Discipline remains a problem for Fulham, who are averaging nearly 12 fouls per game away from home (11.94), the fifth-most on the road in the league. They’ve committed 11 or more in 10 of their 17 away matches. Villa are the league’s third-most fouled home side in the division, drawing 12.82 fouls per game, with 15 of 17 visiting teams committing at least 11 fouls at Villa Park. Fulham can follow suit here.

Naturally, fouls lead to cards, and Fulham average 2.35 cards away from home. They’ve collected two or more in eight of their last 10 road matches in the league. Aston Villa draw the joint most cards from visiting sides in the league at a notable 3.24 per game, with 12 of 17 teams picking up 3+ cards at Villa Park. Fulham saw four cards in the reverse fixture (3 Yellows, 1 Red).

While Bassey averages just 0.78 fouls per 90 this season, his recent form and likely matchup suggest this could easily land. He’s committed at least one foul in eight consecutive appearances and will likely face Ollie Watkins here, who draws 1.15 fouls per 90. With the pace and movement Watkins brings, Bassey is a strong candidate to make an infringement.

Fulham’s leading scorer this season with 10 goals, Jiménez is their most reliable attacking threat. He’s averaging 1.22 shots on target per 90, hitting the target in 5 of his last 8 starts and in 6 of his last 7 away games. Even more compelling, he’s scored and had at least 2+ shots on target in each of his last two matches against Villa.

Villa’s corner numbers are outstanding at home, averaging 7.47 per game, with 13 of 17 home matches seeing them win five or more. Fulham have allowed five or more corners in 10 of 17 away games, and conceded 11 corners to Villa in the reverse fixture. Backing Villa to hit this number again, but on home soil (where their corner count is more prolific) feels well supported.

Fulham have kept things relatively tight on the road, conceding just 4.24 SOTs per match, but Villa’s output strengthens this selection. Villa average 5.65 shots on target per game at home, hitting that mark in 11 of their last 16 league matches at Villa Park. Villa landed five shots on target in the reverse fixture, a promising sign for this line to land once again.

The Premier League’s most-booked player (12 cards) is always in the mix when tempers rise. With practically one card every two full 90 minutes and a consistent fouling rate of 2.35 fouls per 90, Lukic is well-positioned for another caution here.

He didn’t feature in the reverse fixture, but in his last outing against Villa, he received a yellow within a minute of coming on. Given Villa’s foul-drawing tendencies on the right-hand flank (drawing 17 fouls across their last five games), this looks a solid pick.

Not your typical positional selection for this market, yet Konsa’s control and calmness on the ball make him a frequent target. The centre-back is averaging 1.5 fouls won per 90, winning two or more in six of his last 11 starts, an exceptional rate for his position.

Fulham’s aggressive front line, particularly down their left, has committed 10 fouls in their last three, ideal conditions for Konsa to win a couple more here. To strengthen this pick, in his last five appearances against Fulham, he has won 2, 4, 2, 2, and 3 fouls.