcome high-flying Chelsea to Portman Road on Sunday hoping to earn just their third Premier League victory of the campaign. The struggling Tractor Boys are still searching for their first win on home soil since their promotion. Can Town find a way to beat the Blues in Suffolk?

⭐ Aston Villa v Brighton Best Bet

Although Ollie Watkins’ minutes have been limited in the past few weeks, the suspension of fellow striker Jhon Duran should give the former Brentford forward an uncontested place at the top of Aston Villa’s attack on Monday.

The England international has featured in each of Villa’s 18 league appearances and has registered 7 goals in the process – recording a goal every 168 minutes. At just under 1 in 2 and a near guarantee of a start against Brighton, there is considerable value in Watkins making a goal contribution.

👕 Aston Villa v Brighton Predicted XI

🔍 Aston Villa v Brighton Players to Watch

🟣 Emi Martinez

On the assumption that Emi Martinez is the Villa goalkeeper on Monday, the Argentine has made four or more saves in each of his last three Premier League matches – an average of 4.66 per game across the three.

Across the Premier League season as a whole, Martinez has been required to make 3 or more saves in 9 of his 18 appearances – a strike rate of 50%.

Brighton arrives at Villa Park having had at least 3 shots on target in each of their 18 Premier League games this season.

🟣 Ollie Watkins

Ollie Watkins is likely to lead the line with Jhon Duran being sent off at Newcastle and the former Brentford forward has scored seven league goals this season – averaging 1.22 shots on target per game.

Of his 18 Premier League appearances this season, Watkins has had 2 or more shots on target on 6 separate occasions – a strike rate of 33.3% but it must also be noted he has played just 1,182 out of 1,620 available minutes.

Brighton have conceded at least 6 shots on target in 6 of their 18 league outings this season. 

🔵 Pervis Estupinian

Pervis Estupnian has made 15 Premier League appearances for Brighton this season and currently averages 1.40 fouls per game.

He has conceded a foul in 7 of those 15 appearances and has met the benchmark of 2 or more in a game on 4 occasions – a strike rate of 26.6%

He will likely face John McGinn on Villa’s right-hand side and this season, the Scottish midfielder is fouled an average of 2.25 times per Premier League game.

📂 Aston Villa v Brighton Cheat Sheet

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💻 Aston Villa v Brighton Form and Tactics

Aston Villa manager Unai Emery has a flexible tactical approach, but after using a 4-4-2 formation in weeks 2 and 3 of the season, the Spaniard has since settled on a 4-2-3-1 setup.

While Brighton counterpart Fabian Hurzeler is also known for variety in tactics, although a 4-2-3-1 shape has been used of late, the Seagulls are just as comfortable in a 4-4-2 or 3-4-3.

In terms of form, Villa have blown hot and cold recently, having won 3 and lost 3 of their last 6. However, they are still operating warmer than a Brighton side who have failed to win any of their last 6.

🏁 Aston Villa v Brighton Ref Watch

• Referee: Craig Pawson
• Across 11 games, Pawson has shown 46 yellow cards at an average of 4.18 per game.
• He has also shown 2 red cards.
• He currently has a foul-to-tackle ratio of 0.60 - the joint-16^th highest of the 22 referees overseeing a Premier League game this season.

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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.